Tag: Astros Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Houston Astros (75-64) and Cincinnati Reds (67-73) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 2-0

After a 5-3 win in the Tuesday opener, Cincinnati routed Houston 12-5 Wednesday while covering as a +125 home underdog. The Reds erupted for 9 runs in the 1st inning in winning its 3rd straight. RHP Nick Martinez picked up the win (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K).

Rookie RHP Spencer Arrighetti took the loss as he allowed an astounding 9 ER in 2/3 IP (6 H, 3 BB, 0 K). It was the the shortest outing, and most runs he’s allowed, in his 24-game career.

Astros at Reds projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Rhett Lowder

Brown (11-7, 3.55 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 147 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 win vs. Kansas City Royals Thursday
• First time facing Cincinnati

Lowder (0-1, 2.25 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 4 IP.

• MLB debut: Loss, 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 14-0 loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Friday
• Has 6-4 record with 3.64 ERA in 22 minor league games

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:41 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 3, Astros 1

Moneyline

LEAN REDS (+125).

Cincinnati has won 3 straight home games while Houston is 1-4 in its last 5 on the road.

The Reds have also been dominant in their recent matchups vs. Houston, going 8-2 in the last 10. They have won the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Cincinnati is slightly better ATS (78-62) than Houston (71-68), but that advantage is not big enough to make me advise taking this bet over the moneyline. You can divvy up units between this bet and the moneyline, but I like the moneyline more than this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

The Under is 3-1-1 in Houston’s last 5 road games and is 2-1 in Cincinnati’s last 3 games. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Astros-Reds meetings in Cincinnati and 6-4 in the last 10 matchups overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Houston Astros (75-63) and Cincinnati Reds (66-73) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 1-0

The Astros snapped a 5-game winning streak with a 5-3 loss against the Reds Monday as -152 road favorites. C Yainer Diaz led the way on offense with 3 RBIs while SP Justin Verlander allowed 5 ER on 8 hits and 4 walks with 3 K’s in 4 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Cincinnati has won back-to-back games after Monday’s victory as a +140 home underdog. 3B Santiago Espinal drove in 2 runs, while RP Carson Spiers (2 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K) picked up the win.

Astros at Reds projected starters

RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Nick Martinez

Arrighetti (7-11, 4.63 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 124 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 10-0 victory at Philadelphia Phillies Aug. 28
• Has never faced Reds

Martinez (6-6, 3.78 ERA) makes his 12th start and 38th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 109 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-4 home loss against Milwaukee Brewers Friday
• Career vs. Astros: 3-4, 4.13 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 13 appearances (8 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+110) | Reds +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Reds’ run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-135).

Cincinnati has scored 4 or more runs in 8 of its last 10 games, including 3 straight. It has allowed 5 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games. With Martinez on the mound, the Reds should be able to limit scoring and keep this game close, although a win may not be as probable against an Astros team that is 5-1 in its last 6.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Astros have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. The Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and 3-1 in their last 4. Cincinnati has hit the Under in back-to-back games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Houston Astros (78-58) and Cincinnati Reds (50-86) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Reds won all 3 meetings in 2023

The Astros head to Cincinnati after a 4-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals over the weekend at home. They outscored Kansas City 21-9 in the series. They hold a 6-game lead in the AL West over the Seattle Mariners. Houston is 36-33 on the road.

Cincinnati snapped a 3-game losing streak on Sunday with a 4-3 win against the Milwaukee Brewers. They have lost 5 of 7 thus far during their 10-game homestand. Cincinnati is 33-39 at home and the Reds have no shot at making the postseason.

Astros at Reds projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Julian Aguiar

Verlander (3-4, 4.16 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 67 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-0 road loss against Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• 2024 away splits: 3-2, 3.77 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 20 R (19 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 14 starts
• Last start vs Reds: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-1 road victory on May 10, 2023, as a member of the New York Mets

Aguiar (1-0, 6.43 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 14 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 10-9 home victory against Oakland A’s Thursday
• 2024 away splits: 3-2, 3.77 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 20 R (19 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 14 starts
• Firsti time facing Astros

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Astros at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Reds +136 (bet $100 to win $136)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Astros -1.5 (-106) | Reds +1.5 (-113)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Astros at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Astros (-166) will take the opener of this series in Cincinnati, but I’d rather put my wager on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ASTROS -1.5 (-106).

The Astros seem to be finding their groove after a strong weekend at home, and that momentum should carry over as they head to Cincinnati on Monday. While Houston struggled during their last road trip, it was against tough teams like Baltimore and Philadelphia.

The Reds, on the other hand, have dropped 12 of their last 17 games and are just playing out the string at this point. Cincinnati is sending rookie pitcher Aguiar to the mound for his 4th career start, and his 1st against the Astros.

Meanwhile, Houston will counter with 19-year veteran Verlander. With the Astros 19-18 in interleague play this season, backing them at -1.5 looks like a solid bet.

Over/Under

PASS.

The market seems to be indifferent to the run total sitting at 9, and I agree, but I’m not confident enough to recommend this bet. I don’t like the trends in either direction.

These teams are 4-6 O/U in the last 10 meetings. The Astros are 4-5-1 O/U in their last 10 games.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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