The Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) limp into Starkville to battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) Saturday at noon ET. (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Arkansas vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Arkansas comes into this game after a botched kick loss against Texas A&M 2 weeks ago followed up by a 49-26 dismantling at the hands of Alabama last Saturday. While QB K.J. Jefferson is playing great, the defensive injuries and lack of other weapons on offense have led to the recent slide for Arkansas. LB Drew Sanders has been a man on a mission since transferring to Arkansas from Alabama, but the defense still has a long way to go before they are up to the standards needed to compete in the SEC West.
Mississippi State rolls into this game after a 42-24 win against the same Texas A&M team which Arkansas lost to 23-21.
Coach Mike Leach and QB Will Rogers have the Bulldogs offense rolling and this will continue in this game against the Razorbacks. Look for this game to be high scoring on both sides of the ball.
Mississippi State is No. 23 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Arkansas at Mississippi State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Mississippi State -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +9.5 (-108) | Mississippi State -9.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Arkansas at Mississippi State and predictions
Prediction
Mississippi State 41, Arkansas 37
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline is too high to make a wager on this game.
Against the spread
I lean toward underdog Arkansas +9.5 (-108).
The Bulldogs can score. But they score quickly. So can Arkansas. On top of this, we do not know how good the defense of Mississippi State is. They did just give up 24 to a dreadful Texas A&M offense. This leads you to think the Arkansas offense, which was able to put up 26 on Alabama, can score with them. I would love to see Arkansas win this game, but I will play it safe with the points.
Over/Under
Bet the OVER 58.5 (-120).
Both teams can score. Both teams will score. Of this I am certain. Both defenses leave a lot to be desired. When neither defense is good, take the over. This is my favorite play in the game.
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