Tag: Athletics Guardians odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (19-57) finish out a 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (35-38) on Thursday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 4-1

The Athletics lost 7-6 to the Guardians on Wednesday, extending their losing streak to 7 games. Oakland has the worst record in baseball and is 18 games behind the 4th-place Seattle Mariners in the AL West.

In Wednesday’s 1-run victory, 3B Jose Ramirez and 1B Josh Naylor combined to supply 7 hits, including Naylor’s 9th HR of the season. Cleveland has won 3 games in a row and is only 1 game back of the Minnesota Twins atop the AL Central.

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Athletics at Guardians projected starters

LHP JP Sears vs. LHP Logan Allen

Sears (1-4, 4.24 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 76 1/3 innings.

  • Has surrendered at least 1 HR in 11 of his 14 starts and is tied for the 6th-most HRs allowed (17) this season
  • April 4 vs. Guardians: 4 2/3 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K and no-decision in 4-3 win

Allen (3-2, 3.95 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 54 2/3 innings.

  • After giving up 3 ER or fewer in his 1st 8 starts, has allowed 10 ER, 13 H with 6 BB and 6 K in 9 IP in his last 2 starts
  • Guardians are 7-3 in Allen’s 10 starts

Athletics at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-135) | Guardians -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Athletics at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Athletics 3

Moneyline

The Guardians should be able to extend their winning streak to 4 games on Thursday against the Athletics. That being said, wagering on Cleveland’s moneyline at the current odds (-185) isn’t advised. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

GUARDIANS -1.5 (+110) has solid value with the Athletics being the worst team in baseball. Allen has sputtered in recent starts, but the Athletics have the worst wOBA (.236) and wRC+ (53) against left-handed pitching since the start of June.

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Over/Under

With the Guardians coming off a 7-run performance on Wednesday, OVER 8 (+100) is an enticing bet. Despite Oakland’s woes against southpaws, Cleveland owns the 8th-best wRC+ (113) against left-handed pitching since the beginning of June.

The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland and 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings overall.

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Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (19-56) and Cleveland Guardians (34-38) play the middle game of a 3-game set Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-1

The A’s fell 3-2 in 10 innings Tuesday after taking a 2-0 lead in the 7th. The Guardians tied it in the bottom half and won it in the extra frame. Oakland has now lost 6 in a row after its 7-game win streak. The A’s are just 9-21 over the last 30 games.

The Guardians have won 2 in a row to make it an even 5-5 over the last 10 games. They sit just 1 game behind the Minnesota Twins for 1st place in the AL Central. Cleveland is 15-15 over its last 30 games, but has gone 11-6 against the AL West.

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Athletics at Guardians projected starters

RHP Paul Blackburn vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Blackburn (0-0, 3.48 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and a 10.0 K/9 in 20 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K Thursday against Tampa Bay Rays
  • In 4 career starts vs. Guardians: 1-1, 2.96 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 15 K in 24 1/3 IP

Williams is making his major-league debut. He’s 3-2 with a 2.93 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 46 innings at Triple-A Columbus.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K June 14 against Triple-A Omaha.
  • The 23rd overall pick in the 2021 MLB Draft throws a fastball, slider, curveball and changeup. He threw his fastball, which can touch 100 mph, 62% of the time at Omaha

Athletics at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Guardians -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-135) | Guardians -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Athletics at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Athletics 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The key to this game will be how many strikes Williams can throw in his MLB debut. He dominated hitters with his fastball at Triple-A, but he got hit hard when contact was made. That led to a lot of walks.

On the other side, you have Blackburn, who is a solid, former All-Star pitcher. He’s coming off a decent showing with 9 K’s against the Rays. Let’s go bold here and take the ATHLETICS +145.

Run line/Against the spread

Oakland has a slightly better record on the road than they do at home. The A’s are also 17-20 on the RL on the road, which is saying something for a team 37 games below .500. They’ve lost 3 straight 1-run games and have covered this in 8 of 10.

The ATHLETICS +1.5 (-135) is my favorite bet in this one.

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Over/Under

The A’s are just 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and Cleveland is 5-4-1. Neither of these teams score many runs, and it seems like if Cleveland gets to 4 runs, the lights are out most times. The wild card is Williams in his MLB debut.

The wind is blowing in at 9 mph. The Under is 33-16-3 in the last 52 meetings in Cleveland. The Under has cashed in the Guardians’ last 4 against a team with a winning percentage below .400.

Wait until closer to gametime for this one because I think the total will steam up to 8.5, but LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (19-55) and the Cleveland Guardians (33-38) open a 3-game series Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Guardians won 2 of 3 games from the Athletics in Oakland back on April 3-5, outscoring the A’s 21-19. The Over went 2-0-1 during the 3-game set.

The Athletics won 7 in a row from June 6-13 but have returned to their losing ways with 5 consecutive setbacks. The offense has dried up as it’s posted a total of just 13 runs in the past 6 games with the Under cashing in 6 of Oakland’s last 7 outings.

The Guardians posted a 12-3 win at the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday as they salvaged a lone victory in the 3-game set. It’s been all or nothing for Cleveland lately, posting 8 or more runs in 4 of the past 10 outings, while managing 3 or fewer runs in 4 of the contests.

