Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Arlington Renegades (2-7) and the DC Defenders (4-5) wrap up the regular season Sunday at Audi Field in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Renegades have come alive late in the season, posting 2 wins in the past 3 games, including a 36-22 win over the playoff-bound St. Louis Battlehawks in Week 9 to cover as a 3-point underdog. The Over (46) cashed in Week 9, and the total has gone high in 3 of the past 4 outings.

The Defenders also picked up a much-needed win last week in Memphis, posting a 36-21 victory as 5.5-point favorites. The Defenders are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, while going 4-2 ATS in the previous 6 outings after an 0-1-2 ATS start. The Over has hit in consecutive games, while going 5-3 in the past 8 outings.

These teams met in the XFL Championship last season with a 35-26 win, with QB Luis Perez securing MVP honors. DC avenged that loss with a 29-28 at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington back in Week 3, cashing as a 1-point favorite to push at most shops. The Over (43.5) easily came through, and is 2-0 in the previous 2 meetings.

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Renegades at Defenders odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Renegades +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Defenders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Renegades +1 (-110) | Defenders -1 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Defenders key injuries

Renegades

  • RB Leddie Brown (undisclosed) injured reserve
  • RB Jeremy Cox (undisclosed) out
  • RB Dae Dae Hunter (undisclosed) injured reserve
  • WR JaVonta Payton (undisclosed) injured reserve

Defenders

  • TE Ben Bresnahan (undisclosed) out
  • DB Kentrell Brice (shoulder) out
  • QB Deondre Francois (undisclosed) injured reserve
  • WR Kelvin Harmon (hamstring) injured reserve
  • DB Nydair Rouse (hamstring) out
  • RB Abram Smith (knee) out
  • WR Monroe Young (undisclosed) out

Renegades at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 29, Renegades 25

Moneyline

The Defenders (-125) will cost you a little more on the moneyline, and that doesn’t make sense. Laying the single point costs significantly less.

PASS.

Against the spread

When these teams meet, it’s generally close. But take the DEFENDERS -1 (-110) at home in front of the beer snake building fanbase.

DC erupted for 36 points last week in Memphis. The Defenders are a respectable 2-2 SU and 1-2-1 ATS at home this season. However, as a favorite, DC has won 3 in a row, while going 1-0-2 ATS in those outings.

The Renegades +1 (-110) surprised the Battlehawks last week, showing off the offense with 83 points in the past 2 home games. However, Arlington is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in 4 road contests, and it lost by 1 at home to DC in Week 3.

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Over/Under

OVER 46.5 (-110) is worth a look in this finale.

The Renegades and their vaunted pass attack has rolled up 36 or more points in 2 of the past 3 games, and 27 or more points in 3 of the past 4 outings. However, on the road, Arlington is averaging just 17.0 PPG in the past 3 trips, so be a little cautious.

The Defenders registered a season-high 36 points last week in Memphis, but its season-high in points at home came back in Week 2 against the lowly Houston Roughnecks in a 23-18 win. The Over is still the recommended play, but don’t be surprised if it takes some time to get across the finish line.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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XFL Championship: Arlington Renegades vs. D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades vs, D.C. Defenders XFL Championhip odds and lines, with expert picks and best bets.

The 2023 XFL season comes to a close Saturday with the championship game between the Arlington Renegades and D.C. Defenders. Kickoff at the Alamodome in San Antonio is at 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades finished 4-6 in the regular season and lost 4 of their final 5 games before the postseason. But they defeated the South Division champion Houston Roughnecks in the semifinal game 26-11 as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Defenders went 9-1 in the regular season, had the best record in the league and blew out the Seattle Sea Dragons 37-21 in the semifinal game as 3-point favorites.

The Defenders beat the Renegades 28-26 in the regular season.

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Renegades vs. Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Renegades +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Defenders -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-105) | Defenders -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Renegades vs. Defenders key injuries

Renegades

  • WR Rannell Hall (foot) questionable

Defenders

  • CB Michael Joseph (abductor) questionable

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Renegades vs. Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 32, Renegades 22

Moneyline

The Defenders enter the title game having won 4 games in a row while the Renegades have 2 wins in their last 6.

The Defenders were the highest-scoring team in the XFL at 29.8 points per game while the Renegades were 8th averaging 14.6.

The Renegades scored 26 in their win over Houston and 26 against the Defenders, but in 6 games they did not score more than 16.

The Defenders have been the best team in the league all season and should win the title, but at -275 on the moneyline, it isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

D.C. won its semifinal game by 16 points, but the Defenders won their final 4 games of the regular season by no more than 2 points.

Four of the Renegades’ 6 losses were by at least 9 points.

BET DEFENDERS -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The last 9 games for the Defender have had at least 48 total points while only one of the Renegades’ games all season reached 48 points and that was against the Defenders.

BET OVER 47.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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