Tag: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (87-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (88-67) wrap up a 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-2

The Diamondbacks have won the 1st 3 games of this series, outscoring the Brewers 17-5 and cashing as the favorite in 2 of the outings. The Under is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 games of the set.

Arizona has won 4 in a row, rebounding after a 1-4 skid from Sept. 13-17, which included 2 losses in a 3-game set vs. the Brewers in Phoenix. The Under has connected in 4 of the past 6 outings for the Snakes.

The Brewers have clinched the division, so they’re not exactly playing with a lot of urgency. Milwaukee became the 1st team in the majors to clinch a postseason bid Wednesday, and the Brew Crew has won the NL Central crown 2 consecutive seasons.

Despite the division title, Milwaukee has won just once in the past 5 games, while cashing low on the total in 4 of those contests.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Montgomery (8-7, 6.23 ERA) makes his 21st start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road setback vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.44 ERA, 51 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 7 HR, 1.38 WHIP, .279 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 34 K in 9 starts (10 appearances)
• Last 7 games: 1-1, 5.83 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 19 ER, 10 BB, 22 K, 1.53 WHIP
• Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.93 ERA, 27 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 29 H, 6 BB, 34 K, 1.27 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Montas (7-11, 4.50 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 144 IP with Reds and Brewers.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.15 ERA, 60 2/3 IP, 28 ER, 7 HR, 1.32 WHIP, .254 OBA, 20 BB, 62 K in 12 starts
• Last 7 games: 2-3, 3.02 ERA, 41 2/3 IP, 14 ER, 16 BB, 48 K, 1.06 WHIP
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 7.24 ERA, 13 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 15 K, 1.46 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-120) are the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Neither of these pitchers give bettors a lot of confidence, as Montgomery has been a disaster most of the season, while Montas has had issues at home in his stops in Cincinnati and Milwaukee this season.

This could be a game which is decided by the bullpens, as the starters likely won’t last long.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you decided to take a little bit of insurance, and not play Milwaukee straight up.

That’s too much risk and not enough reward straight up. However, if you were to toss Milwaukee into a multi-leg parlay, either with other MLB games, WNBA playoff games or NFL contests, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the strongest play in this series finale.

While the Under has cashed at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 games for Milwaukee, it should be able to get to the southpaw Montgomery, who has been very giving all season.

The Diamondbacks have piled up 26 runs in the past 4 outings, splitting the Over 2-2 in those contests. Like Montgomery, Montas is very giving, and Arizona should get the sticks going against him.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (88-65) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (85-68) to American Family Field Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Diamondbacks won 5-1 Thursday to open the series, closing as -122 favorites.

Arizona has won 2 straight games and is 6-4 over its last 10. It took on the Brewers for the first time this season Sept. 13-15 and lost 2 of 3 at home. The Diamondbacks have been solid this season on the road, posting a 43-35 record. They are 79-74 against the spread (ATS).

The Brewers came into the series following a 2-1 series win over the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Monday through Wednesday. They have won 5 of their last 8 games, scoring 10 or more runs in 2 of the 8 outings. Milwaukee is in 1st place in the NL Central, 10 games ahead of the 2nd-place Chicago Cubs. It is 44-31 at home this season and 81-72 ATS overall.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Colin Rea

Gallen (12-6, 3.61 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 137 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-10 home win over Brewers Sunday
• 2024 away stats: 5-3, 3.75 ERA (60 IP, 25 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 12 starts
• Career vs. Brewers (regular season): 3-3, 2.20 ERA (41 IP, 10 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 7 starts

Rea (12-5, 4.14 ERA) makes his 26th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 156 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 10 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 13-2 road defeat to San Francisco Giants Sept. 11
• 2024 home stats: 7-3, 3.78 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+110).

The Brewers have been terrific with Rea on the mound this season. They are 20-9 in his outings and 11-4 in his apperances at home. Milwaukee’s bats have been hot as of late, scoring 6 of more runs in 3 of its last 6 games.

The Diamondbacks have scored 14 runs in their last 2 games but have put up 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 7. Arizona is just 3-5 in its last 8 road games. Considering those trends, take BREWERS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value on the run line. The Diamondbacks are too risky as favorites here, while the Brewers aren’t worth the expense as run-line underdogs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Over went 2-1 in the most recent series between these teams Sept. 13-15. The Diamondbacks have an aggressive offense and have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 7 games. They are 7-5 O/U in their last 12 games.

The Brewers, who are 79-65-9 O/U, have gone 2-3-1 O/U in their last 6 games. They are 3-1 O/U in Rea’s last 4 starts, though. With that in mind, back OVER 8 (-110).

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) and the NL Central Division champion Milwaukee Brewers (88-64) meet Thursday as they open a 4-game series. First pitch at American Family Field is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

These 2 teams met last weekend with the Brewers taking 2 of 3 in Phoenix Sept. 13-15 and the Diamondbacks winning Sunday to avoid a sweep. A combined 44 runs were scored over the last 2 games with Milwaukee winning 15-8 Saturday and Arizona responding with a 11-10 thriller in 10 innings in the finale. The D-backs followed by losing 2 of 3 at the Colorado Rockies, prevailing 9-4 Wednesday as -175 favorites.

The Brewers continue a homestand that opened with taking 2 of 3 against the Philadelphia Phillies. When the Chicago Cubs lost to the Oakland A’s Wednesday afternoon, the Brewers clinched the NL Central Division before their 2-1 victory over the Phillies later that night. Milwaukee is 5-2 over its last 7 games.

Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Pfaadt (9-9, 4.81 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 166 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 0 K in 15-8 home defeat vs. Brewers Saturday
• Owns a 10.23 ERA over his last 5 starts

Myers (8-5, 3.07 ERA) is making his 24th start and 25th appearance. The rookie has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 126 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 15-8 rout at Diamondbacks Saturday
• Has benefited from a .280 batting average on balls in play (.203 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Pfaadt and Myers were the opposing starters in Saturday’s 15-8 Milwaukee victory. It’s the only time Myers has faced the Diamondbacks in his career, while it was the 2nd time Pfaadt took on the Brewers. He started against Milwaukee in Game 1 of their Wild Card series last season, yielding 3 runs on 7 hits and 1 walk in 2 2/3 innings before being removed. Arizona would rally to win that contest 6-3 on its way to a 2-0 series sweep.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:37 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Arizona is 5-1 over its last 6 games at Milwaukee.

Pfaadt has been rather unfortunate this season, and he figures as a better starter than what shows in his surface line. He’s been hurt by a .317 batting average on balls in play and a .359 BABIP with runners in scoring position.

Myers has numbers swinging the other way, and he’s a fade nod here.

The Diamondbacks have banged out an .856 OPS since Aug. 28.

BACK ARIZONA (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Snakes minus the cushion would be a play at +150. But PASS on the offering since we’re backing the moneyline.

Over/Under

As mentioned, last weekend’s scores were 15-8 (Brewers win) and 11-10 (Diamondbacks win). The Over is 13-5 in Arizona’s last 18 games, and the last 9 games of this series have produced 6 Overs.

Both sides have actual-vs.-pitching-and-defense analytics that point to a “should-be-higher” angle on scoring.

With the pitchers being seen just a week ago (same with the bullpens), the OVER 8 (-115) is a value.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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