Falcons fire head coach Arthur Smith after three straight 7-win seasons

The Atlanta Falcons fired head coach Arthur Smith on Sunday night, and it’s not as if Smith gave owner Arthur Blank any other choice.

America’s purest successor to Jeff Fisher has been asked to find employment elsewhere. The Atlanta Falcons have fired head coach Arthur Smith after three straight seven-win seasons, and little progress along the way.

“Decisions like this are never easy and they never feel good,” team owner Arthur Blank said in a statement. “We have profound respect for Coach Smith and appreciate all the hard work and dedication he has put into the Falcons over the last three years. He has been part of building a good culture in our football team, but the results on the field have not met our expectations. After significant thought and reflection, we have determined the best way forward for our team is new leadership in the head coaching position.”

Per the team:

The search for a new head coach of the Falcons will begin immediately. It will be led by Blank and McKay, with input from Falcons General Manager Terry Fontenot, and several other appropriate members of Blank’s Atlanta Falcons and AMB Sports and Entertainment organizations. There is no timetable for filling the role.

The Falcons have brought multiple first-round talents on offense during Smith’s tenure, and he could never quite figure out what to do with any of them. Tight end Kyle Pitts, receiver Drake London, and running back Bijan Robinson have been three of the NFL’s most camouflaged skill position players, and the only person who was able to stop them consistently was Smith, who seemed bound and determined to show how creative he could be with lesser players, to ill effect most of the time.

In the end, Smith’s fate was likely sealed by four losses in the last five games in the 2023 season, capped off by a 48-17 beatdown at the hands of the New Orleans Saints on Sunday.

America reacts to Arthur Smith’s unhappiness with the Saints’ late touchdown

Before that game, the Falcons ranked 21st in Offensive DVOA, and that was supposed to be Smith’s baby. Atlanta ranked 31st in Offensive DVOA in 2022 and 31st in 2021, so if you want to peer through rose-colored glasses, you could say that this year’s Falcons were a little bit better. But if you watch the tape, you know that this was a hopeless endeavor, especially given how Smith mishandled the quarterback situation.

 “Sure, as I’ve said many times, we know the industry that we’re in,” Smith said after the Saints loss, when asked whether he wanted to keep his job. “I love doing what I’m doing. Also, like I’ve told you many times, this is the industry that we are in. I love coaching. I would have loved to win today. Obviously, we didn’t.”

Sadly, Smith left Blank no rational choice for the future of his team.

Could fantasy footballers be sleeping on Desmond Ridder?

Despite being in a run-first offense, could Ridder deliver fantasy-worthy stats?

Over the last three drafts, the Atlanta Falcons have the distinction of selecting the first tight end (Kyle Pitts in 2021), the first wide receiver (Drake London in 2022), and the first running back (Bijan Robinson in 2023). What they haven’t done is invest in a first-round quarterback. Atlanta dipped into free agency a year ago to sign QB Marcus Mariota, but he was released and signed with the Philadelphia Eagles, leaving quarterback Desmond Ridder atop the depth chart.

Ridder was taken in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft, making him the second quarterback selected (behind Pittsburgh Steelers QB Kenny Pickett) in what was considered an exceptionally weak class. After spending the first 13 games on the bench, Ridder took over for Mariota in Week 15, completing 13 of 26 passes for 97 yards in a three-point loss to the New Orleans Saints.

He’d make three more starts, ending his debut campaign with a 2-2 record as a starter, averaging 177 yards passing, 16 yards rushing, and 0.5 TDs per game — it’s worth noting both TD passes came in Week 18 against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that was locked into the fourth seed. For comparison, Mariota, who offers some of the same skills as Ridder, averaged 170.7 yards passing, 34 yards rushing, and 1.46 combined TDs per game.

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Coming out of the University of Cincinnati, Ridder was lauded for his experience (he lost just six times in 50 collegiate starts), athleticism, and arm strength. On the flip side, there were concerns about his accuracy and tendency to lock onto targets. While he completed a respectable 63.5 percent of his 115 passes without an interception as a rookie, he averaged just 6.2 yards per attempt.

Although there’s little doubt the Falcons will be a running team in 2023, that doesn’t preclude Ridder from putting up decent numbers. One needn’t look further than Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields to see how a team with an inept passing game can produce fantasy gold.

While Ridder isn’t Fields’ equal as a runner, he’s capable of designed runs and RPOs. Plus, the Falcons aren’t nearly as threadbare at the skill positions as the 2022 Bears were, as both Pitts and London have flashed high-end potential. Add to that the ability for quick hitters to Robinson and RB Cordarrelle Patterson and Atlanta could have something offensively.

Fantasy football outlook

Atlanta’s decision to bypass drafting a quarterback in a talented class can be viewed as tacit confidence in Ridder developing in Year 2, though the signing of QB Taylor Heinicke to a two-year, $14 million deal tells you the Falcons aren’t completely sold. You can bet Ridder will be given an opportunity to grow, but the presence of Heinicke is a concern for anyone considering investing a pick on the second-year QB.

Working against him the most is the offensive design favoring the running game. We did, however, see Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill post QB1 numbers under Atlanta head coach Arthur Smith in 2020. Tannehill is a similar signal caller to Ridder in terms of athleticism, and that kind of high-efficiency effort would be Ridder’s best path to fantasy relevance.

Ridder’s athleticism creates a pathway to value via his running ability, but he is no more than a watch-list candidate in traditional formats, unless you’re planning on carrying three quarterbacks. He has value-buy appeal in leagues that allow/require two starting quarterbacks.