Tag: Astros White Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (34-40) and Chicago White Sox (20-55) meet Thursday to close out a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Houston rebounded from a 2-0 loss Tuesday to beat Chicago 4-1 Wednesday while covering as a -110 road favorite.  RHP Hunter Brown picked up the win (6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 7 K) as the Astros have won 2 of their last 3 games.

The White Sox have lost 2 of their last and have failed to score more than 1 run in 3 of their last 4 losses.

Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Chris Flexen

Arrighetti (3-6, 6.37 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 13-5 loss vs. the Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • First career start vs. White Sox

Flexen (2-6, 5.35 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 67 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 7-1 loss to the Diamondbacks in Arizona Friday
  • Career vs. Houston: 1-6, 4.71 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.51 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 9 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | White Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (-115) | White Sox +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, White Sox 1

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Astros (-185) to pick up the win here, but the line is just slightly too risky to bet on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ASTROS -1.5 (-115).

Only 1 of Houston’s last 6 wins vs. the White Sox finished within a 1-run margin, so I don’t expect that to happen again here.

Houston is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games and is 3-2 ATS in its last 5 while the White Sox are only 2-3 ATS in their last 5. Chicago is also 1-2 ATS in its last 3 games and is also 1-2 ATS in its last 3 home games.

This is a lean as both teams are below .500 ATS this season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

The Under has hit in both games of the series and in each of the last 5 meetings. Chicago is 5-2 to the Under in its last 7 overall. For Houston the Under is 3-0 in its last 3 games and 7-3 in its last 10.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (33-40) face the Chicago White Sox (20-54) for the second game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: White Sox lead 1-0

RHP Jonathan Cannon scattered 7 hits in 8 2/3 scoreless innings and the White Sox shut out the Astros 2-0 in the series opener Tuesday.

The Astros have alternated wins and losses over their last 6 games and are 3-5 in their last 8.

The White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games but are 6-24 in their last 30.

Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. LHP Garrett Crochet

Brown (3-5, 5.00 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 68 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 4-0 home victory over Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Has not allowed a run in last 2 starts (13 IP)

Crochet (6-5, 3.16 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 82 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 3-2 road win over Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Is 5-1 with 1.13 ERA over last 8 starts (48 IP)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | White Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+145) | White Sox +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

What a fun matchup with the starters.

Crochet has been dominant for a month and a half. Brown hasn’t allowed a run in his last 2 starts and has a 2.58 ERA over his last 8 outings.

The Astros are bad on the road at 14-21, but the Sox aren’t good at home at 13-23.

But the White Sox have held opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games.

I’m riding the hot hand with Crochet, as the Sox are 6-2 in his last 8 outings.

BET WHITE SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Expecting a White Sox win, it wouldn’t make sense to bet them to cover the +1.5 at -175.

Now, as 9 of Chicago’s last 10 wins have been by more than 1 run and 5 of the last 6 wins with Crochet starting have been by 2 or more runs, you can really add to your winnings by laddering an alternate spread.

BET ALTERNATE SPREAD WHITE SOX -1.5 (+190).

Over/Under

Five of Crochet’s last 6 starts have not reached 8 total runs. Brown’s last 5 starts have all had 7 or fewer total runs.

This should be a low-scoring game.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (20-19) and Chicago White Sox (14-27) meet Sunday afternoon to close out a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

Houston is looking to take Sunday’s rubber match after the Astros and ChiSox split the Friday and Saturday games of this set. A series win would mark the Astros’ 2nd in a row after losing 3 straight series from  April 28-May 7.

The White Sox snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 3-1 triumph Saturday. That pitching-and-defensive performance goes against the grain of the club allowing an untenable 5.90 runs per game for the season, the 2nd worst mark in MLB.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Lucas Giolito

Brown (3-1, 3.23 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has logged a 1.31 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Posted a 1.80 ERA from April 9-May 2 but allowed 4 runs on 9 hits over 4 1/3 innings in his last start at the Los Angeles Angels Monday
  • Figures to see a left lean in the Chicago batting order: has limited lefty bats to a .504 OPS in 125 career plate appearances

Giolito (2-2, 3.59 ERA) is making his 9th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 5.23 ERA over his last 5 starts against Houston
  • Faced the Astros on April 1, allowing 3 R (2 ER) in 5 IP
  • Has a 2.36 ERA and 0.79 WHIP across 3 home starts in 2023

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | White Sox +118 (bet $100 to win $118)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+122) | White Sox +1.5 (-146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

Brown does a good job inducing ground-ball contact, but he has been somewhat fortunate on the fly balls he has allowed (4.2% HR/FB). He’s failed to pitch 5 innings in 3 of his last 4 outings, walked 5 two starts back and is a young hurler making his 2nd straight road start.

