Tag: Angels Astros odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (19-29) visit the Houston Astros (21-27) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Angels lead 1-0

The Angels took the series opener 9-7 Monday, scoring 7 runs — on 4 HRs — in the 5th inning after falling behind 6-1. It was their  2nd straight win and 4th in 5 games.

The Astros, entering the series, had won 7 of their last 8. They beat the Angels 9 out of 13 matchups last season. After allowing only 1 run in the first 4 innings, starter Framber Valdez got knocked around in the 5th for the 7-run rally to take the loss.

Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Griffin Canning vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Canning (2-4, 5.21 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 46 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-2 home win over St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
  • 1.53 ERA over last 3 starts (17 2/3 IP, 3 ER)
  • Career vs. Astros: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.76 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. Astros: 0-1, 5.59 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 2 starts

Javier (3-1, 3.23 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 30 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 8-1 home win over Oakland A’s Thursday
  • Allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his 6 starts
  • Career vs. Angels: 5-1, 2.79 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 14.0 K/9 in 11 games (7 starts)
  • 2023 vs. Angels: 2-0, 3.18 ERA (17 IP, 6 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 3 starts

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Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-115) | Astros -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Angels 3

Moneyline

The 4 wins in 5 games for the Angels are the most since in a 5-game stretch since going 4-1 from March 31-April 5.

Canning has been great over his last 3 outings, allowing only 3 runs in 17 2/3 innings as mentioned above.

But Javier has been consistent. Aside from one outing, he has not allowed more than 3 earned runs and allowed 2 or fewer in 4 of 6.

The Astros entered this series red-hot, winning 9 of their previous 11 games.

Not expecting the Angels’ play to be sustainable, expect the Astros to win, but don’t bet them at -200.

PASS. 

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Astros’ last 8 wins have been by more than 1 run, and 17 of their 21 have been by 2 or more. Their 3 wins with Javier starting have all been by 2 or more runs.

Four of the 6 losses the Angels have when Canning starts have been by 2 or more runs and 21 of L.A.’s 29 wins have also been by 2 or more.

BET ASTROS -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Six of Canning’s 9 starts this season have had 9 or more total runs.

Four of the Astros’ last 5 games have had 9 or more runs.

Six of the last 7 matchups between the 2 teams have had at least 9 total runs.

However, Canning’s recent starts and Javier’s play over the whole season make me believe this will be a lower-scoring game.

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (18-29) and Houston Astros (21-26) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Astros won 9-4 in 2023

The Angels are 3-1 over their last 4 and won their 3-game weekend series at the Texas Rangers, beating them 4-1 in Sunday’s finale.

The Astros took 2 of 3 games against the Milwaukee Brewers with a 9-4 home win Sunday. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are 9-2 in their last 11.

Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Detmers (3-4, 5.19 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 7-6 home loss to St. Louis Tuesday
  • 0-4 with an 8.46 ERA in last 5 starts

Valdez (3-1, 2.95 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 36 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 home win over Oakland Wednesday
  • Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of last 5 starts

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Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-120) | Astros -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 3

Moneyline

The Angels have lost Detmer’s last 5 starts. Their 3-1 stretch over the last 4 games is the best of their season since winning 4 in a row March 31-April 3.

The Astros are 6-1 on the current homestand and 7-1 in their last 8. They have won 3 of Valdez’s last 4 outings.

The pitching matchup is overwhelmingly in favor of Houston, but betting the Astros at -200 isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Astros’ last 8 wins have been by more than 1 run, and 17 of their 21 have been by 2 or more.

Three of the Angels’ last 4 losses have been by only 1 run. Four of the last 5 outings for Detmer have been losses by multiple runs, and 21 of L.A.’s 29 wins have also been by 2 or more.

BET ASTROS -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The last 3 starts for Valdez, and 4 of the last 5, have had totals of fewer than 9 runs. But 6 of the last 9 games for the Astros have had 9 or more total runs.

