Artur Beterbiev vs. Joe Smith odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Saturday’s Artur Beterbiev vs. Joe Smith light heavyweight fight, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a light heavyweight IBF, WBO and WBC championship bout, Artur Beterbiev (17-0) and Joe Smith Jr. (28-3) meet Saturday at Madison Square Garden in New York. The fight begins at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze the Beterbiev vs. Smith Jr. odds and lines, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

Beterbiev is looking to pick up Smith’s WBO light heavyweight title to add to his WBC and IBF straps. He enters with knockout victories in each of his 17 career bouts. Beterbiev heads in with a 3-inch reach disadvantage, but don’t let that dissuade you from picking him to keep on keeping on.

Smith has cobbled together 4 straight victories, including a 9th-round KO against Steve Geffrard last time out. His last loss came in March 2019 against Dmitrii Bivol in a unanimous-decision setback at the Turning Stone Resort & Casino.

Artur Beterbiev vs. Joe Smith Jr. odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Beterbiev -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Smith Jr. +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 rounds (Over -125 | Under -110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +240 | No -420)

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Artur Beterbiev vs. Joe Smith Jr. picks and predictions

Records: Beterbiev (17-0-0, 17 KOs) | Joe Smith Jr. (28-3-0, 22 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Beterbiev (-800) is the overwhelming favorite, costing you 8 times your potential return. That’s too much for so little of a return, so let’s get specific.

Even taking Beterbiev by KO/TKO (-270) will cost more than 2 1/2 times your return, so that’s off. Instead, look to the Round Range Betting section to make some money.

BETERBIEV TO WIN IN ROUNDS 7-9 (+250) is the best play. Smith Jr. is a proud veteran, and he’ll give the champ all he can handle before eventually running out of gas,

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-420): Fight to go the distance is not worth playing, as the return is too small. Instead, UNDER 8.5 ROUNDS (-110) is a good play in conjunction with the Round Range bet above. I am liking Beterbiev for the KO in Rounds 7 or 8.

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Artur Beterbiev vs. Adam Deines fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s IBF and WBC title fight between Artur Beterbiev and Adam Deines with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round IBF and WBC light heavyweight title bout when Artur Beterbiev and Adam Deines meet Saturday at the Khodynka Ice Palace in Moscow. The card is set to begin around 1 p.m. ET, with the fight set for approximately 5 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Beterbiev-Deines odds, with boxing picks and predictions.

Beterbiev vs. Deines: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

Artur Beterbiev -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Adam Deines +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Draw +2500

Beterbiev has an implied win probability of 96.15% with the -2500 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/25 or decimal of 1.04.

Beterbiev vs. Deines: Tale of the tape

Artur Beterbiev

Beterbiev (15-0, 15 KOs) is an overwhelming favorite in his first fight since Oct. 19, 2019, that was a 10th-round victory against Oleksandr Gvozdyk in Philadelphia. While he hasn’t fought over the past 17 months, mostly due to COVID, of course, he said he did not miss a week of training as he tried staying sharp despite the lack of fights. He was supposed to face Deines in October, but a rib injury pushed it to Jan. 30, 2021. The fight was off again then, as Beterbiev tested positive for COVID.

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Adam Deines

Deines (19-1-1, 10 KOs) won his past two fights by KO/TKO, pushing past Josef Lehr in five rounds Aug. 17, 2019, and in just two rounds Sept. 28, 2019, against Yevgenii Makhteienko. He has been waiting out Beterbiev and his injury and COVID situation. He might wish the fight would get postponed again as he is a huge underdog and not expected to last long with the champ.

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Beterbiev vs. Deines: Odds, predictions and picks

Beterbiev (-2500) is just too expensive, as you would need to put up $100 for every $4 won. That’s just too risky, even if there is very little chance of Deines (+1000) pulling off the upset. The German boxer will be overmatched in this one.

Even the method of victory is very expensive, as BETERBIEV BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-800) will cost you eight times your return. But Beterbiev is 15-for-15 in his career with knockouts, so it’s a good bet even with so much risk.

In addition, look to individual round betting for a good value. I like to target a three-round block. Look to BETERBIEV IN ROUND 4 (+600), BETERBIEV IN ROUND 5 (+700) and BETERBIEV IN ROUND 6 (+800). Yes, you will lose two ends of this three-round block, even if Beterbiev wins in Rounds 4-6, but you will still be well ahead.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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