Bills add two draft selection in latest compensatory 2025 NFL draft pick projection

Bills add two draft selection in latest compensatory 2025 NFL draft pick projection

Over the Cap projects the Buffalo Bills will gain two draft compensatory selections in April’s draft.

The Bills will receive these picks in response to the losses of Gabriel Davis and Leonard Floyd last offseason. Davis signed a three-year, $39 million contract with Jacksonville, while Floyd penned a two-year, $20 million contract with San Francisco.

Teams earn compensatory picks when they have a net loss of qualified free agents over an offseason. The formula also considers the player’s average salary per year, snap counts, and awards.

Buffalo also lost key players Dane Jackson and Tyrel Dodson during the 2024 free-agency period.

Buffalo added Curtis Samuel and Austin Johnson.

With the contracts for Floyd and Davis far exceeding the deals for Samuel and Johnson, it appears the Bills are in line for compensatory picks. In the formula, the signings of Samuel and Johnson will most likely balance out with the Jackson and Dodson contracts.

Currently, Buffalo holds eight draft picks:

  • Round 1
  • Round 2
  • Round 2: from Houston in Stefon Diggs trade
  • Round 4
  • Round 4: from Chicago
  • Round 6
  • Round 6: from Cleveland in Amari Cooper trade
  • Round 6: from New York Giants

The NFL will officially award teams their compensatory picks in March. However, projecting these picks can help teams plan for the upcoming NFL Draft.

One more time: Big-man interception comes at crucial time for the Bills

One more time: Big-man interception comes at crucial time for the Bills

Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Austin Johnson made a heck of a play in his team’s Week 8 win against the Seattle Seahawks, and it’s worth a second look.

If you were in attendance at Lumen Field on Sunday or watching along on television, you got to see a play that is one of the better joys in football: the big-man interception.

It’s not every week you get to it. It’s right up there with the big-man touchdown and probably falls just behind the rare big-man kick return.

The interception from the 6-4, 313-pounder also came at a crucial time in the game for the Bills.

The Seahawks were driving in Bills territory early in the second half, trying to make it a one-score game. The turnover stalled the Seahawks’ momentum, but even better for the Bills, they went on a touchdown drive directly after it.

Before moving on to Week 9, take one more look at the game-changing play from Johnson in Buffalo’s 31-10 win:

PFF: Highest-graded Bills players on defense vs. the Seahawks

PFF: Highest-graded Bills players on defense vs. the Seahawks

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Seattle Seahawks on the road in Week 8, 31-10.

Statistics might help determine who played well or not, and so may the eye test. But, let’s take it a step further with some help from the analytics folks at Pro Football Focus.

Using PFF grades from Week 8, here are the five highest-graded players from the Bills (6-2) defense against the Seahawks (4-4).

PFF grade: 74.6.

PFF grade: 75.7.

PFF grade: 77.4.

PFF grade: 82.2.

PFF grade: 86.3.

PFF: Lowest-graded Bills players on defense vs. the Seahawks

PFF: Lowest-graded Bills players on defense vs. the Seahawks

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Seattle Seahawks on the road in Week 8, 31-10.

Statistics might help determine who played well or not, and so may the eye test. But, let’s take it a step further with some help from the analytics folks at Pro Football Focus.

Using PFF grades from Week 8, here are the five lowest-graded players from the Bills (6-2) defense against the Seahawks (4-4).

PFF grade: 60.9.

PFF grade: 57.7.

PFF grade: 53.8.

PFF grade: 46.4.

PFF grade: 28.6.

DE Austin Johnson chooses Bills over Cardinals

Johnson was scheduled to meet with the Cardinals on Friday after leaving Buffalo without a contract. He decided to sign with the Bills.

The Arizona Cardinals were reportedly scheduled to have former Los Angeles Chargers defensive lineman Austin Johnson in for a visit on Friday after having met with the Buffalo Bills. Whether or not that scheduled visit happened, he will not be signing with the Cardinals.

First “reported” by Bills defensive lineman DaQuan Jones and then confirmed by NFL Media’s Ian Rapoport, Johnson is signing a one-year deal with the Bills.

Johnson and Jones were teammates when both played for the Tennessee Titans.

Johnson is 29 years old and listed at 6-foot-4 and 314 pounds. He was drafted in the second round by the Tennessee Titans in 2016, played four seasons for them, followed by two with the New York Giants and, most recently, two years with the Los Angeles Chargers.

