Tag: A’s Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Oakland A’s (19-22) and Seattle Mariners (21-19) wrap up a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The A’s are coming off an 8-1 win as +209 underdogs vs. the Mariners Saturday with the Over (8) hitting. CF JJ Bleday hit a 2-run HR in the 9th inning, and rookie RHP Joey Estes earned his 1st MLB win.

The Mariners have lost 6 of 9, with the offense scoring 3 runs or fewer in each setback. Seattle’s closing line Saturday (-232) was the most it had been favored by all season.

A’s at Mariners projected starters

LHP Alex Wood vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Wood (1-2, 5.30 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Monday
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (8 IP, 3 ER), 1.38 WHIP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance — last faced them in 2014

Castillo (3-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-1 defeat at Minnesota Twins Monday
• Career vs. A’s: 3-2, 3.45 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.19 WHIP in 5 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA (13 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts last season

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A’s at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): A’s +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-110) | Mariners -1.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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A’s at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, A’s 3

Moneyline

Seattle (-250) is favored by -200 or more for a 2nd straight game. The Mariners were blown out Saturday, but it’s unlikely that the market would be this wrong about them in back-to-back games. However, I can’t recommend risking $250 to win $100 on the ML.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle has struggled to score runs recently, but it should they should get to the lefty early. Wood has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his 8 starts and has only pitched more than 5 innings twice all season. The Mariners have a good shot at returning the favor Sunday after getting routed as -232 home favorites.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 5 straight Mariners games, and that’s where we’re leaning with this pitching matchup. However, while Oakland has scored 8 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games, it may come down to Earth against Castillo, who has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 straight starts.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Seattle Mariners (20-18) welcome the Oakland A’s (18-21) to T-Mobile Park Friday to kick off their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; Mariners took 12 of 13 last season

The Mariners lost at the Minnesota Twins 11-1 Thursday, closing as +102 underdogs. They have lost 2 in a row and 5 of their last 8. Seattle is 11-8 straight up (SU) at home, 9-10 against the spread (ATS) at home and 18-20 ATS overall.

The A’s wrapped up a 10-game homestand Wednesday, going 6-4 concluding with a doubleheader split vs. the Texas Rangers. They won the first 5 games of the stand but went 1-4 in the final 5 games. They won Wednesday’s opener 9-4 as slight +104 underdogs and lost the nightcap 12-11 as +130 dogs — covering the run line in both games. Oakland is 8-8 SU and 10-6 ATS on the road, while going 22-17 ATS on the season.

A’s at Mariners projected starters

RHP Paul Blackburn vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Blackburn (3-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 42 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 20-4 home rout of Miami Marlins Saturday
• 2024 road splits: 1-1, 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 4 HR, 1 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
• Career vs. Mariners: 2-4, 4.91 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 8 starts, including 0-1 (5 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last season

Woo (4-5, 4.21 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP in 18 starts last season, which was his rookie campaign.

• Career home splits: 2-2, 3.31 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 7 starts
• Career vs. A’s: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (11 IP, 0 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 6 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 2 starts

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A’s at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:31 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): A’s +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mariners -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-170) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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A’s at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, A’s 4

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (-154).

The Mariners have played well at home recently, beating the Braves in 2 of 3 and the Diamondbacks in 2 of 3 in their last homestand. They swept the Reds in 3 in the home series prior.

The A’s, after snapping a 6-game winning streak in early May, have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They have allowed at least 4 runs in Blackburn’s last 3 starts. For a small unit, take MARINERS (-154).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mariners -1.5 (+140) are too risky as a run-line favorites. As mentioned, they’re 9-10 ATS at home and 18-20 ATS overall.

The A’s +1.5 (-170) are too expensive to take as underdogs, especially having struggled to cover as of late.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

The A’s have gone Over in Blackburn’s last 2 starts and have topped the projected total in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. Oakland has scored at least 8 runs in 3 straight games as well.

The Mariners might be 11-25-2 O/U on the season but have gone Over in 3 straight games, allowing at least 6 runs in each of those contests. Woo could have some rust as well, making his 1st start of the season.

Seattle has scored 14 runs over its last 3 games, so its offense has been solid as well.

Back OVER 7.5 (-105).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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