The No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (27-8) and the No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-3) meet Thursday for a West Region Sweet 16 game of the NCAA Tournament. Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco is scheduled for 7:09 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Arkansas vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Razorbacks have registered a pair of NCAA Tournament wins over Vermont (75-71) and New Mexico State (53-48), a pair of double-digit seeds. The average winning margin was 4.5 points per game as they failed to cover either outing.
The Bulldogs have won four postseason games, including victories over Georgia State (93-72) and Memphis (82-78) in the NCAA Tournament. Gonzaga is 0-3-1 ATS in the postseason and just 1-6-2 ATS across its last nine games overall.
See also: Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
Arkansas vs. Gonzaga odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Arkansas +370 (bet $100 to win $370) | Gonzaga -520 ($520 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +9.5 (-107) | Gonzaga -9.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Arkansas vs. Gonzaga odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Gonzaga 83, Arkansas 76
Money line
Gonzaga (-520) will cost you more than five times your potential return. That’s way too expensive, even for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
PASS.
Against the spread
ARKANSAS +9.5 (-107) has scratched and clawed to get to this point. It hasn’t played its best basketball yet but still finds itself in the Sweet 16. The funny thing is, Gonzaga hasn’t played its best basketball of the tournament, either.
This is an intriguing matchup, and I believe the Hogs can keep it within single digits, as G JD Notae and G Stanley Umude are a nice one-two punch. The Bulldogs have plenty of depth, however, and will be able to pull away in the final minutes at the free-throw line to move on to the Elite 8.
Over/Under
The OVER 154.5 (-110) is the play based upon the trends.
Arkansas has cashed the Over in seven of its last eight games overall while going Over in 13 of its last 18 as an underdog. The Over is 5-1 in the past six neutral-site affairs for the Razorbacks, too.
Gonzaga has hit the Over in five of its last seven neutral-site affairs while going 4-1 in its last five after a straight-up win.
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