Eight of the Angels’ last 12 games and 3 of Detmer’s last 4 starts have had totals of 9 or more runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (58-60) and Houston Astros (68-50) close out a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Sunday. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 9-3

The Angels have dropped the first 2 games of the series by back-to-back 11-3 scores as they continue to tailspin. Los Angeles is 2-8 over its last 10 games and has fallen 12 1/2 games out in the AL West and 6 1/2 out of an AL Wild Card spot.

Meanwhile, Houston has pulled within 2 1/2 games of the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Astros are up 3 1/2 games on Toronto for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot and are 7-3 over the last 10.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Chase Silseth vs. RHP Jose Urquidy

Silseth (3-1, 3.72 ERA) makes his 5th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 12 K last Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
  • 2023 as a starter: 2-1, 3.43 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13.3 K/9 across 4 starts

Urquidy (2-2, 6.10 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 31 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K last Sunday at New York Yankees
  • Last 5 starts vs. Angels: 4-1, 3.81 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 25 K in 28 1/3 IP

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-150) | Astros -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Astros are 8-2 over the last 10 in this matchup as the Angels really have been no match. Silseth has been decent in a small sample size, whereas Urquidy is working his way back after missing a chunk of the season due to injury. I still like the Astros to get it done after 11-3 dominant efforts in each of the last 2 days.

Take the ASTROS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Astros’ last 8 wins over the last 10 games in this series have been by multiple runs. The Astros are just 61-57 on the RL this season, but they have had L.A.’s number.

Toss a HALF-UNIT on ASTROS -1.5 (+125).

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Over/Under

The Angels are 6-3-1 O/U over the last 10, and Houston is 6-4. The Over is 7-3 over the last 10 in this matchup. It has gone way over in the first 2 of this series. With 2 relatively volatile options on the hill Sunday I will LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (58-59) face the Houston Astros (67-50) in the 2nd game of their 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 8-3

The Angels dropped the series opener 11-3 on Friday, snapping a small 2-game win streak. They have lost 8 of their last 10 games. They sit in 4th place in the AL West, trailing the division-leading Texas Rangers by 11½ games and the final AL Wild Card by 6½.

The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 11 overall. They have a 2½-game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot and trail the Rangers for the AL West lead by 2½ games.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP J.P. France

Anderson (5-3, 4.92 ERA) makes his 20th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 104 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-2 home loss vs. Seattle Mariners last Saturday
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 6 starts
  • 2023 road stats: 2-2, 5.01 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 33 ER) in 10 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Astros: 0-1, 6.37 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 21 ER) in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. Astros: 0-0, 3.00 ERA (3 IP, 1 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 9-8 home loss July 16

France (8-3, 2.75 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 95 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 3 1/3 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in relief in 9-7 win at New York Yankees Sunday
  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians July 31
  • Astros are 6-0 in his last 6 starts
  • 2023 home stats: 3-1, 3.74 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Angels: 0-0, 2.38 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts – Most recent: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 R (2 ER), 9 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-5 road victory July 14

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Astros -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Astros -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 7, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Astros have dominated the season series, winning 8 of 11. They are 8-3 in their last 11 games.

The Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games and 27-31 on the road overall.

The Astros have won France’s last 6 starts and last 7 appearances.

Betting the Astros on the moneyline is not bad, but it is getting close to being not worth it.

Houston’s recent play suggests the spread is a better play.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros have won 6 of France’s last 7 appearances by 2 or more runs. Seven of their last 9 wins overall have also been by multiple runs.

Six of their 8 wins over the Angels have been by 2 or more runs.

Nine of the Angels’ last 11 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET ASTROS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

The last 4 games between the 2 teams — and 5 of the last 6 — have had 10 or more total runs.

Five of the Astros’ last 7 games overall have hit double digits in runs.

