The Los Angeles Angels (37-45) meet the Miami Marlins (39-40) Wednesday for the last of their interleague back-to-back series at loanDepot park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Miami beat L.A. Tuesday 2-1 behind a gem thrown by Marlins SP Sandy Alcantara who pitched 8 scoreless innings allowing 4 hits, no walks with 10 strikeouts. The Angels lead the season series 2-1.
Angels at Marlins projected starters
RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. LHP Trevor Rogers
Ohtani is 7-4 with a 2.68 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 74 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: Won 4-1 Wednesday at home vs. the Chicago White Sox with 5 2/3 scoreless IP, 5 H, 1 BB and 11 K.
- 2022 road splits: 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.200 WHIP, 4 HR and 12.3 K/9 in 7 starts.
Rogers is 4-6 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 68 IP over 15 starts.
- Last start: Won 6-3 Friday at the Washington Nationals with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 4 K.
- 2022 home splits: 2-3 with an 8.39 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.87 WHIP, 7 HR and 10.9 K/9 in 6 starts.
Angels at Marlins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Angels -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+105) | Marlins +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Angels at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Marlins 2
Money line
RISK 1 unit on the ANGELS (-170) instead of betting to win 1 unit since we are getting the worst of the number. But, this is a terrible spot for the Marlins (+135) and the Angels have a decisive edge in the starting pitching matchup.
For instance, Miami is 1-7 overall as home underdogs vs. right-handed starters with a minus-71.1% return on investment. L.A. opened with a -145 ML according to VegasInsider.com before sharp action pushed the Angels up to the current price.
Also, Ohtani has legit Cy Young-caliber stuff while Rogers has regressed year over year. Ohtani’s hard-hit rate, exit velocity, K%, BB% and HR% are all much better than the MLB average. While Rogers’ K% is down 8.4% from 2021 and his BB% has increased by 2.6%, according to Statcast.
If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the ANGELS (-170) to earn a $58.82 profit instead of betting $170 to win $100.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN to the ANGELS -1.5 (+105) because they are 11-7 RL as road favorites and the Marlins +1.5 (-130) are just 7-6 RL as home underdogs.
However, I cannot fully get behind an L.A. RL wager since Miami’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching than the Angels are against lefties and the Marlins have much more reliable relief pitching.
Over/Under
PASS.
There are a lot of Over-friendly trends such as Miami’s 7-5-1 O/U as home underdogs and 8-6-1 O/U in Rogers’ 15 starts and L.A.’s 9-7-2 O/U record as road favorites.
But, roughly 90% of the money is on the Under whereas the bets are split on either side of the total according to Pregame.com. Typically, it’s wise to follow the cash column when the public is split or on the other side since the money better represents sharp action.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]