That’s enough smoke to expect some regression. Giolito puts the best foot forward for a bad White Sox club with a struggling (but underrated by its surface ERA) bullpen.

TAKE CHICAGO (+118).

Run line/Against the spread

Houston has only played in 6 one-run games. The preference here is to shoot for the plus return on a straight-up wager. PASS.

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Over/Under

PASS. The runs scoring and prevention — expected vs. actual — evens out when paring these teams. The slight fade to Brown and slight play on the Pale Hose bullpen does nothing to add a lean.

Not enough fish on either side of the boat. Pull in the lines and fish elsewhere.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (20-18) continue their series on the road against the Chicago White Sox (13-27) for the 2nd of their 3-game series on Saturday night. First pitch is 7:15 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-2.

The Astros took the series opener Friday 5-1 after a rain delay of more than 2 hours. OF Ryan Tucker’s 2-run double in the 5th gave the Astros a 2-1 lead and they never looked back. RHP J.P. France picked up his 1st win of the year with 6 2/3 scoreless innings. It was the Astros’ 3rd win in a row.

The White Sox have lost 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 games. They have scored 4 combined runs in the losing streak.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Brandon Bielak vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Bielak (0-1, 4.15 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.96 WHIP, 5 BB and 6 K through 8 2/3 IP.

  • Lost his last (and first) start 3-1 to Seattle, allowing 3 R (2 ER), 10 H and 2 BB in 4 2/3 IP
  • Has 3.18 ERA in 3 relief appearances vs. Chicago (5 2/3 IP)

Cease (2-2, 5.58 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 40 1/3 IP.

  • 0-2 with 10.93 ERA in last 3 starts (14 IP)
  • 0-3 with 5.13 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Astros

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-185) | White Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, White Sox 3

Moneyline

It is interesting to see the Astros with positive odds in this game on the moneyline. They are 12-7 on the road this season and the White Sox are 6-11 at home and are 3-6 in their last 9 games.

The Astros have won 3 in a row. They have beaten the White Sox in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

BET ASTROS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Betting the Astros to simply cover isn’t worth the -185 odds.

The White Sox only have 2 wins of 2 or more runs in their last 9 games.

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Over/Under

Only 1 of the 5 games the teams have played this season has had more than 9 total runs.

The Astros have not scored more than 5 runs in their last 6 games and also in 8 of their last 9.

The White Sox have not scored more than 3 in their last 3.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (19-18) and Chicago White Sox (13-26) open a 3-game set Friday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Astros won 5-4 as -125 favorites at the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday. Houston took the 3-game series 2-1 and has won back-to-back games for the 1st time since April 30-May 1.

The White Sox lost 4-3 as -107 favorites at the Kansas City Royals Thursday. Chicago has lost back-to-back games but is 6-5 in its last 11 contests.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP J.P. France vs. RHP Michael Kopech

France (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He allowed 0 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 5 innings in his debut at the Seattle Mariners Saturday.

  • 2023 with AAA-Sugar Land: 2-1, 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 0 HR, 11 BB, 26 K in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances

Kopech (1-3, 5.97 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 37 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 17-4 win at Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • Career vs. Astros: 0-2, 5.25 ERA (12 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 7 K in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+110) | White Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Astros 4

Moneyline

Houston has played down to the level of its competition lately and is 0-4 in its last 4 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400. France was dominant in his career debut, but it is unlikely that he can sustain that level of production vs. MLB hitters.

Chicago has played well vs. the Astros this season and is 4-1 in its last 5 games after a loss.

BET WHITE SOX (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Chicago +1.5 (-135) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the White Sox should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over is 6-2 in Chicago’s last 8 games and 4-1 in its last 5 at home. These teams tend to play high-scoring games vs. each other, with the Over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and Friday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase as France comes back down to Earth after an impressive showing in his career debut.

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (75-43) try to turn it around against the Chicago White Sox (61-56) Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-2

The Astros blew leads late in the last 2 games to fall to the White Sox 4-2 Monday and 4-3 Tuesday. Houston is just 11-9 over the last 20 games in this rough patch.

The White Sox are playing spirited baseball, having won 5 in a row. They’re 1 game back of the AL Central-leading Guardians. Chicago is doing it with starting pitching from unlikely sources like 8 strong innings from RHP Johnny Cueto Monday.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Michael Kopech

Valdez (11-4, 2.73 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 142 IP.

  • Having career year, tied for lowest HR/9 in MLB at 0.4
  • Last start: Allowed 4 H and 1 BB in 7 shutout IP with 8 K in 7-3 home win vs. Texas Thursday
  • Allowed 3 ER on 8 H and no BB with 7 K over 6 IP in 13-3 home win vs. White Sox June 17

Kopech (4-8, 3.18 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 104 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off his best start of career with 6 shutout IP and 11 K in a no-decision, White Sox 2-0 victory vs. Detroit Friday
  • Allowed 4 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 4 K in 5 IP in a 4-3 loss at Astros June 19

Astros at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+110) | White Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, White Sox 4

Money line

The Astros are the superior team, and now that they have blown leads late in the last 2 games, I look for them to respond. White Sox starter Kopech has an electric fastball, but he can’t locate his stuff. His walk rate is far too high, which gets him into trouble, and the Astros feast on fastballs.

