Tag: Angels Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (7-8) and Boston Red Sox (8-8) meet Monday morning to finish off their 4-game series on Boston Marathon day. First pitch at Fenway Park is 11 a.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-0.

Boston won 2-1 as -113 home favorites vs. Los Angeles on Sunday and look to complete the sweep of the Angels. The 3-game winning streak follows 4 straight losses to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Red Sox are 3rd in the MLB in runs scored while ranking 8th with the fewest strikeouts.

The Angels’ 3-game losing streak comes after winning back-to-back games vs. the Washington Nationals. The bats for Los Angeles have not been up to par so far this season, as they have fewer hits (120), runs (76) and home runs (18) than the Red Sox (127 H 87 R, 21 HR).

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Angels at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Ohtani (2-0, 0.47 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 19 IP.

  • Went 15-9 in 28 starts in 2022 with a 2.33 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 166 IP
  • Last start vs. Boston: 5-2 LA win June 9 with 7 IP, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K

Bello makes his 1st start this season. He went 2-11 in 13 appearances (11 starts) last season with a 4.71 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, and 8.6 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Was 1-4 with a 4.13 ERA in 11 home appearances last year (5 starts) allowing 13 ER, 34 H, 11 BB and 26 K in 28 1/3 IP
  • 1st time facing the Angels

Angels at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+100) | Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

LEAN ANGELS (-165).

The Angels are only 1-5 in the last 6 meetings overall, but the pitching matchup here is key. Ohtani has not yet lost and with this being Bello’s first start since last Oct. 1, the Angels have a big advantage. Bello was also bad at home last year, increasing the advantage for LA.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RED SOX +1.5 (-120).

Only 4 of the last 10 meetings have come within 1 run, but with Boston being so hot against the Angels right now this is a pretty safe bet. The Angels do have the advantage in this game, but Boston has dominated LA this season. They bare also 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

For Los Angeles the Under is 6-0-1 in Ohtani’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. For Boston the Under is 7-1 in Bello’s last 8 starts overall. The Under is also 10-4-2 in the last 16 matchups.

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (7-7) play the 3rd game in a 4-game series with the Boston Red Sox (7-8) Sunday. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

In both games this series the Angels jumped ahead in the 1st inning, but failed to come up with a win. These teams are straddling the .500 line unsure how their season will fare.

In their 9-7 win on Saturday, the Red Sox took the lead in the 8th inning on a bases loaded single by 2B Yu Chang and a bases loaded walk by RF Rob Refsnyder.

The Red Sox won the 2022 series against the Angels 4-3.

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Angels at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP Garrett Whitlock

Detmers (0-0, 5.59 ERA) makes his 3rd start of the season. He started 25 games last year posting a 7-6 record and a 3.77 ERA.

  • Last start: ND, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 12-11 home victory over Toronto on Sunday
  • Allowed a .274 BA in road starts vs. .193 at home in 2022

Whitlock (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The 10-year veteran was 7-8 with a 3.47 ERA in 22 starts last season with the Chicago Cubs.

  • Last start: 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-2 loss at Tampa Bay  Rays on Tuesday
  • In April/March last year he posted a .150 BA.

Angels at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 7, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The Angels have shown plate discipline this season. They rank 4th in walks per game and have 20 hits so far in this series. They would have won the 1st game if not for their errors, and Saturday’s game was in their grasp until blowing the lead in the 8th inning.

They have outplayed the Red Sox this series and should finally get a win this time.

BET ANGELS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Five of the Angels’ 14 games have been 1-run games. Even though I like Los Angeles here I will PASS.

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Over/Under

One glaring statline is how poor Boston’s pitching has been this season. Hits, home runs, WHIP, all rank in the bottom 5. Only their strikeouts per game is above average. Boston has gone Over in 10 of their 15 games and I expect that to continue. LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (7-6) and Boston Red Sox (6-8) continue a 4-game set at Fenway Park Saturday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0

The Angels couldn’t make up for blunders in the field in a 5-3 loss Friday. The Angels hit 2 batters and made 2 errors that led to 2 Red Sox runs, which scored without a hit. Angels OF Mike Trout is just 1-for-15 (.067) over the last 4 games and is hitting .261 with 3 HR and 9 RBIs on the year.

