Auburn at Houston odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Auburn Tigers at Houston Cougars odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 4 Houston Cougars (1-0) welcome the No. 11 Auburn Tigers (1-0) to Toyota Center Saturday in the Mattress Firm Battleground 2k24. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Auburn vs. Houston odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Tigers beat the Vermont Catamounts 94-43 Wednesday as 17.5-point favorites. They shot 56% from the field and ended with just 9 turnovers. G Miles Kelly led the team with 24 points and notched 7 triples as well. The Tigers key weapon is F Johni Broome, who averaged 16.5 points per game for Auburn last season. Auburn was 27-8 last season and was 0-1 against top-5 opponents.

The Cougars opened their season with a 97-40 win over the Jackson State Tigers Monday as 36-point favorites. Houston was led by G LJ Cryer, who hit 4 of 6 shots from deep and ended with 16 points. Cryer was among the most notable pieces from last season’s roster, averaging 15.5 per game a season ago. Houston was 32-5 last season and finished first in the Big 12. It was 5-1 in the regular season against ranked opponents.

Auburn is No. 11 and Houston is No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll.

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Auburn at Houston odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated 1:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Auburn +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Houston -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Auburn +5.5 (-110) | Houston -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Auburn at Houston picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 76, Auburn 67

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great play here. The Cougars (-225) are in Houston, but they are far too expensive to take here as favorites. The Tigers are sizable road underdogs and didn’t perform well a season ago against elite sides.

Avoid that play as well.

Against the spread

BET HOUSTON -5.5 (-110).

Coach Kelvin Sampson, since taking over at Houston in 2014, has created a juggernaut. The Cougars have lost single-digit games in 7 straight seasons and have 5 or fewer losses in 4 of those. They have consistently won, and even joining the Big 12 hasn’t changed that. Sampson has bought in, and the return of Cryer will held keep their offense surging.

The Tigers have yet to play in an environment as rocking as Toyota Center and struggled last season against top opponents. Auburn lost both games on the road against top-25 sides last season, and both losses came by 6 points or more.

Considering those trends, back HOUSTON -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 141.5 (-110).

In the Tigers’ lone match against a Big 12 team last season (Baylor), there were 170 points scored in the 88-82 battle. The Tigers and Cougars both lit up their respective opponents to open the season, as Auburn put up 94 and Houston scored 97. Both teams returned key offensive weapons from last season and aren’t reliant on transfers or freshmen.

Given each side shot at least 55% from the field to open the season, expect the offenses to sustain some high level of play despite the intensity and defense being superior in this one. Back OVER 141.5 (-110).

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March Madness: Auburn vs. Houston odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Auburn vs. Houston odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Auburn Tigers (21-12) battle the Houston Cougars (32-3) Saturday in the second round of the Midwest Region. Tip from Legacy Arena is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Auburn vs. Houston odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

The Tigers beat the No. 8 Iowa Hawkeyes 83-75 Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point favorite. Auburn lost in their first SEC Tournament game to Arkansas 76-73, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Those were the Tigers’ 2 postseason battles as they enter the Round of the 32. The Tigers are just 4-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

The Cougars beat No. 16 Northern Kentucky 63-52 Thursday, failing to cover as a 19.5-point favorite. The top seed in the region is just 1-3 ATS in their 4 postseason games. G Marcus Sasser played just 14 minutes against NKU, having struggled with an injury sustained in the AAC semifinal, so Houston’s leading scorer may be limited against Auburn.

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Auburn vs. Houston odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Auburn +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Houston -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Auburn +5.5 (-110) | Houston -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Auburn vs. Houston picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 66, Auburn 63

Moneyline

PASS.

While Sasser could play, at what level he’ll be at is unknown, and the Tigers looked solid against the Hawkeyes. The (+200) underdog has some value, but I would still pass here and play the spread instead.

Against the spread

LEAN AUBURN +5.5 (-110).

The Tigers put 6 players in double figures against Iowa, and that’s the diverse offense they’ll need to break down the Cougars. Auburn has covered 3 of its last 4 games as well, and 3 of its last 4 defeats have come by 6 or fewer points.

Houston is also just 1-3 ATS over its last 4 games and is just 2-8 ATS over its last 10. It hasn’t covered well as of late, and the unknown status of its best player is concerning. Considering both trends, back AUBURN +5.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 131.5 (-110).

Houston has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games. While typically it is the Cougars’ defense leading the way for the Under, their offense hasn’t scored over 70 points in 5 straight games.

Auburn is 5-4 O/U in its last 9 but will be competing against the 2nd-best defense in America, one that allows just 56.4 points per game. It may also struggle to have that go-to scorer as no player is averaging more than 14 points per game.

Ultimately, back the UNDER 131.5 (-110).

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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