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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) head to Coleman Coliseum to face the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) Friday at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas State vs. Alabama odds as we make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Arkansas State kicked off the season with a hard-fought 80-75 overtime win over the Akron Zips, although they missed covering the 5.5-point spread while the Over (148.5) cashed. The Red Wolves dominated inside, outscoring the Zips 50-30 in the paint. G Joseph Pinon led the way with 16 points.
Alabama posted a commanding 110-54 victory over the UNC Asheville Bulldogs, easily covering the 27-point spread while the Under (164.5) hit. The Crimson Tide used their size advantage to outrebound the Bulldogs 55-29. Preseason AP All-American G Mark Sears led the way with 20 points.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Arkansas State at Alabama odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:46 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arkansas State +1900 (bet $100 to win $1,900) | Alabama -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas State +23.5 (-110) | Alabama -23.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Arkansas State at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 97, Arkansas State 71
Moneyline
PASS.
You should obviously avoid betting Alabama (-10000) because the odds are outrageous. Look at the spread or total if you want to make a bet.
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Against the spread
BET ALABAMA -23.5 (-110).
While Arkansas State won its opener in overtime, they didn’t cover, whereas Alabama cruised to a dominant win and easy cover as a 27-point favorite.
Arkansas State has potential and will be competitive in the Sun Belt, but Alabama is a national title contender. The Red Wolves, unfamiliar with Alabama’s “Three and D” style under Nate Oats, will struggle against the Crimson Tide’s depth and athleticism.
Over/Under
BET OVER 167.5 (-110).
Alabama racked up 110 points in their season opener, though the Under hit. With Arkansas State’s capable offense, the Over seems promising for this game. The Crimson Tide can score from all areas and are expected to post another high number. Although the Red Wolves tallied 50 points in the paint in their first game, facing Alabama’s tough frontcourt will be a different challenge. Arkansas State’s solid shooting helped them score 80 points last game, and they should keep the scoreboard moving—even if Alabama dominates.
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