Boston 3B Rafael Devers hit his 6th homer of the season Friday as the Red Sox took advantage of some bad baseball. Closer RHP Kenley Jansen struck out the side on just 13 pitches in the 9th, which means he could possibly be available again Saturday. Boston has been consistently mediocre. The Red Sox are 3-4 at home and away and have scored and allowed 76 runs each.

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Angels at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Anderson (1-0, 4.22 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 2 BB while fanning 4 in 4 2/3 IP in his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays last Saturday
  • 1 career start vs. Boston: 4 1/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s Sept. 14, 2021

Pivetta (0-1, 0.90 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 10 IP.

  • Has only allowed 1 ER but has lived dangerously with 5 BB in 10 IP
  • 2 career starts vs. Los Angeles: 0-1, 4.91 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 18 K’s in 11 IP

Angels at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

This game might hinge on Pivetta’s control. He has walked at least 2 batters in 7 straight starts dating to last season. The Angels are 8th in baseball with 5.32 runs/9, and Pivetta has benefitted from a .174 BABIP. Also, the Red Sox are hitting .240 with a .403 SLG% against lefties this year. All things considered, I’ll LEAN ANGELS (-115) or head to the Win/Total section and take the ANGELS AND OVER 5.5 RUNS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

Since this is a bit of a coin flip, we’ll PASS and head to the total.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit 3 games in a row and 4 out of 5 in this matchup. The Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. The wind is blowing in from right-center field at 9 mph. Considering the Halos were just passing out runs Friday, and there were only 8 in the game, I’ll LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (5-8) host the Los Angeles Angels (7-5) on Friday for the 1st game of a 4-game set. First pitch from Fenway Park will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Red Sox won 4 of 7 vs. Angels in 2022

The Angels are on 2-game winning streak after taking the last 2 of 3 from the Washington Nationals. They are tied with the Texas Rangers for the lead in the AL West. Los Angeles has the 5th-best ERA (3.70) in baseball and has plated the 8th-most runs (65).

The Red Sox were swept by the league-leading Tampa Bay Rays in a 4-game series, which came after Boston swept the Detroit Tigers in 3 straight games. The Red Sox have scored the 4th-most runs (71) in MLB, but their team ERA of 5.42 ranks 26th. They were outscored by the Rays 26-12 in their 4-game series, only scoring more than 3 runs once.

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox projected starters

LHP Patrick Sandoval vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Sandoval (1-0, 1.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.000 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 3.3 K/9 in 11 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1 ER in each of his 1st 2 starts, going 5 IP and 6 IP
  • One career start against the Red Sox: 4 ER in just 4 2/3 IP

Houck (2-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.100 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 10 IP.

  • Won his 1st 2 starts this season, but hasn’t gone more than 5 innings,  allowed 3 ER in his 1st start and 2 ER in the 2nd
  • Has never faced the Angels in his career

Angels at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Angels 4

Moneyline

We shouldn’t put a ton of stock in the Red Sox getting swept by the Rays. After all, Tampa Bay hasn’t lost to anyone yet this year, and the Rays are flat-out blowing teams out of the water. That being said, the Red Sox’s pitching staff has been an issue.

Fortunately, they get Houck in this game against the Angels, their most reliable starter thus far. I think he’ll be their stopper in this matchup and end their losing skid. BET RED SOX (+100) to win outright at home.

Run line/Against the spread

I do like the Red Sox to win this matchup, but the run line isn’t worth betting at +1.5 with a line of -160. You’re better off taking Boston to win straight-up at even money. They only kept 1 of their 4 losses to the Rays within 1 run, losing the other 3 by a combined 13 runs.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both of these pitchers have performed relatively well early in the season, though Sandoval’s strikeout numbers point to a lot of contact made by opponents. Neither is walking batters at a very high rate, either, which helps keep runners off the basepaths.

Though the total has gone Over in the Red Sox’s last 3 games, that was primarily because of the Rays’ bats. I would LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-115) in this matchup between Sandoval and Houck.

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (16-21) square off with the Boston Red Sox (24-16) Saturday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston took Game 1 of the series 4-3 thanks to RF Hunter Renfroe’s 2-run home run in the bottom of the second and a go-ahead 2-run home run by 1B Bobby Dalbec in the bottom of the seventh.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0.

