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The Austin Peay Governors (3-0) and the No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) meet at Food City Center Sunday at 3 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Austin Peay vs. Tennessee odds as we make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Austin Peay beat the Chattanooga Mocs 67-61 on Monday as a 2-point home underdog. The Under 147 hit, with the Governors’ defense stifling the Mocs, who shot just 5-for-29 (17.2%) from beyond the arc. Junior G LJ Thomas led the way with 18 points and 5 rebounds.
Tennessee posted a dominant 92-57 victory over the Montana Grizzlies on Wednesday, covering as a 26-point home favorite. The Over 141 hit as the Volunteers controlled the glass with a 38-17 rebound advantage. Four starters scored in double figures, led by senior F Igor Milicic Jr., who had 18 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists.
The teams last met in 2022 with Tennessee rolling to an 86-44 win. Austin Peay is 1-10 vs. the Volunteers, with their lone victory in 2011.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Austin Peay at Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Austin Peay +3300 (bet $100 to win $3,300) | Tennessee -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Austin Peay +28.5 (-110) | Tennessee -28.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Austin Peay at Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 82, Austin Peay 62
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no way anyone should consider betting Tennessee (-10000) at this price. That’s risking $100 to win a $1 — not a wise sports gambling strategy. However, when looking at the spread, things get more enticing.
Against the spread
BET AUSTIN PEAY +28.5 (-110).
Austin Peay visits Thompson-Boling Arena seeking its second upset of the season. The Governors, who recently defeated the Butler Bulldogs 68-66, are 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games.
Tennessee’s dominance on the glass has been key, outrebounding the Louisville Cardinals and Montana by a combined 78-43.
While the Volunteers have the clear talent edge, Austin Peay’s experienced roster continues to improve. I’ve got the Governors keeping this game competitive with Tennessee pulling away late, but not covering.
Over/Under
BET OVER 140.5 (-110).
Both teams are offensive powerhouses, each averaging over 75 points per game. Tennessee has been efficient, shooting 53.7% from the field this season.
Austin Peay is fueled by NC State transfer Thomas, who’s putting up nearly 20 points per game and thriving in high-pressure situations.
The Over has hit in 12 of Austin Peay’s last 14 games since last season and in 6 of their last 8 on the road. The Over has hit in 6 of Tennessee’s last 9 November games, setting the stage for another high-scoring game.
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