Atlanta Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 4

Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (19-12) travel to the Big Peach for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (14-15) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Cavaliers vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland has won six consecutive games and has covered 14 straight with the latest being a 119-90 beatdown of an undermanned Milwaukee Bucks last night.

Over the past two weeks, the Cavs are 6-2 straight-up (SU), 8-0 ATS and 3-5 O/U with the best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-17.0 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta got crushed Friday by the Denver Nuggets 133-115 as 3.5-point home favorites. The Hawks are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the 17th-ranked net rating (minus-2.2 points per 100 possessions) in the last 14 days per CTG.

The Cavs upset the Hawks 101-95 as 8-point home underdogs in their first meeting of the season Oct. 23 and the Under cashed on the 223.5-point total.

Cavaliers at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Cavaliers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hawks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +2.5 (-107) | Hawks -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Cavaliers at Hawks key injuries

Cavaliers

PF Evan Mobley (health and safety protocols) out
SF Isaac Okoro (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) questionable
PG Trae Young (health and safety protocols) out
SG De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

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Cavaliers at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 112, Hawks 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the CAVALIERS (+120) just because I think Cleveland plus the points has slightly better value. But, I’ll “sprinkle” on the underdog’s money line in this spot.

Trae Young is the centerpiece of Atlanta’s offense and grades in the 86th percentile in non-garbage time on/off net rating and 100th percentile in offensive efficiency at plus-16.7 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Furthermore, the Cavs have the second-best non-garbage time net rating on the road (plus-7.2 points per 100 possessions) and the best spread differential (plus-12.4) per CTG. Also, Cleveland’s second-best defensive efficiency should have an easier team vs. Atlanta’s offense sans Trae.

I’d actually argue that the “wrong team is favored”. We’re getting value solely based on the Cavs playing the second of a back-to-back and the gambler’s fallacy of “Cleveland can’t cover its 15th straight, right?”

However, I still prefer Cleveland getting points, but I’ll “LEAN” to the CAVALIERS (+120) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the CAVALIERS +2.5 (-107) heavier than, or instead of, Cleveland’s money line. Especially if you’re betting earlier in the day, which I’d advise against.

The NBA-COVID outbreak has been the league’s main storyline this week, and I propose waiting until you actually see who’s on the floor for each team before making a wager.

That said, I think we’ll get line value with the CAVALIERS +2.5 (-107) even if Bogdanovic plays because Cleveland is ballin’ lately.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 220.5 (-112) because the Under has cashed in five consecutive Cavaliers-Hawks meetings and Atlanta is missing its offensive focal point. Plus, as previously mentioned, Cleveland has one of the best defenses in the NBA and the Cavs are 11-20 O/U this season.

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Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (17-8) travel to the Big Peach Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) at State Farm Center. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

A Kevin Durant-less Nets squad lost to the Houston Rockets 114-104 as 3.5-point road favorites Wednesday. Brooklyn is 3-3 straight-up (SU), 1-5 ATS and 1-5 O/U with the 17th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Atlanta roasted the Timberwolves 121-110 in Minnesota its last time out but are also 3-3 SU in the last two weeks. The Hawks are 3-3 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential.

The Nets handled the Hawks 117-108 as 4.5-point home favorites on a 221.5-point total in their first meeting of the season, Nov. 3. KD scored a game-high 32 points, but Atlanta won three of the “four factors.”

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 10 breakdown

Nets at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Hawks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nets +2.5 (-108) | Hawks -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nets at Hawks key injuries

Nets

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Hawks

SF Cam Reddish (illness) probable
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (foot) out

Nets at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Nets 113

Money line

GIMME the HAWKS (-140) because this is a get-right spot to snap a current three-game home losing streak and since the Nets (+115) have struggled vs. top-tier offenses thus far.

For instance, despite losing its last three home games, Atlanta is 8-4 at home with a plus-8.2 efficiency differential, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Also. the Hawks have the second-best non-garbage time offensive efficiency in the league.

On the other hand, Brooklyn is just 2-6 overall vs. teams with a top-10 offensive rating with a minus-8.3 efficiency differential (ranked 22nd) and a minus-12.6 ATS margin (ranked dead-last).

Lastly, Atlanta’s pick-and-roll (PnR) action should be effective vs. Brooklyn. According to ShotQuality.com, the Hawks generate the most shots off of PnR plays while the Nets are 22nd in shot quality allowed vs. PnR action.