RHP Dylan Bundy gets the start for the Angels. Bundy is 0-4 with a 5.03 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 14-11, in 3 1/3 IP with 6 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers May 8.
  • Career vs. the Red Sox: 3-8 with a 4.99 ERA (83 IP, 46 ER), 1.54 WHIP and 6.6 K/9 across 14 starts and 4 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 110 at-bats with a .264/.341/.436 slash line, 32/12 K/BB, 4 HR and 13 RBIs.

LHP Martin Perez is on the rubber for the Red Sox. Perez is 0-2 with a 4.01 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Boston’s 4-1 loss at the Baltimore Orioles Monday.
  • Career vs. the Angels: 5-5 with a 4.30 ERA (88 IP, 42 ER), 1.52 WHIP and 4.6 K/9 across 14 starts and 4 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Angels on the current roster: 90 at-bats with a .267/.394/.478 slash line, 15/19 K/BB, 4 HR and 14 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Angels at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Angels 7, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

GIMME the ANGELS (-115) FIRST 5 INNINGS because they have the edge in the starting pitching department, but L.A.’s bullpen is unreliable—ranked 20th in xFIP, 23rd in SIERA, 22nd in home runs per nine innings and 28th in K-BB%.

However, Bundy’s advanced pitching numbers against current Red Sox hitters are much better than Perez’s against the Angels.

Bundy has a 25.6% strikeout rate, .295 expected wOBA and 4.20 FIP, while Perez has a 14% strikeout rate, a .398 expected wOBA and 6.93 FIP.

Also, L.A.’s lineup just got more deadly as 3B Anthony Rendon was activated off of the IL for the first game of this series and Rendon has raked lefty pitchers over his career.

Prior to this season, Rendon has a 110 or higher wRC+ and a .334 or higher wOBA vs. left-handed pitching.

Furthermore, the cutter is Perez’s most used pitch in his arsenal and Rendon has a plus-run value vs. the cutter with 100% hard-hit rate and a .390 wOBA.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don’t trust L.A.’s bullpen to hold a two-run lead and the Angels’ first 5 Innings run line is -0.5 (+110), which isn’t juicy enough to take a shot at.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a quarter unit since I like L.A.’s lineup vs. Boston’s starter in this one and the Angels could leave the backdoor wide open for the Over to cash with their lousy bullpen.

However, I’m generally much more comfortable betting sides rather than totals in baseball and that’s the case here.

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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (16-20) travel to Beantown for a three-game set with the Boston Red Sox (23-16) in Fenway Park starting Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. dropped back-to-back games to the Houston Astros, losing its previous series 2-1 after taking two of three against the defending-champion Los Angeles Dodgers.

But, the Angels were swept four games to nil by the Tampa Bay Rays in the previous series and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Boston snapped a three-game losing skid and prevented a three-game sweep by beating the Oakland Athletics 8-1 yesterday. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their past 10 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Griffin Canning is on the rubber for the Angels. Canning is 3-2 with a 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 across 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 9-2, in 5 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 4 K last Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Career vs. the Red Sox: No appearances.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 5-0 with a 3.19 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K Sunday at the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Career vs. the Angels: No appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Angels at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+150) | Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Angels 6, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ANGELS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS because I like L.A.’s starting pitcher more today because Pivetta allows a lot more free passes than Canning.

But, Boston’s bullpen is one of the best in the league and L.A.’s in is in the bottom-10 of several advanced pitching categories so I’m avoiding the Angels on the full games.

Both lineups are in the top-10 of wOBA and wRC+ but they are also in the bottom-3 in BB%. However, Pivetta is in the 11th percentile of BB%, 17th percentile in whiff%, and 37th percentile in expected wOBA.

Also, Canning is coming into this start with momentum after just beating the Dodgers in his previous outing and making his first career start in Fenway Park.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don’t like the prices of the run lines, alternate run lines and either for the First 5 innings as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 5.5 (-125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit because my read is Canning has a second straight solid outing and L.A.’s lineup can do the damage it needs to Pivetta to gain a lead.

My hesitancy and refusal to bet the full-game Under is because the Angels bullpen is a bottom-10 unit and could certainly give back a lead and open the backdoor for the Over.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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