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-30) wrap up a 4-game series with the Houston Astros (35-23) Sunday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 2:10 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 5-1

Houston came out swinging Saturday as they secured a 9-6 victory. The Astros took a 7-1 lead by the 4th inning and hung on despite a late rally from the Angels that saw them plate 4 runs in the 7th frame.

The Astros were below .500 and were riding a 3-game losing streak after losing the season-series opener to the Angels on May 8. Houston seemingly became a different team after that loss, going 18-5 in the 23 games that followed — including 5 victories over L.A.

Houston trails the AL West-leading Texas Rangers by just 2 1/2 games following its surge, while Los Angeles has slipped 8 1/2 games behind the division leaders. L.A. needs to show it can compete with teams like Houston if it has any chance of reaching postseason play.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Griffin Canning vs. RHP J.P. France

Canning (4-2, 4.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 B, 9 K in a 6-4 road victory over the Chicago White Sox Monday
  • Allows a 1.300 OPS on a full count in 2023

France (1-1, 4.00 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 27 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 8 K in a 7-5 loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday
  • 1.094 OPS versus right-handed batters compared to a 0.422 OPS against lefties

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-155) | Astros -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

Despite their lackluster record, the Angels are 16-13 after a loss and have only been swept once this season. I expect them to at least leave Houston on a positive note.

LEAN ANGELS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Angels are 13-9 ATS this season as road underdogs, so this is a good safety net if you are understandably hesitant to take L.A. on the moneyline. The odds are not ideal, but if you’d prefer a run of insurance it’s reasonable to BET ANGELS +1.5 (-155).

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Over/Under

I actually lean Under despite a lot of trends pointing to another high-scoring game. However, the Under is 6-2 in the Angels’ last 8 games when facing a winning team and the Astros have gone Over in just 4 of last their 15 game 4s.

LEAN UNDER 9 (-110).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-29) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (34-23) Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 4-1.

The Angels lost to the Astros 6-2 Friday, giving them 2 straight losses. Los Angeles is 4-6 in its last 10 games and is 7 1/2 games behind the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West.

In Friday’s victory, OF Yordan Alvarez hit his 15th home run of the season, and LHP Framber Valdez pitched 7 shutout innings. Houston has won 6 of its last 8 games and is only 2 1/2 games behind Texas in the AL West.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Patrick Sandoval vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Sandoval (3-4, 3.42 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 5-plus hits and 2-plus ER in 4 consecutive starts.
  • May 8 vs. Astros: 4 ER on 7 H with 0 BB and 2 K in 6 1/3 IP.

Javier (6-1, 2.97 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • Has posted 5-plus K’s in 9 of his first 11 starts.
  • May 10 vs. Angels: 2 ER on 3 H with 1 BB and 11 K in 6 IP.

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Astros -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Astros -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Angels 3

Moneyline

Even though I have the Astros securing the win at home in Saturday’s divisional matchup, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game at -185.

Run line/Against the spread

ASTROS -1.5 (+110) has decent value with Javier hitting his stride in recent starts. Sandoval also isn’t producing many swings and misses, while Houston has 5 potential players with a barrel rate of 8% or higher.

The Astros have won 4 straight meetings, and they’ve won by 2-plus runs in 3 of those contests.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Javier has given up 1 or fewer earned runs in 3 consecutive starts, and the Astros have the 18th-best wOBA (.317) and wRC+ (102) against left-handed pitching this season. The Under is also 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings overall.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-28) and the Houston Astros (33-23) play the 2nd game of their 4-game series at Minute Maid Park on Friday with 1st pitch at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-1

The Angels fell to 2-2 on their current road trip with a 5-2 loss to Houston in the series opener on Thursday. Since winning 4 games in a row and 6 out of 7, they have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Astros’ win on Thursday improved them to 2-2 during their current homestand, but they have been playing quite well for a while. They have won 5 of their last 7 games and are 16-5 in their last 21 games.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Ohtani (5-1, 2.91 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 65 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 6 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 8-5 loss to Miami Marlins
  • Is 3-4 with 3.51 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Astros

Valdez (5-4, 2.38 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 72 innings.

