Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-22) and Baltimore Orioles (26-12) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 2-0

Baltimore came away with a 5-4 win in 11 innings Saturday, covering as a -149 home favorite. 3B Jordan Westburg hit a walk-off RBI single in the 11th and finished 4-for-5 with 2 RBIs as the Orioles won a 3rd consecutive game and their 7th in the last 9. SS Gunnar Henderson tied the MLB lead with his 12th homer of the season.

The Diamondbacks led 4-2 after 4½ innings but didn’t score again in losing their 2nd game in a row following a 4-game win streak. DH Ketel Marte homered for the 2nd consecutive game and extended his12-game hitting streak.

Diamondbacks at Orioles projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Gallen (4-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-2 victory at Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 0-1, 8.44 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, an 8-5 home loss last September

Kremer (3-2, 3.57 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 40 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 11-1 win at Reds Sunday
  • First career start vs. Diamondbacks

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Diamondbacks at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Diamondbacks at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 2, Diamondbacks 1

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-125). 

Baltimore is the much hotter team entering this matchup. The O’s are 8-2 in their last 10 games, while the D-backs are 5-5 in their last 10. The Orioles are also 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

Dating back to last season, Baltimore has won 4 consecutive matchups vs. Arizona and is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, going back to 2016.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Arizona to cover here as a +1.5 (-200) underdog, but the line is far too risky to wager on. Bet on the moneyline and/or Over/Under instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120). 

The Under is 3-1-1 in Arizona’s last 5 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10 outings.

For Baltimore, the Under is 4-1-1 in its last 6 home games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10 games, per Teamrankings.com.

The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Arizona-Baltimore matchups in Baltimore, dating back 2016.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-21) and Baltimore Orioles (25-12) meet Saturday as the defending NL Champions look to get back on track after seeing their 4-game winning streak snapped Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0.

Baltimore defeated Arizona Friday 4-2, cashing as a (-128) home favorite. SP Cole Irvin earned his 4th win in as many starts as the 30-year-old struck out 6 in 5.2 IP. DH Ryan O’Hearn walked and drove in SS Gunnar Henderson with an RBI single in the 5th inning.

Diamondbacks at Orioles projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP John Means

Nelson (2-2, 5.23 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 2.61 BB/9 and 6.97 K/9 in 20.2 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-4 win over San Diego Sunday
  • Has a 7-4 record with a 3.25 ERA in 102.1 IP on the road compared to a 4-7 record, 7.03 ERA in 80.1 IP at Chase Field.

Means (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start for the Orioles after making 6 down at AAA while recovering from injury. In 6 games for Norfolk, Means had an 8.68 ERA, although he did go 7 scoreless in his final rehab outing.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 2-1 win over Cincinnati last Saturday
  • Induced more swing and misses in his 1st start back than when he pitched a no-hitter back in 2021 vs Seattle.

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Diamondbacks at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +142 (bet $100 to win $142) | Orioles -168 (bet $168 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+116)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 5, Arizona 2

Moneyline

PASS.

When the expectation is that Orioles will win by multiple runs, laying that much juice on the MoneyLine is not necessary,

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+116).

Baltimore should be able to score multiple runs thanks to Henderson, who is tied with 1B Bryce Harper for 2nd highest hard-hit percentage (50.0%) vs. RHP among 192 qualified hitters. 3B Jordan Westburg, who has doubles in consecutive games and sports the 14th-best hard hit % vs. RHP (41.7%) should also help contribute for a deep Orioles lineup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

Even if it includes a minor league game, Means has been outstanding in his last 2 starts, and his opponent is no juggernaut offensively. Diamondbacks OF Corbin Carroll, last year’s NL Rookie of the Year is batting .200 this season and is 1 for his last 12. Slugger 1B Christian Walker has yet to homer this month, and it seems unlikely he will Saturday since Baltimore is not the HR haven it once was.

RP Yennier Cano entered into Friday’s game and picked up his 2nd save, so perhaps Baltimore can be stable once again in their back end. For Arizona, as long as Nelson can press the zone with his fastball like he did in a successful start this year vs. St. Louis, Baltimore’s big bats could stay in check at least initially enough for this game to stay Under.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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