Tag: Athletics Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (10-38) begin a 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners (22-24) on Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-0

The Athletics were shut out by the Houston Astros 2-0 on Sunday. Oakland is amid a 4-game losing streak and has lost 8 of its last 10 contests.

The Mariners lost 3-2 against the Atlanta Braves Sunday. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 5 games and was 4-6 in its last 10 contests.

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Athletics at Mariners projected starters

LHP Kyle Muller vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Muller (1-3, 7.71 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.95 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 42 IP.

  • Has given up 4-plus ER in 6 of his first 9 starts and 5-plus ER in 3 straight turns
  • Has allowed 1 HR in 7 consecutive starts

Castillo (2-2, 3.31 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 51 2/3 IP.

  • After giving up a combined 2 ER in his first 4 starts, he’s surrendered 3-plus ER in 4 of his last 5 outings
  • Has allowed a total of 6 HR in his last 4 turns

Athletics at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Mariners -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +2.5 (-120) | Mariners -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Athletics at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Athletics 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

Unless you believe the Athletics can pull off the upset on the road, then wagering on the moneyline in this game isn’t worth the risk. The Mariners (-300) are likely to win, but the odds are too steep to warrant a bet.

Run line/Against the spread

I typically wouldn’t advocate for a team to win by 3 runs, but MARINERS -2.5 (+100) is the pick in this game with the pitching matchup being lopsided. Despite Castillo’s recent woes, Muller has been one of the worst starters in baseball and the Athletics are a perfect get-right team for Castillo to face.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

Even with Castillo on the mound for the Mariners and limiting the Athletics, Muller is bleeding runs to opposing teams at a torrid pace. And even when Muller exits the game, Oakland’s bullpen has allowed the most earned runs (135) in the league.

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (26-54) take the field against the Seattle Mariners (38-42) Sunday at T-Mobile Park in the finale of a 4-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Seattle leads 6-3.

Oakland is trying for a split of the 4-game set after Seattle won 8-6 Thursday and 2-1 Saturday, while the A’s won 3-1 Friday. The A’s are just 6-24 in their last 30 games, and their .325 winning percentage is last in the majors. The A’s are 18-26 on the road and just 8-28 at home.

Seattle is 7-3 in its last 10 and are 5 games out of a wild-card spot with the All-Star break looming. The Mariners are below average offensively, 26th in runs/9, but they’re 8th in runs allowed per 9 innings. They are 14th with a 3.79 bullpen ERA, which is something they’ll need to address by the trade deadline if they’re serious this year.

Athletics at Mariners projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Montas (3-8, 3.20 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 95 2/3 IP.

  • He threw 8 shutout innings with 2 H, 2 BB and 8 K in a no-decision June 23 against the Mariners.
  • He’s just 1-4 in his last 7 starts, but has a 2.80 ERA.
  • Current Mariners are hitting .161 with a .197 weighted on-base average in 59 plate appearances

Ray (6-6, 3.78 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 97 2/3 IP.

  • He’s 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 16 K’s in 12 IP against the A’s this season.
  • Is 2-2 with a 2.51 ERA and 9.8 K/9 in his last 7 starts
  • Current A’s are hitting .254 with a .335 weighted on-base average in 74 plate appearances.

Athletics at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Athletics +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-180) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Athletics at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Athletics 3, Mariners 2

Money line

Seattle is going to be without OF Jesse Winker for this one as he began a 6-game suspension Saturday. Ray should keep Seattle in it as he is a much better pitcher at home with a 2.45 ERA vs. a 5.24 ERA on the road. The A’s have scored just 2.1 runs per game in the last 6 games against Seattle this season. I feel the A’s have about as good of a chance in this game as the M’s do. Let’s take the value with ATHLETICS +125.

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Run line/Against the spread

The A’s are a great 28-15 on the run line away from Oakland this year, but -180 is too steep of a price. If you’re on board with the A’s winning, simply stick to the ML or LEAN ATHLETICS FIRST 9 INNINGS (+155).

Over/Under

It’s expected to be 61 degrees with a light 8-mph gust of wind blowing straight out. It should be a low-scoring affair with 2 horses on the mound in chilly conditions. The Under has cashed in 3 of 4 between these teams. Let’s LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-105).

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (25-52) visit the Seattle Mariners (36-41) as the AL West foes open a 4-game series Thursday night. The contest at T-Mobile Park is slated for a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Seattle leads 4-2. The Mariners have outscored the A’s 33-20.

The Athletics traveled across the continent after a Wednesday afternoon game at Yankee Stadium. Oakland lost Wednesday, capping off a sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees. The A’s head into this series having dropped 7 of their last 9 games.

The Mariners sport the inverse mark over their last 9 games (7-2). Over that stretch, Seattle pitching has compiled a 2.59 ERA.