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Athletics at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Medina vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Medina (1-6, 7.55 ERA) makes his 7th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 over 39 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-3 home loss vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-3, 9.35 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 18 ER – 4 HR) with a .301 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Civale (2-2, 2.67 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 across 27 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 4 BB, 7 K in 5-0 road loss vs. the San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.76 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 6 ER) with a .277 OBA in 2 starts

Athletics at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Guardians -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-105) | Guardians -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: –15 | U: -105)

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Athletics at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Athletics 2

Moneyline

The Guardians (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a team that is 5 games under .500 overall with a minus-22 run differential and just 16-17 at home.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-115) are a better value on the run line.

Cleveland is 5-2 in the past 7 games as a favorite and has won by 2 or more runs in 4 of its last 6 outings.

The Athletics have managed to win just 14 of the past 53 games on the road and just 9-42 in the past 51 games following a loss. Oakland simply cannot be trusted.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 9 (-105) is the lean — but go lightly.

Cleveland has scored just 277 runs in 71 games, good for 3.9 runs per game, to rank 27th in the majors. Oakland ranks last in the majors with just 3.5 runs per contest, a .222 batting average and a .656 OPS. You can’t trust either of these offenses to plate very many runs.

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Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (20-39) and Cleveland Guardians (27-26) meet Friday for the second contest in a 4-game series at Progressive Field. First pitch is slated for a 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 4-0.

The Athletics have lost 9 games in a row, and the offense has been in shambles. The A’s have scored a total of 18 runs while notching a .520 OPS along that span.

The Guardians scuffled in late May, but they’ve been on a roll with a lot of home games and wins of late. Cleveland is 8-2 overall (6-1 at home) since May 30, and its pitching owns a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over that stretch.

Athletics at Guardians projected starters

RHP Paul Blackburn vs. LHP Triston McKenzie

Blackburn (5-2, 2.62 ERA) has registered a 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 58 1/3 IP across 11 starts.

  • Had a tidy 1.70 ERA through May 25 but has allowed 8 runs over his last 10 2/3 IP.
  • Has thus far posted a 1.14 ERA and 0.98 WHIP on the road. His career road ERA of 4.31 is a full run lower than his home mark.

McKenzie (3-5, 3.10 ERA) owns a 0.86 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 58 IP in 9 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has gone 7 or more innings in 4 straight starts.
  • Did not allow a run to the Athletics across 6 1/3 IP in Oakland May 6.

Athletics at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Guardians -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Athletics +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Athletics at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Athletics 5, Guardians 4

Money line

McKenzie is a solid pitcher, but he’s getting by with a .175 batting average on balls in play. The back end of the bullpen behind him is ripe for some fatigue issues if pushed just a little in this one.

Once again, Oakland is perhaps a partial-unit play here. TAKE OAKLAND (+135).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: the payout on the outright Athletics play is worth it.

Over/Under

Oakland’s offensive numbers can’t be sugar-coated. However, the A’s have battled through some low BABIP figures in high-leverage situations.

Mix in Cleveland’s bullpen situation and both starters being a bit too far over their skis with surface numbers and the OVER 7.5 (-122) becomes a strong play in this Friday contest.

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Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (20-38) and Cleveland Guardians (26-26) clash in the Thursday night opener of a 4-game series at Progressive Field. First pitch is slated for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 3-0.

The Athletics were beaten in all 3 games of an April 29-May 1 home series against Cleveland. And they have lost 8 in a row heading into this set at Progressive Field. Over their 8-straight losses, the A’s have scored a total of 14 runs while notching a .483 OPS.

The Guardians scuffled in late May, but they’ve been on a roll with a lot of home games and wins of late. Since May 30, Cleveland is 7-2 (5-1 at home). Over that stretch, Cleveland pitching owns a 2.70 ERA, 1.04 WHIP.

Athletics at Guardians projected starters

RHP James Kaprielian vs. LHP Konnor Pilkington

Kaprielian (0-3, 6.06 ERA) has made 7 starts this season. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 13 ER over his last 14 2/3 IP.
  • Faced Cleveland May 1 and allowed 4 ER in 2 IP.

Pilkington (1-0, 2.65 ERA) owns a 1.59 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 17 IP across 6 games (3 starts).

  • Coming off 5 shutout innings in a June 1 home start vs. the Kansas City Royals.
  • Has done well to limit hard-hit balls and has not yielded a home run.
  • Is a 2022 rookie. Has only pitched 31 1/3 IP above Double-A.

Athletics at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Athletics +1.5 (-140) | Guardians -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Athletics at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Athletics 5, Guardians 4

Money line

With some play to Kaprielian’s numbers and some fade in Pilkington’s, the edge starts with Oakland. It stays there through an assessment of both bullpens.

The Athletics’ offense has been hamstrung by low batting averages on balls in play in several different key situations.

Not in a hurry to part with an investment in a club on a losing streak, so perhaps go in just for a partial-unit play, but the best value here is on OAKLAND (+155).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: the payout on the outright Athletics play is worth it.

Over/Under

Areas to leverage — hitting and pitching versus expected numbers — on both sides and for starters, bullpens and accounting for platoon and home/road splits swing into a slight lean at 8.5 runs for this one.

Would buy the Over at a better price, so perhaps tag this game for a line watch. An Over 8.5 priced at -115 has value. Otherwise, you could take the ALTERNATE LINE of OVER 7.5 (-165).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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