  • Is 3-0 with 2.00 ERA in last 4 outings as Astros have won his last 4 starts
  • Is 8-4 with 3.73 ERA in 16 career appearances (12 starts) vs. Angels

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-190) | Astros -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Angels 3

Moneyline

This is a premier pitching matchup of AL West rivals. The Astros have won 7 out of the last 10 meetings with the Angels, whos are 15-15 on the road. The Astros are 16-13 at home, and Valdez has been lights out, allowing only 1 run in his last 15 innings.

It is super tempting to just go with the run line because the Astros typically win games by at least 2 runs, but the Angels perform too well against the spread.

BET ASTROS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros’ last 7 victories have been by 2 or more runs, as well as 10 out of their last 12 wins. It is a good bet that if the Astros are winning the game, they will win by at least 2 runs.

But the Angels are 18-7 ATS on the season as the underdog and 17-13 ATS on the road this season. However, betting the Angels on the run line isn’t profitable enough.

Stay with the Astros on the moneyline for something safer. The Astros here on the run line is tempting but the Angels’ ATS success neutralizes the confidence.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Two of the 4 games between the teams this season have stayed under 8 total runs. Six of the last 10 matchups have finished with 7 or fewer runs.

Four of Valdez’ last 6 starts have had totals of 7 or fewer.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-27) and Houston Astros (32-23) meet Thursday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

Los Angeles won 12-5 as +126 road underdogs Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox. That win came because of a 4-HR game by the Angels, 2 by DH Shohei Ohtani. The Angels never trailed after taking the lead in the 1st inning.

Houston lost 8-2 as -179 home favorites Wednesday vs. Minnesota Twins. The Astros never led and could never even make the game close, despite 2 HRs in the 8th inning. SP Hunter Brown gave up 5 ER and 6 H in only 4 2/3 IP during the loss.

The Angels are 2-3 in their last 5 games while the Astros are 3-2 in their last 5.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Detmers (0-4, 4.93 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 45 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K, in a 6-2 home loss Friday vs. Miami Marlins
  • Career vs. Houston: 1-1 with a 3.98 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 18 H, 3 HR, 9 BB, 21 K in 4 starts

Valdez (5-4, 2.38 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 72 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K, in a 6-3 road win Saturday vs. Oakland Athletics
  • Career vs. Los Angeles: 8-4 with a 3.73 ERA (89 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 73 H, 9 HR, 45 BB, 100 K in 16 appearances (12 starts)

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Astros -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-125) | Astros -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Astros should win this game but as -190 favorites the risk here is not worth the reward. Bet on the run line or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ASTROS -1.5 (+105).

Four of the last 10 meetings have finished with a 1-run margin, but the Astros recent dominance suggests that they are the favorite to cover. The Astros are 58-27 in the last 85 meetings overall and 50-24 in the last 74 meetings in Houston.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

For Los Angeles the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games, 4-0 in they last 4 road games, and 5-0 in Detmers’ last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Over is also 18-8-1 in the last 27 meetings in Houston.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (60-77) will begin a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (88-49) on Friday at Minute Maid Park with 1st pitch at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 11-5

The Angels have had an extremely disappointing season, but they’ve won 8 of their last 12 games. Los Angeles just outscored the Detroit Tigers 19-9 in 3 games earlier this week.

The Astros boast the best record in the AL and are 11 games ahead of the Seattle Mariners in the AL West. Houston has won 7 of their last 9 games, including 3 straight series wins.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

Lorenzen (6-6, 4.94 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 71 IP.