HOUSTON (-155) feels like a bargain.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. We’re picking the Astros to win by 2 runs, but the ML is a good enough value to be happy with and not get overzealous.

Over/Under

This is the first contending team Kopech has faced in 5 starts, and I look for Houston to get on the board early. The Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The forecast calls for a wind blowing out to right-center field at 9 mph. The Over is also 4-0 in Valdez’s last 4 starts. Take the OVER 7.5 (-130) for a FULL UNIT.

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (75-42) blew a late lead against the Chicago White Sox (60-56) Monday, dropping the opener of this 4-game series. They’ll look to rebound Tuesday with first pitch set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2

In Monday’s opener, the Astros led 2-0 after the top of the 1st inning but allowed 4 runs in the 8th to fall 4-2, snapping a 5-game win streak. They still boast a 36-24 mark away from home, good for 3rd in the league – behind the Dodgers’ 40-19 and the Mets’ 35-22 – but they have lost 6 of their last 8 on the road.

With 2 outs in the bottom of the 8th Monday, White Sox OF Eloy Jimenez and 3B Yoan Moncada each drove in 2 runs for the come-from-behind victory. It was Chicago’s 4th consecutive win – it is 2 games behind Cleveland for the top spot in the AL Central Division.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Verlander (15-3, 1.85 ERA) makes his 22nd start. Along with leading the majors in wins and ERA, the 2-time Cy Young winner features the top WHIP (0.86). He’s walked just 1.6 BB/9 and struck out 8.9 K/9 through 136 IP.

  • Has been rolling lately with a 1.17 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 7 ER) over last 8 starts
  • Sports a shiny 1.58 ERA in 11 road starts, though a .165 BABIP has certainly played a role in his success

Cease (12-5, 1.96 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 128 2/3 IP.

  • Has been on an incredible run lately, posing a 0.82 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 6 ER) with 85 K in last 11 starts
  • Boasts a 2.50 ERA in 12 home starts along with a 13.0 K/9

Astros at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+138) | White Sox +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Astros 2

Money line

The White Sox have taken advantage of a soft schedule in recent weeks and have won 10 of their last 12 home games. They have won 9 of the last 11 starts by Cease, while the Astros have won 10 of the last 12 times Verlander has taken the mound.

Cease has been the best pitcher in the league over the past couple of months and hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in a start since late May.

Back the home team and go with WHITE SOX (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread

This sets up to be a pitchers’ duel and should be close throughout. Cease has been as dominant as anyone for an extended period now, and Chicago isn’t likely to lose by multiple runs.

Side with WHITE SOX +1.5 (-170).

Over/Under

The Under is 6-2-1 in Chicago’s last 9 home games and 5-1 in Houston’s last 6 on the road.

With these pitchers squaring off, there won’t be many runs, and either starter is fully capable of completely shutting down the opposition.

Take the plus odds and UNDER 6.5 (+105) or bump the total up and take ALTERNATE TOTAL UNDER 7.5 (-155).

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Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (75-41) and the Chicago White Sox (59-56) meet in the opener of a 4-game set Monday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

The first-place Astros steam in on a 4-game win streak, scoring at least 6 runs in each of the victories. This team has averaged 6.5 runs per game in the last 6 games overall.

The White Sox are playing better ball lately, sweeping the Detroit Tigers in 3 games last weekend at Guaranteed Rate Field. Chicago has won 7 of its last 8 home games.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Jose Urquidy vs. RHP Johnny Cueto

Urquidy (11-4, 3.85 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 119 1/3 IP.

  • In 11 road starts he’s 6-2 with a 4.83 ERA with 11 HR allowed in 59 2/3 IP
  • Has a 4.56 ERA in 75 IP in 13 night starts vs. a 2.64 ERA over 44 1/3 IP in 8 day outings

Cueto (4-5, 3.90 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th overall appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 102 IP.

  • Is 1-3 with a 3.71 ERA and .260 opponent batting average with just 28 K across 51 IP in 7 home starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Allowed just 2 H and 2 BB with 5 K in 7 scoreless IP in June 18  win in Houston

Astros at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+125) | White Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, White Sox 2

Money line

The ASTROS (-130) are the play despite the fact both teams come in hot. The White Sox (+105) also received a tremendous performance by Cueto in his first start this season against the Astros in Houston, so go lightly here. The better play is to take the run line at plus-money for less risk.