He played and started all 17 games last season for the Chargers. He logged 46 total tackles, two for loss, a quarterback hit, two tipped passes, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery.

Over the last seven seasons, the only games he missed were nine in 2022 when he injured his MCL and fractured his knee. He returned last season to play every game and play 640 defensive snaps, the second time in three seasons he played more than 600.

Considering the Cardinals, even after signing three free agent defensive linemen, were willing to bring in Johnson, perhaps we will see them adding another veteran defensive lineman in the near future.

Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

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Cardinals bringing in veteran DL Austin Johnson for visit

The former Chargers defensive lineman left Buffalo without a contract and now will meet with the Cardinals on Friday.

The Arizona Cardinals have made the defensive line a priority this offseason. They might not be done adding players. According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, free agent defensive lineman Austin Johnson is meeting with the Cardinals Friday after leaving a visit with the Buffalo Bills without a contract.

Johnson is 29 years old and listed at 6-foot-4 and 314 pounds. He was drafted in the second round by the Tennessee Titans in 2016, played four seasons for them, followed by two with the New York Giants and, most recently, two years with the Los Angeles Chargers.

He played and started all 17 games last season for the Chargers. He logged 46 total tackles, two for loss, a quarterback hit, two tipped passes, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery.

Over the last seven seasons, the only games he missed were nine in 2022 when he injured his MCL and fractured his knee. He returned last season to play every game and play 640 defensive snaps, the second time in three seasons he played more than 600.

The Cardinals have re-signed L.J. Collier and added Justin Jones, Bilal Nichols and Khyiris Tonga to the defensive line in free agency.

We will see if he ends up signing with the Cardinals, adding to that group.

Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

 

Predicting the fate of all the Chargers’ pending free agents in 2024

Here are predictions for what the Chargers might do with each player in their 2024 free agent class.

As free agency approaches, the Chargers are projected to be $44 million over the salary cap.

General manager Joe Hortiz will have some decisions to make regarding their internal pending free agents.

Ahead of the free agency frenzy, here are my predictions for what Los Angeles might do with each player in their 2024 free agent class.

5 pending free agents the Chargers should not re-sign

Here’s a quick list of players the Chargers should let walk.

The Chargers are in the hunt for a new general manager and head coach as they transition into 2024, but the calendar will soon turn toward free agency. The soon-to-be-hired leadership will have some tough decisions to make on their roster with several key internal free agents.

Los Angeles will enter March with just over two dozen free agents that have the potential to hit the open market. However, for the sake of this exercise, I’ve decided to remove the lower-cost restricted and exclusive rights free agents to focus on the unrestricted class.

To make the necessary improvements on their roster, there are some Chargers that just have to be moved on from in the long term.

RB Austin Ekeler

Ekeler is one of the longest-tenured Chargers who has been with the team since signing in 2017 as an undrafted free agent. He’s had an incredibly productive career in usage, with over 8,000 scrimmage yards on 1,430 touches in that span.

But with that aforementioned production comes miles. Ekeler will be 29 when the 2024 season starts. Unfortunately, this past season was one of his least efficient campaigns. He averaged a career-low 3.5 yards per carry. He finished with just seven explosive runs over 10+ yards, a mark that tied the lowest single-season figure in his seven seasons.

He won’t be too expensive on the open market, considering the down year in 2023. But it’s time for the Chargers to rebuild the running back room from the ground up with the impending free agency periods for Ekeler and Joshua Kelley. Ekeler is clearly on the decline as he approaches his 30s and Los Angeles needs explosive players more than safety valves.

CB Michael Davis

Perhaps no Charger embodies hot and cold streaks as much as Davis does. In 2020 and 2022, Davis had quasi-shutdown years in coverage that gave LA hope for long-term production. But his 2021 and 2023 campaigns featured a lot of inconsistent play and coverage mistakes. Davis even got benched by Brandon Staley and the defensive staff at times.

Like Ekeler, Davis will be 29 when the 2024 campaign starts. Cornerbacks tend to have shorter primes. Last season, Davis allowed the highest target reception percentage, total yards, and opposing quarterback passer rating of his career.

Asante Samuel Jr. will be going into a contract year. Outside of him, the Chargers have no true starting corners on the roster right now. Still, it’s time to blow up the initial Staley plan that involved J.C. Jackson and a now struggling Davis in favor of a new vision.