  • Hasn’t pitched since July 1st (shoulder)
  • July 1 at Astros: 3 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

McCullers (2-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 3 or more batters in each of his first 4 starts
  • Sept. 2 at Angels: 5 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 7 K

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Angels +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Astros -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-117) | Astros -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 3

Money line

The Astros are reasonably favored in this game with the best record in the AL and the game taking place at Minute Maid Park. Even with Houston likely winning this game, I’ll PASS on the pricey money line.

Run line/Against the spread

Despite McCuller’s issues with walking batters this season, Houston is facing a pitcher that hasn’t been on the mound for 2 months. The Astros have won by multiple runs in 9 of their 11 wins over the Angels this season, so I’ll side with ASTROS -1.5 (-103) in this contest.

Over/Under

McCullers has shown that you can score runs on him by drawing walks and Lorenzen hasn’t thrown a major-league pitch in 2 months. OVER 8.5 RUNS (+100) is an enticing wager at plus odds given the pitching matchup.

The Over has been achieved in Lorenzen’s last 6 road starts and in his last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. Also, the Over has hit in 17 of the last 24 meetings between the Angels and the Astros.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (6-4) head to Minute Maid Park Monday to start a 3-game series with American League West rival Houston Astros (5-4). First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. creamed the Texas Rangers 8-3 Sunday in their 4-game set finale for a third consecutive victory after dropping the series opener. But, Angels CF Mike Trout exited Sunday’s game with an injury after being hit by a pitch in the 5th inning. X-rays were negative on his left hand, but he’s likely to sit out due to swelling.

Houston lost the rubber match of a 3-game series in Seattle Sunday, 7-2, and the Astros were outscored by the Mariners 18-7.

Season series: Houston leads 3-1. The Astros have outscored the Angels 20-10.

Angels at Astros: Projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Luis Garcia 

Lorenzen (1-0, 1.50 ERA) had a quality start in his victory last Monday versus the Miami Marlins. He went 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 7 K in L.A.’s 6-2 win.

  • The Angels converted Lorenzen to a starter when signing him this past offseason after Lorenzen worked out the bullpen for the Cincinnati Reds from 2016-21.

Garcia (0-0, 0.00) earned a no-decision Tuesday in Houston’s 2-1 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks despite pitching 4 scoreless frames with 2 H, 2 BB and 1 K.

  • 2021 vs. Angels: 1-2 with a 4.10 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.56 WHIP and 5.8 K/9 over 4 starts.
  • vs. Angels on the current roster: 9.66 FIP with a .328 batting average, .449 wOBA, .633 expected slugging percentage, 13.7 K% and 91.5 mph exit velocity in 73 plate appearances.

Angels at Astros odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-160) | Astros -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Astros 4

Money line

LEAN to the ANGELS (+125) as L.A.’s bats have been red-hot to start the season, and Garcia has struggled against the Angels.

Furthermore, L.A.’s lineup ranks third in WAR, fourth in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA thus far (per FanGraphs) whereas Garcia’s scary pitching splits versus the Angels are written above.

It’s only a LEAN to the ANGELS (+125) because I prefer L.A.’s first 5-inning RL as my favorite bet.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET the ANGELS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS RL because of Garcia’s aforementioned struggles versus L.A., and I’m high on Lorenzen as a starter.

Lorenzen signed with the Angels this past offseason because he’s a native Southern Californian, and L.A.’s front office offered him a starting rotation spot. Lorenzen’s pitching peripherals out of the bullpen were stellar, and he could be a middle-of-the-rotation starter for the Angels.

Also, I feel stronger about L.A.’s first 5-inning RL than its full-game ML because relief pitching has been a weakness for the Angels to start 2022.

TAKE the ANGELS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS RL. 

Over/Under

PASS since most of the market is on the Under, which is why the total is ticking down from the 9-run opener.

However, I’m staying away from the Under there might be some recency bias with that because the Under is 3-1 in the first 4 Angels-Astros meetings this year, and I’m higher on both teams’ lineups than their pitching staffs.

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