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Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (+125) are not only on a 4-game win streak, but each of the victories have been by 2 or more runs. In fact, the average margin of victory is 4.3 runs per game. Of course, those wins were against subpar teams like the Oakland Athletics and Texas Rangers.

All 8 of Houston’s victories in the month of August have been by 2 or more runs, so if you like the Astros to win, you should like them to cover the run line.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-112) has connected in 4 of the past 5 starts by Urquidy, and he has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 3 of the previous 4 outings.

The Under has come through in 2 of the past 3 starts by Cueto, and the Under is 7-4-1 in the past 12 games overall for Chicago.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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ALDS Game 4: Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox ALDS Game 4 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox continue their best-of-five AL Division Series Tuesday with a 2:07 p.m. ET first pitch at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is the projected starter for the Astros. He was 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 across 162 1/3 IP over 28 starts in the regular season.

  • Started Game 1 of the series and held the White Sox scoreless on 4 hits over 6 2/3 IP.
  • Current Chicago bats own a .532 OPS and .057 isolated power against him.
  • Owns a 2.87 ERA in 53 1/3 career playoff innings.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starter for the White Sox. Rodon went 13-5 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 132 2/3 IP in 24 regular season starts.

  • Making his first appearance in this series
  • Faced 3 batters and allowed 2 ER on 1 H and 2 BB without recording an out in the 2020 postseason.
  • Has posted a 2.51 ERA, 0.95 WHIP across his last 43 IP at home over a stretch that began with 1 hit, 0 walks and 10 k over 7 innings July 18 against the Astros. Also allowed 1 earned run through 7 innings against the Astros in Houston June 18.
  • Current Houston batters own an aggregate .475 OPS against him.

Astros at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | White Sox -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+155) | White Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Astros 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Houston took five of seven games from Chicago in the regular season before opening a 2-0 lead in the series. The White Sox bounced back in Game 3 to stave off elimination with a 12-6 win Sunday.

Game 4’s originally scheduled matchup – RHP Jose Urquidy vs. Rodon — made for some value on the Chicago side. However, the rainout and subsequent shift to McCullers for the Astros makes HOUSTON (-103) the lean.

McCullers’ ground-ball stuff gives the White Sox problems. Chicago momentum can be lost quickly due to the rainout and a couple of good early innings by the Houston righty. A reset of the bullpens favors the Astros, anda humid, breeze out to left-center field in the forecast does also: McCullers yield grounders and Rodon is prone to fly balls.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the wide gulf between the prices here.

Over/Under (O/U)

McCullers added in, plus bullpen rest and the off day for hitters should’ve swung this total to 7.5, or at least made for a pricier 8.5.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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ALDS Game 4: Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox ALDS Game 4 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox continue their best-of-five AL Division Series Monday at 3:37 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jose Urquidy is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He went 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 107 IP over 20 starts in the regular season.

  • Allowed 5 home runs while posting a 4.96 ERA over his last three starts of the regular season.
  • Clocked a 4.24 ERA over his last 34 IP away from home.
  • Benefited from a .237 batting average on balls in play.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starter for the White Sox. In 24 regular-season starts, Rodon went 13-5 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 132 2/3 IP.

  • Making first appearance in this series. Faced 3 batters in 2020 postseason, allowing 2 ER on 1 H and 2 BB without recording an out.
  • On a stretch that began with seven one-hit IP against the Astros on July 18 (0 BB, 10K) and has posted a 2.51 ERA, 0.95 WHIP over his last 43 IP at home. Also pitched at Houston June 18, allowing 1 ER in 7 IP.
  • Current Houston batters own an aggregate .475 OPS against him.

Astros at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-190) | White Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Astros 3

Money line (ML)

Houston took five of seven games from Chicago in the regular season before opening a 2-0 lead in this playoff series. The White Sox bounced back in Game 3 to stave off elimination with a 12-6 win Sunday.

Game 4 presents more value on the home nine. Urquidy is out too far over his skis with a surface ERA of 3.62. He hasn’t been effective of late and is a much more productive pitcher in his home yard. Rodon has been tough on Houston and his peripheral numbers are solid.

Only the Los Angeles Dodgers (58 home wins) and San Francisco Giants (54) won more home games than the Pale Hose (53) in the regular season.

TAKE CHICAGO (-130).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The White Sox can be quite average against ground-ball pitchers. That’s what Chicago saw in Games 1 and 2 against RHP Lance McCullers and LHP Framber Valdez. The Sox are a much more dangerous offense at home and against fly-ball hurlers. That was the case Sunday. It also applies in this one against Urquidy (32.2% GB rate).

Add in a bit more bullpen fatigue on the Houston side. BACK THE WHITE SOX -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under (O/U)

A PASS is suggested. Looking for a cooldown after 18 runs were scored is reasonable, but there are signals that point the other way, too.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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