Arkansas State at Memphis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arkansas State at Memphis odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-3) face the No. 15 Memphis Tigers (7-1) Saturday evening. Tip-off from FedExForum is set for 4 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Arkansas State vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Arkansas State snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 66-64 win over the Jacksonville State Tigers on Thursday. However, they failed to cover as 16.5-point home favorites as the Under 149 cashed. Arkansas State held on behind G Taryn Todd, who finished with 15 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.

Memphis bounced back from its first loss of the season with an 81-71 win over the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on Wednesday. Memphis didn’t cover as 11.5-point home favorites as the Over 148.5 cashed. The Tigers struggled defensively, allowing the Bulldogs to hit 56.5% (13-of-23) of their 3s, but they dominated inside, outrebounding Louisiana Tech 39-26 and outscoring them 34-20 in the paint. Guard PJ Haggerty led the way with 23 points, 6 assists, 5 rebounds, and 7 steals.

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Arkansas State at Memphis odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Arkansas State +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Memphis -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Arkansas State +14.5 (-105) | Memphis -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Arkansas State at Memphis picks and predictions

Prediction

Memphis 88, Arkansas State 70

Moneyline

PASS.

Memphis (-1400) will take care of business at home on Sunday, but no way should you ever bet something this outrageous. Take your wager to the spread.

Against the spread

BET MEMPHIS -14.5 (-105).

Memphis has faced a tough out-of-conference schedule, taking on teams like UConn, Auburn, Michigan State, Missouri, and San Francisco, with just one loss to show for it. The Tigers have covered in 6 of their last 8 games.

Meanwhile, Arkansas State struggled in its last game, narrowly defeating winless Jacksonville State while shooting just 33.3% and committing 15 turnovers. The Red Wolves have failed to reach 68 points in 3 straight games and shoot under 30% from three-point range.

Haggerty, who has scored more than 20 points in 6 of 8 games, will be difficult for Arkansas State to stop. With no road wins this season, Arkansas State faces a tough challenge in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 152.5 (-110).

The Tigers are a high-scoring team, averaging 81.5 points per game (PPG) to rank 70th nationally. They also perform well offensively with 102.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking 71st. At home, Memphis dominates the boards, grabbing over 10 offensive rebounds per game, creating more chances to score.

However, their defense has been a concern, allowing 75.5 PPG (280th). They also give up 95.2 points per 100 possessions (284th). On the other hand, Arkansas State has struggled defensively on the road, surrendering more than 75 PPG. With both teams struggling to defend, Memphis should have the upper hand offensively in this matchup.

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