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The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-20) and Baltimore Orioles (24-12) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 2-1 in 2023
The Diamondbacks, who lost 7 of 9 games April 24-May 4, have won 4 in a row, scoring 26 runs in that span. They completed a 3-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds with a 5-4 win Thursday as OF Corbin Carroll singled in the go-ahead run in the 8th inning.
The AL East-leading Orioles were off Thursday after going 4-1 on their recently completed 5-game road trip. They beat the Washington Nationals 7-6 in 12 innings Wednesday. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and 7 of their last 9.
Diamondbacks at Orioles projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. LHP Cole Irvin
Pfaadt (1-2, 4.61 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 41 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 R (3 ER), 10 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 13-1 home loss to San Diego Padres Saturday
- Has not walked a batter in last 2 starts
- Has never faced Orioles before
Irvin (3-1, 2.86 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 road win over Cincinnati May 3
- Has not allowed a run in last 3 starts (20 IP)
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Diamondbacks at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Orioles -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks finally got over some offensive struggles but now face Irvin, who has not allowed any runs in his last 20 innings.
Arizona was held to 1 or fewer runs in 6 of 9 games before its winning streak.
Baltimore (-140) has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 9 games, but it usually wins by more than 1 run, so rather than betting the moneyline, look to the spread.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles have two 1-run wins in their last 4 games, but all 5 of their wins with Irvin starting this season (they’re 5-1 in his starts) have been by multiple runs, and 20 of their 24 victories have been by at least 2 runs.
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
Irvin’s last 3 starts have not had more than 7 total runs.
Three of Pfaadt’s last 4 outings did not surpass 8 total runs.
Four of the last 5 for Arizona have had totals of 8 or more, but 11 of its last 15 have not reached 9 total runs.
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
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