Athletics at Mariners projected starters

RHP Adrian Martinez vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Martinez is tabbed for his 2nd start of the season. The 25-year-old rookie made his major league debut May 10, going 5 1/3 shutout innings (4 hits, 0 BB, 3K) against the Detroit Tigers.

  • Owns a 5.63 ERA, 1.41 WHIP across 13 starts at Triple-A Las Vegas.
  • Albeit in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, has yielded 6 home runs in his last 29 Triple-A innings.

Gilbert (8-3, 2.44 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 88 2/3 IP.

  • Has gone 6+ innings in 7 of his last 8 starts.
  • Has yielded just 2 ER (with 1 BB and 17K) over his last 19 IP at home.

Athletics at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mariners -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Athletics +1.5 (-117) | Mariners -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Athletics at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Athletics 4

Money line

Oakland is almost impossible to back on any extra-juice plays. There is just too much working against the bettor, and most of it is in uniform.

Seattle is a club I’d back as a playoff dark horse. It’s pretty obvious they’ve underplayed their 3.97 runs per game against 3.97 RPG allowed. AVOID THIS PLAY, THOUGH.

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Run line/Against the spread

In Seattle’s last 7 wins, the club has won by multiple runs 6 times.

With some strong Over lean here and the righty-righty matchup being a platoon advantage for the Mariners, TAKE SEATTLE -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

Some likable under-the-surface indicators for both offenses mixes with moderate fade-Gilbert (although the home venue helps) lean and a toxic Oakland bullpen.

Result? BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-107).

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (85-73) and Seattle Mariners (88-70) cap off a three-game series Wednesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Frankie Montas is the scheduled starting pitcher for the Athletics. Through 31 starts this season, he is 13-9 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 across 181 IP.

  • Current Seattle batters own an aggregate .907 OPS against him.
  • Owns a 1.80 ERA, 0.96 WHIP over his last seven starts.

RHP Logan Gilbert is the scheduled starter for the Mariners. He is 6-5 with a 4.83 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 113 2/3 IP over 23 starts.

  • Owns a 4.97 ERA across 12 2/3 IP spanning three starts against Oakland this season.
  • Has scuffled in the second half after toting a 3.51 ERA, 0.97 WHIP into the All-Star break. Owns a 5.82 ERA since, including a 5.53 mark in his home park.

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Mariners -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+160) | Mariners +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

Athletics pitchers owned an 11-game 2.52 ERA until running into the Mariners in Monday’s series opener. Now, Oakland has dropped the first two games of this series, while yielding 13 runs Monday and 4 Tuesday. The A’s are 3-6 since Sept. 20, and their slip has all but officially knocked them out of the playoff picture.

The Mariners are 13-6 with an improved .748 OPS since Sept. 8. Their .689 OPS for the season ranks 26th in the league.

Seattle is 14-4 over 18 games against the A’s. The Mariners have flummoxed analytics observers (including this one) by being 18 games over-.500 while scoring 4.32 runs per game and allowing 4.64; however, the starter matchup — and the somewhat false perceptions on both sides — play into a Seattle lean Wednesday.

BACK THE MARINERS (-110).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juice-drowned run-line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers tell the story of two offenses a bit too far out over their skis. There is also some play to Gilbert (hurt by a 66.6% left-on-base figure) and both bullpens being better than surface numbers indicate.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-125).

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (85-72) and Seattle Mariners (87-70) continue a three-game series Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chris Bassitt is the scheduled starting pitcher for the Athletics. He is 12-4 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 154 IP over 26 starts.

  • Went three innings versus these Mariners in his last start, which was a return to action after being hit by a comebacker that caused multiple facial fractures Aug. 17.
  • Owns a 2.51 ERA, 0.95 WHIP since the All-Star break. Has been a strong finisher throughout his career, posting a 3.08 ERA in September games.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the scheduled starter for the Mariners. He is 7-10 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 161 1/3 IP over 29 starts.

  • Owns a 3.16 ERA at home vs. a 5.42 figure on the road. Coming off a woeful road turn against the Angels that took his season ERA from 3.38 to 4.66: allowed 9 ER on 9 hits in 2 IP on Saturday.

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Athletics 4, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

Oakland is 3-1 over its last four games and 8-5 over its last 13. Athletics pitchers owned an 11-game 2.52 ERA until running into the Mariners in Monday’s series opener.

Seattle clocked a 13-4 win over Oakland Monday. The Mariners are 14-8 with an improved .732 OPS since Sept. 4. Their .688 OPS for the season ranks 26th in the league.

The Mariners are 13-4 over 17 games against the A’s. But peg Seattle as being overrated by its record. A 33-18 mark in 1-run games figures into that overall account.

With Oakland getting Bassitt in his second turn back, TAKE THE ATHLETICS -120.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line in a game with a likable Under.

