Arkansas at Alabama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arkansas at Alabama odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4, 0-3 SEC) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1, 3-0) meet Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

It’s been a tough go for the Razorbacks lately, dropping 3 straight conference games, and 4 straight games overall. Arkansas has managed a winning record (2-1) against the spread (ATS) in league play. It played Ole Miss tough last time out, falling just 27-20 as a 13-point underdog as the Under (61.5) cashed. The Under snapped a 3-0 Over run, as Arkansas had allowed 34 or more points in the previous 3 outings.

Alabama gutted out a 26-20 win on the road at Texas A&M last week, cashing as 2.5-point favorites. After an early-season loss at home to Texas followed by a struggle against South Florida on the road, Bama has snapped back into form in SEC play, going 3-0 SU and ATS, including 2 road wins.

Alabama is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Arkansas at Alabama odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Alabama -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +19.5 (-110) | Alabama -19.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Arkansas at Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 34, Arkansas 17

Moneyline

Alabama (-1100) will cost you 11 times your potential return, and that’s just way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

While Arkansas (+700) is winless in league play, it has played nearly everybody in the SEC tough. I don’t expect the Razorbacks to win, but I don’t expect them to get blown out, either, especially with the dynamic QB K.J. Jefferson leading the way.

PASS.

Against the spread

ARKANSAS +19.5 (-110) is the play, although I’d obviously feel better if this were to sneak over the 20-point mark by kickoff.

The Razorbacks have dropped 4 straight, including 3 in a row inside the SEC. However, Arkansas has been a bur in the saddle for Ole Miss and LSU, playing those ranked foes to a 1-score game, on the road in each contest. The Razorbacks won’t be intimidated by the Crimson Tide, although they won’t win outright, either. It should be a 2-score game late into the day.

Over/Under

OVER 46.5 (-115) is the lean, as this number seems to be on the low side.

Arkansas has scored 20 or more points in all 6 games to date, cashing the Over in 3 of the previous 4 outings. The defense has also allowed 27 or more points in the 4-game losing streak, including 34 or more points on 3 occasions.

Alabama should get well offensively against the Hogs. The Tide has had uncharacteristic struggles on offense at times, going for 26 or fewer points in 4 of the past 5 outings. However, defensively, Bama is still Bama, allowing just 50 total points across the past 4 outings. That’s the rub, and why the line is so low. I don’t expect a track meet, but we should get at least 50 total points here.

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First look: Arkansas at Alabama odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Arkansas at Alabama college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4, 0-3 SEC) face the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1, 3-0) Saturday. Kickoff from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we look at Arkansas vs. Alabama odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s college football picks and predictions.

Arkansas covered as a 13-point underdog in a 27-20 loss Saturday vs. the Ole Miss Rebels. Arkansas led 20-17 in the 4th quarter, but allowed the Rebels to score 10 points in the final 8 minutes to lose the game. QB KJ Jefferson threw the game-sealing INT with 1:42 left on the clock.

Alabama picked up a 26-20 win Saturday vs. the Texas A&M Aggies, covering as a 2.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide trailed 17-10 at halftime but outscored the Aggies 16-3 in the 2nd half. QB Jalen Milroe had one of his best games this season completing 21 of 33 passes for 321 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 INT.

Alabama is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Arkansas at Alabama odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +860 (bet $100 to win $860) | Alabama -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +20.5 (-115) | Alabama -20.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

  • ML: Arkansas 2-4 | Alabama 5-1
  • ATS: Arkansas 3-3 | Alabama 4-2
  • O/U: Arkansas 4-2 | Alabama 4-2

Arkansas vs. Alabama head-to-head

Alabama leads the all-time series 23-8 and has won 15 straight. The Crimson Tide have scored 40-plus points in 7 straight games, including a 65-point outburst in 2018. Alabama has won 9 straight home games vs. the Razorbacks since 2005.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire

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First look: Arkansas at Alabama odds and lines

Previewing the Arkansas at Alabama Week 12 matchup, with college football odds, trends and head-to-head records.

The No. 22 Arkansas Razorbacks (7-3, 3-3 SEC) are on the road for a tilt with the No.2 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1, 5-1) Saturday in Week 12. Kickoff from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Arkansas vs. Alabama odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Razorbacks picked up a 16-13 victory in overtime at the LSU Tigers in Week 11. QB KJ Jefferson was 18-for-25 passing for 142 and 1 touchdown against 0 interceptions while also leading the team in rushing with 41 yards on 15 carries.

Arkansas trailed LSU in first downs (20-13), time of possession (32:40-27:20) and total yards (308-283) but won the turnover battle 3-0.

The Crimson Tide picked up their fourth straight victory with a commanding 59-3 win over the New Mexico State Aggies Saturday. New Mexico State opened the scoring with a field goal a little over 5 minutes into the first quarter, but Alabama scored the first of its 59 unanswered points just 44 seconds later.

Quarterback Bryce Young had 270 passing yards (21-for-23) and 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions with WR Jameson Williams acting as the primary beneficiary as he recorded 158 yards and 3 scores on 6 catches. RB Brian Robinson Jr. paced the ground game with 99 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 carries.

Arkansas at Alabama odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Arkansas +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Alabama -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +20.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Alabama -20.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5, O: -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | U: -108 (bet $108 to win $100)

Also see: Betting 101

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2021 betting stats:

  • ML: Arkansas 7-3 | Alabama 9-1
  • ATS: Arkansas 5-4-1 | Alabama 6-4
  • O/U: Arkansas 6-4 | Alabama 5-5

Arkansas at Alabama head-to-head

The Crimson Tide and Razorbacks have met 29 times with the Tide leading the all-time series 21-8. The two sides have met every year since 1992, and prior met only in the 1962 and 1980 Sugar Bowl.

Arkansas hasn’t picked up a win in the series since 2006 and are 4-6 ATS over the last 10 meetings. The O/U has split 5-5 across the last 10 meetings with the Under connecting five times in the last seven games.

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