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The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4, 0-3 SEC) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1, 3-0) meet Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
It’s been a tough go for the Razorbacks lately, dropping 3 straight conference games, and 4 straight games overall. Arkansas has managed a winning record (2-1) against the spread (ATS) in league play. It played Ole Miss tough last time out, falling just 27-20 as a 13-point underdog as the Under (61.5) cashed. The Under snapped a 3-0 Over run, as Arkansas had allowed 34 or more points in the previous 3 outings.
Alabama gutted out a 26-20 win on the road at Texas A&M last week, cashing as 2.5-point favorites. After an early-season loss at home to Texas followed by a struggle against South Florida on the road, Bama has snapped back into form in SEC play, going 3-0 SU and ATS, including 2 road wins.
Alabama is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Arkansas at Alabama odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Alabama -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +19.5 (-110) | Alabama -19.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Arkansas at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 34, Arkansas 17
Moneyline
Alabama (-1100) will cost you 11 times your potential return, and that’s just way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
While Arkansas (+700) is winless in league play, it has played nearly everybody in the SEC tough. I don’t expect the Razorbacks to win, but I don’t expect them to get blown out, either, especially with the dynamic QB K.J. Jefferson leading the way.
PASS.
Against the spread
ARKANSAS +19.5 (-110) is the play, although I’d obviously feel better if this were to sneak over the 20-point mark by kickoff.
The Razorbacks have dropped 4 straight, including 3 in a row inside the SEC. However, Arkansas has been a bur in the saddle for Ole Miss and LSU, playing those ranked foes to a 1-score game, on the road in each contest. The Razorbacks won’t be intimidated by the Crimson Tide, although they won’t win outright, either. It should be a 2-score game late into the day.
Over/Under
OVER 46.5 (-115) is the lean, as this number seems to be on the low side.
Arkansas has scored 20 or more points in all 6 games to date, cashing the Over in 3 of the previous 4 outings. The defense has also allowed 27 or more points in the 4-game losing streak, including 34 or more points on 3 occasions.
Alabama should get well offensively against the Hogs. The Tide has had uncharacteristic struggles on offense at times, going for 26 or fewer points in 4 of the past 5 outings. However, defensively, Bama is still Bama, allowing just 50 total points across the past 4 outings. That’s the rub, and why the line is so low. I don’t expect a track meet, but we should get at least 50 total points here.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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