TAKE THE HAWKS (-140).

Against the spread

PASS since Atlanta’s money line is 28 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Hawks -2.5 (-112) and we don’t have to sweat Atlanta winning by a margin over a Brooklyn team that’s expected to compete for the NBA Finals.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 228.5 (-108) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Atlanta’s money line more than any other bet in this game. That said, there’s a ton of firepower on both sides and three of the past four Nets-Hawks meetings have gone Over the total.

However, we are getting the worst of the number as this total opened at 224 (according to Pregame.com) and has been steamed up to the current price by all the pro-Over wagers.

I hate following the herd in sports betting, so I may not touch the total come game time. But, if I were to bet it, either way, it would be the OVER 228.5 (-108).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-12) host the Atlanta Hawks (12-12) Monday at Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Atlanta has lost three of its last four games (1-3 ATS), all at home, to the New York Knicks, Philadelphia 76ers and Charlotte Hornets. The Hawks are 10-14 ATS and 12-12 O/U with the ninth-best net rating.

Minnesota is on a two-game losing skid, both on the road, with losses coming against the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. The T-Wolves are 11-12 ATS and 9-14 O/U with the 12th-best net rating.

The Hawks have beaten the T-Wolves in five of their last six meetings (5-1 ATS) including both regular-season games last season. The Over cashed in four of those six contests.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 6 breakdown

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Timberwolves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-108) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Timberwolves key injuries

Hawks (not officially submitted)

SF Cam Reddish (illness) questionable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Timberwolves

PG Patrick Beverley (groin) questionable
PG D’Angelo Russell (ankle) questionable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (back) questionable
SF Jaden McDaniels (illness) probable

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Hawks 107

Money line

GIMME the TIMBERWOLVES (-140) because the T-Wolves currently have three starters listed as “questionable” on the injury report. I’d rather be stuck with Minnesota’s money line than need it to win by at least 3 points. However, there are several reasons to like the T-Wolves in this spot.

Atlanta struggles against good defenses and Minnesota ranks fifth in defensive efficiency according to CleaningTheGlass.com.The Hawks are 2-6 overall with a minus-5.8 efficiency differential and minus-3.3 ATS margin versus top-10 defenses.

The T-Wolves also perform better at home and the Hawks worse on the road. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS at home against teams with a winning record and is 10th in efficiency differential and seventh in ATS margin at home this season per CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, the Hawks are 4-8 overall on the road with the 19th-best efficiency differential and 26th-best ATS margin.

This is a bad spot for Atlanta. The Hawks are 6-12 overall when playing with a rest disadvantage, and 7-13 overall on the second of a back-to-back, since the start of last season.

Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Timberwolves -2.5 (-112) because they should cover the spread if they win outright. However, as previously mentioned, the money line holds more value for me because of Minnesota’s injury report.

For what it’s worth, there’s “reverse line movement” in Minnesota’s direction despite the lengthy injury report. The T-Wolves opened as 2-point favorites but are getting steamed up despite the unknown game statuses of several starters.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 222.5 (-110) because this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with the presumed sharp side of the market backing the Under whereas more bets are placed on the Over according to Pregame.com. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the cash when it’s opposite the public.

However, Minnesota’s money line is by far my favorite wager in this contest and if you do bet the Under, I’d go light.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (13-11) travel to the “Big Peach” Sunday to play the Atlanta Hawks (12-11) at the State Farm Arena. The tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte enters on a three-game losing skid, all on the road, with the losses being to the Houston Rockets, Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets are 13-11 ATS and 14-10 O/U with the 17th-ranked net rating.

Atlanta has alternated between winning and losing over the past four games with the latest being a heartbreaking 98-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers Friday. The Hawks are 10-13 ATS and 11-12 O/U with the ninth-best net rating.

Atlanta handled business in the first meeting of the season with Charlotte, 115-105 Nov. 20, as 7-point home favorites. The Hawks are 3-2 overall and 2-2-1 ATS vs. the Hornets since the beginning of last season. The Under has cashed in four of those meetings.