Over/Under (O/U)

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers tell the story of two offenses a bit too far out over their skis.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (+105).

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (85-71) meet AL West co-tenant the Seattle Mariners (86-70) Monday to begin a pivotal three-game set at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Oakland swept the Houston Astros in a three-game set this past weekend but is 3 games back of the Boston Red Sox for the second AL Wild Card berth and behind both Seattle and the Toronto Blue Jays in the playoff race.

Seattle has won seven of its past eight games, which includes a four-game sweep of the A’s last week, and is just 2 games back of the Red Sox for the second AL Wild Card seed.

Season series: Mariners 12-4.

LHP Cole Irvin is Oakland’s projected starter. Irvin is 10-14 with a 3.99 ERA (169 1/3 IP, 75 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 30 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-1, 5 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 3 BB and 5 K Wednesday vs. the Mariners.
  • Irvin is 0-4 in four starts this year against Seattle with a 7.56 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 29 H, 7 BB and 10 K.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 5.27 FIP with a .400 batting average (BA), .439 wOBA, .454 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 11.5 K% and 87.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 78 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Chris Flexen makes his 30th start for the Mariners. Flexen is 13-6 with a 3.56 ERA (169 1/3 IP, 67 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, Wednesday at the A’s with a stat line of 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K.
  • Flexen is 2-2 this year against Oakland with a 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.12 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB in four starts.
  • vs. A’s on the current roster: 3.14 FIP with a .224 BA, .267 wOBA, .334 xSLG, 18.1 K% and 89.8 mph EV in 72 PA.

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Mariners -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MARINERS (-117) for 1 unit because Seattle has a significant edge in the pitching department, is nine games above-.500 at home and eight games above-.500 vs. lefty starters.

Furthermore, Flexen’s basic stats and pitching peripherals vs. the A’s are far better than Irvin’s against the Mariners. Also, Seattle’s bullpen ranks ahead of Oakland’s in ERA and most advanced pitching metrics such as home run per nine-inning rate, K-BB%, xFIP and SIERA.

On top of that, the Mariners have owned the A’s this season and have a much better record against AL West teams.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Mariners +1.5 (-190) because they are 32-15 ATS as a home underdog and I’d listen to a case for adding Seattle’s run line in a parlay with another similarly priced side for a plus-money payout.

However, it’s a little of my price range for a straight-up wager even though the Mariners have a good return on investment in this spot.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because the Athletics-Mariners meeting last week with these starters on the mound went Under the total, and the Under has cashed in seven of their past eight contests.

Also, both teams play more to the Under in their respective location-based O/U trends and there should be a playoff-like atmosphere in this game since both teams are in must-win scenarios.

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (56-44) wrap up their four-game series with the Seattle Mariners (53-46) Sunday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle beat Oakland Saturday 5-4 to take a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4 as Mariners OF Mitch Haniger went 3-for-4 with two home runs, a double, three RBIs and was in the batter’s box when Seattle won on a walk-off wild pitch.

Season series: Mariners lead 5-4.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 20th start for the A’s. Irvin is 7-8 with a 3.42 ERA (113 IP, 43 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K vs. the Los Angeles Angels Monday.
  • Irvin lost his first career start against Seattle earlier this season (May 25) with a stat line of 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Oakland’s 4-3 defeat.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-3 with a 2.85 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.12 WHIP and 4.6 K/BB rate in eight starts.

LHP Marco Gonzales is Seattle’s projected starter. Gonzales is 2-5 with a 5.69 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 across 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-4, with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 3 K Tuesday at the Colorado Rockies.
  • Gonzales got a no-decision in Seattle’s 12-6 loss to Oakland June 1 with 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
    • vs. A’s on the current roster: 4.24 FIP with a .257 batting average, .322 wOBA, .445 expected slugging percentage, 19.9 K% and 89.4 mph exit velocity in 186 plate appearances.

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Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mariners +110 bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mariners 5, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the MARINERS (+110) for a tiny wager because Seattle’s run line is my favorite side of this game. The Mariners have an edge in the pitching battle and the A’s lineup has struggled through the first eight games after the All-Star Break.

Irvin’s first start this season against the Mariners was his second-lowest graded outing (according to FanGraphs.com). While Gonzales pitched well vs. Oakland earlier this year, he only pitched four frames because it was his first start off of an injury.

Seattle’s bullpen is much better than Oakland’s. The Mariners’ relievers rank in the top 10 of K-BB%, SIERA and WAR, while the A’s relievers grade in the bottom 10 in each of those categories.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET 1 unit on the MARINERS +1.5 (-145) since all five of Seattle’s victories over Oakland this season have been by a single run.