DT Austin Johnson

Johnson’s two years with the Chargers are defined by a knee injury he suffered against the Falcons in 2022. It would end his season prematurely while he was playing pretty well. Johnson was fifth in run stop percentage among defensive tackles at the time of his injury.

Unfortunately, Johnson never quite rebounded to the same level of play in 2023. He finished the season with the lowest Pro Football Focus defensive grade of his career, with 20 fewer run stops than his 2021 Giants season.

After parting ways with Sebastian Joseph-Day towards the end of the year, it seems the Chargers are headed towards a full-scale rebuild in the defensive tackle room. It’s a unit that could probably use a fresh start.

LB Kenneth Murray

By declining to pick up Murray’s fifth-year option last April, the Chargers essentially let us know where they stood with him. There’s not much more to it than that.

To be fair, Murray had a decent season by his standards. He was fitting runs better as a linebacker and improved as a tackler by most metrics paired with film.

That said, there’s a glaring weakness in Murray’s game that will likely always be an issue. Murray and Eric Kendricks were picked apart by opposing quarterbacks consistently in pass coverage. The former first-round pick out of Oklahoma allowed 56 receptions for 660 yards. Murray gave up 245 more passing yards than his 2020 season despite playing fewer coverage snaps.

Maybe there’s an argument to bring back Murray as a rotational piece, considering his improvement as a tackler. Still, he’s just not a starting linebacker in the modern NFL as a liability in coverage.

WR Jalen Guyton

Guyton was never not a one-trick pony in the league. However, his 4.3 straight-line speed combined with Justin Herbert’s cannon of an arm made him a viable threat early in his career.

His torn ACL early in the season against Jacksonville in 2022 has changed his career trajectory. Guyton missed about half of the 2023 campaign due to his recovery and when he returned, he never looked like the same player athletically.

Despite an injured Chargers’ wide receiver room that was practically begging for someone to step up and contribute, Guyton finished with ten receptions for 89 yards in eight games. He registered the lowest yards per route run mark of his career at 0.5 if one would want to look at target efficiency.

The one-dimensional nature of Guyton’s game got exposed due to him not having that same level of souped-up track star speed. As a result, I’m not seeing much of a purpose for an aging version of him potentially returning to the Chargers.

Chargers’ Giff Smith on Sebastian Joseph-Day’s release: ‘It was in the best interest of the team’

Gift Smith was asked about the release of Sebastian Joseph-Day.

After being waived just a week ago, former Chargers defensive tackle Sebastian Joseph-Day agreed to terms on a one-year deal with the 49ers.

At the time of his signing, Joseph-Day indicated that he was thankful for his release and the opportunity to play with the Niners. But he decided to keep any comments on what wrong in Los Angeles to himself.

Chargers interim head coach Giff Smith was finally asked about the surprise release at his Friday media availability.

It was a situations where myself and JoJo [Wooden], just in talking really, the easiest way to say is that it was just in the best interest for the team. Other stuff I’d rather just keep in-house, but we wish him the best. I hope he does well in San Francisco and that everybody moves on.

Certainly, that quote puts to bed the idea that the two sides were amicable at the time of release. Some had speculated that Joseph-Day asked for his release in advance to join a contender. But clearly as demonstrated by the friction between the two sides, that’s not what had happened.

Joseph-Day was signed to a three-year deal in the 2022 offseason with the team in Brandon Staley’s first big spending splurge as head coach. Staley brought in a few of his “guys” over the year from previous stops in the NFL.

With a new general manager and coaching staff coming in for 2024, it was unlikely that Joseph-Day had much of a chance to remain on the team. Especially when weighing his current production with the team’s own cap situation. The most optimal time to make the move may have been now.

Scott Matlock, Otito Ogbonnia, and other members of the defensive tackle room will have an opportunity for an increased workload in Joseph-Day’s absence. That will start with the Broncos on Sunday and a Week 18 finale against the Chiefs.

20 Chargers players who will be pending free agents this offseason

The Chargers have 20 players set to hit the free agency market.

The Chargers will have some tough decisions in the next few months, with a handful of players slated to hit free agency.

It also doesn’t help that they will be strapped for cash, set to have the fourth-lowest salary cap totals among all 32 teams in the league.

Here are 20 Chargers players who will be pending free agents in 2024 (via Spotrac):