Hornets at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Hawks -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +6.5 (-107) | Hawks -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hornets at Hawks key injuries

Hornets

PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
SG Terry Rozier (health and safety protocols) out
C Mason Plumlee (health and safety protocols) out
PF Jalen McDaniels (health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

SG Kevin Huerter (quadriceps) questionable
SF Cam Reddish (illness) questionable
PG Trae Young (quadriceps) questionable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Hornets at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 114, Hawks 109

Money line

I’m okay with a tiny wager on the HORNETS (+230), but be sure to bet Charlotte plus the points heavier or instead of the money line. The bottom line is I like the value in Charlotte at +6.5 because it feels like an Atlanta trap.

The Hawks have the third-best efficiency differential and fifth-best ATS margin at home this season. The Hornets are missing two of their three leading scorers. But, this Hornets-Hawks meeting is priced the same as the first.

That tells me there’s a decent chance Trae and/or Huerter miss Sunday’s meeting, and Atlanta’s backcourt edge will be gone. If Trae suits up, the Hawks’ price will soar.

Regardless, Atlanta is missing depth on the wing, which is a stacked position for Charlotte. The absence of Ball and Rozier opens the door for more Miles Bridges and Gordon Hayward usage. Bridges put up 35 points on 53.6% shooting in the first Hornets-Hawks meeting.

Again, if you take HORNETS (+230), go lightly and hit Charlotte’s spread harder.

Against the spread

Definitely BET HORNETS +6.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of Charlotte’s money line. The Hornets are 8-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record while the Hawks are just 2-7 ATS.

Furthermore, I could see this being a letdown game for Atlanta, who just played a tough, physical rematch of last year’s second-round playoff series with Philly Friday.

That was an emotional primetime game, and I could see the Hawks struggling to get up for this game knowing several Hornets contributors are on the COVID list.

Over/Under

PASS since we don’t officially know who’s playing in this game, and I’d prefer to play the sides because of all the aforementioned logic.

My hunch is that the market will be betting the Under because of the possible absences of several offensive players. If that’s the case then I’d “lean” to the Over as a fade of that overreaction.

However, since that’s only speculative, I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (5-6) are in the Rose City Saturday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (7-5) at the Moda Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Trail Blazers NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Atlanta was smothered by the Jazz’s defense last night in a 116-92 loss in Utah. The Hawks shot 17.9% from behind the arc (5-of-28) and the Jazz completely took PG Trae Young out of the game. Young only scored 4 points on 1-of-11 shooting. On the other end of the floor, Utah shot 45.5% from deep (20-of-44) and outscored Atlanta 27-14 in transition points.

The Trail Blazers were demolished at home by the Indiana Pacers 111-87. Portland was just outclassed by an Indiana team that moved the ball better (29-16 in assists) and got easier looks (62-28 points in the paint). The major storyline following the game was Portland C Jusuf Nurkic exiting the game with a fractured wrist. Nurkic underwent surgery and will be out at least eight weeks.

These teams split the regular-season series 1-1 with the home team winning and covering both games. Before Atlanta’s victory over Portland in Feb. 2020, the Trail Blazers won and covered four straight against the Hawks.

Hawks at Trail Blazers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Trail Blazers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +4.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Trail Blazers: Key Injuries

Hawks

SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (lower leg) out
SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) out

Trail Blazers

PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
C Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out

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Hawks at Trail Blazers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 127, Trail Blazers 122

Money line (ML)

I lean HAWKS (+155) for a quarter-unit mostly because I’m going to take Atlanta plus the points, and I generally like to sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when taking them to cover. The value of the money line isn’t great, however, so feel free to pass and bet the spread instead.

Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll give Atlanta’s offense a pass for the no-show vs. Utah last night since the Jazz are an excellent defensive team and are ranked fourth in defensive rating. Portland’s defense can’t do to the Hawks what Utah’s did last night.

Also, Nurkic is by no means all-defense but he’s a heck of a lot better on D than his replacement C Enes Kanter. The Hawks put up 129 the last time they played the Trail Blazers. Nurkic didn’t play in that game either.

I just don’t know how Portland gets any stops. GIMME HAWKS +4.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

This ought to be a shootout. Portland guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum are balling out, and there’s no reason to think they won’t fill it up vs. Atlanta. In fact, one could argue Lillard and McCollum are going to ball even harder since they’ll get more usage with Nurkic out of the lineup.

The only argument for the Under is this will be Portland’s third game in four days so maybe they can’t score as many points on tired legs. Whatever. I’ll TAKE OVER 235.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

NBA discussing the possibility of adding extra roster spot for teams (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype Rumors: Hawks | Trail Blazers

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