It’d be wise to get a run-and-a-half cushion for what could be a close game. The Mariners have covered roughly 70% of their games as home underdogs this season (24-10 ATS).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) as a “contrarian play” against a market that’s betting the Over at an 80% clip (according to Pregame.com) even though these teams are a combined 11-20 O/U with these starters on the mound.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners MLB picks and betting predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (56-42) continue their four-game series with the Seattle Mariners (51-46) Friday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Athletics lead 4-3.

RHP Frankie Montas takes the hill for Oakland. He is 8-8 with a 4.33 ERA (106 IP, 51 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-2, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 7 K Saturday against the Cleveland Indians.
  • Montas lost to Seattle May 24 with 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 11 K in Oakland’s 4-2 home loss.
    • vs. Mariners on the current roster (65 PA): 4.20 FIP with a .300 batting average (BA), .383 wOBA, .419 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 30.8 K% and 88.0 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Yusei Kikuchi is on the mound for the Mariners. He is 6-5 with a 3.92 ERA (103 1/3 IP, 45 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 over 17 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 9-4, with 5 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 7 K at the Los Angeles Angels Saturday.
  • Kikuchi was the winning pitcher against Montas May 24 (4-2) with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K.
    • vs. Athletics on the current roster (97 PA): 4.92 FIP with a .239 BA, .302 wOBA, .346 xSLG, 19.6 K% and 92.6 mph EV.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the MARINERS (-105) even though Seattle has by far the highest luck factor in the league because the Mariners continuously find ways to win games by coming through in high-leverage situations and Seattle has an edge in Friday’s pitching matchup.

The Mariners have been better this season against teams with a winning record and in the AL West than the A’s. Also, Montas typically wears down in the second half of the season.

For instance, Montas is 0-5 for his career after the All-Star break with a 4.60 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 2.3 K/BB rate, which are all worse than his first-half stats.

Lastly, Seattle’s bullpen has the second-best WAR and FIP, and the third-best home run per nine-inning rate.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since my Seattle money line wager is a “lean” and Mariners +1.5 (-170) is a little out of my price range.

However, there’s a case to be made for Seattle’s run line because the Mariners are 22-10 ATS as home underdogs this season and Oakland’s bullpen is weak. The A’s relief corps is a bottom-five unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) because the “sharps” are opposite the “public” in the betting market with the pros backing the Under. Oakland has played to the Under in five straight games, as well.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (55-42) travel to T-Mobile Park Thursday to start a four-game series with the AL West rival Seattle Mariners (51-44) at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 3-3.

LHP Sean Manaea takes the mound for the Athletics. Manaea is 6-6 with a 3.28 ERA (109 2/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 over 19 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Oakland’s 5-4 win vs. the Cleveland Indians Friday.
  • One of Manaea’s two shutouts came in his only start this season against Seattle as he allowed 4 hits, 2 walks and struck out 8 in Oakland’s 6-0 victory June 2.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 2.21 FIP with a .226 batting average (BA), .244 wOBA, .352 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 22.5 K% and 88.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 89 plate appearances.

RHP Chris Flexen is Seattle’s projected starter. Flexen is 9-3 with a 3.35 ERA (99 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 over 17 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-5, with 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Los Angeles Angels Friday.
  • Flexen was the opposing pitcher in Manaea’s June 2 shutout win over Seattle, posting a stat line of 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Athletics on the current roster: 4.33 FIP with a .267 BA, .322 wOBA, .411 xSLG, 12.9 K% and 89.7 mph EV in 31 plate appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Athletics at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the MARINERS (+115) for a half unit because Flexen has been awesome at home this season. The Mariners are 29-20 at home this year and they’re also 20-13 vs. lefty starters.

Flexen is 6-2 in Seattle this season with a 1.76 ERA (5.92 road ERA), 0.95 WHIP (1.61 road WHIP) and 4.3 K/BB at home (2.2 K/BB on the road).

Also, if Flexen can turn the game over to his relievers with the lead or tied I like the Mariners’ chances of pulling this game out in the late innings because their bullpen is a lot more reliable.

For instance, Seattle’s bullpen is second in WAR while Oakland’s ranks 21st. Furthermore, the Mariners relievers rank in the top 10 in K-BB% and SIERA whereas the Athletics’ bullpen is in the bottom 10 of those categories.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I also “LEAN” to the FIRST FIVE INNINGS MARINERS +0.5 (-115) for a half unit but would prefer taking this line more than Seattle’s money line because the Mariners have won eight of Flexen’s 10 home starts and he’s exited the game with Seattle either tied or ahead in eight of the 10 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (-115) for a half unit because the market is hammering the Over but, if anything, the total is moving down with the Under being the more expensive side to bet.

Moreover, the Athletics are 17-24-2 O/U in road games, the Mariners are 20-27-2 O/U in home games and the Under has cashed in Oakland’s last four games as a favorite.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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