The Atlanta Falcons (3-3) visit the Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Falcons vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons have shocked everyone with their performance this season. With TE Kyle Pitts being a non-factor in most games, they have still been able to get out to a 3-3 record behind QB Marcus Mariota. Even better, they’re 6-0 against the spread (ATS). Rookies RB Tyler Allgeier and WR Drake London have stepped into the voids left by WR Calvin Ridley (suspended) and RB Cordarrelle Patterson (knee injury) and kept the Falcons from bottoming out like many expected.
The Bengals, after a slow start, have started to come alive. After a summer appendectomy, we knew QB Joe Burrow would take a bit to feel himself. This certainly was the case as Cincinnati opened 0-2. But in a 30-26 victory at New Orleans last Sunday, Cincy was finally able to get off the scoring schneid. The Bengals will hope to be able to score Sunday as well as points will be important for them to win this one.
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Falcons at Bengals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Bengals -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Falcons +6.5 (-103) | Bengals -6.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Falcons at Bengals key injuries
Falcons
- CB Casey Hayward (shoulder) out, injured reserve
- RB Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) out, IR
Bengals
- DL Josh Tupou (calf) out
- LB Logan Wilson (shoulder) out
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Falcons at Bengals picks and predictions
Prediction
Bengals 28, Falcons 24
Moneyline
Cincinnati (-300) is not worth the risk as you have to risk 3 times your potential return.
There is some value in Atlanta (+245) — it’s worth a small bet if you think the Falcons can pull off the upset — but I’ll PASS and focus on the spread.
Against the spread
TAKE FALCONS +6.5 (-103).
Both the Falcons and the Bengals are great ATS this season. As mentioned above, the Falcons are a perfect 6-0 in covering the spread, while the Bengals are 4-2 ATS.
Mariota is a bit rejuvenated in 2022 and with the run game being key, the Falcons can keep this game close.
The Bengals with Burrow, Chase and Co., can score, but the Falcons will keep it close and not let their hosts pull away.
I favor the underdog FALCONS +6.5 (-103), which is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.
Over/Under
TAKE OVER 47.5 (-105).
The worst part of the Bengals defense is its rush defense. The best part of the Falcons offense is the run game. In reverse, the worst part of the Falcons defense is the pass defense, and the best part of the Bengals offense is the passing game.
This is a classic matchup of 2 teams who do something great against the opponent’s weakness. It will lead to points in Cincinnati.
TAKE OVER 47.5 (-105).
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