In a women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Jessica Andrade faces Cynthia Calvillo at UFC 266 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 266: Andrade vs. Calvillo odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, the prelims start at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.
Andrade, a.k.a. “Bate Estaca”, is 1-3 across her last four fights at the strawweight and lightweight levels. That’s a bit misleading considering the setbacks were against Zhang Weili in a title fight, Rose Namajunas via split decision and Valentina Shevchenko last time out at UFC 261, also in a title bout.
Five of the last six fights for Andrade have resulted in stoppages, including three victories by way of KO/TKO, and two setbacks via KO/TKO. She hasn’t had a submission win since 2016 when she topped Joanne Calderwood at UFC 203.
For Calvillo, she is coming off a unanimous-decision setback to Katlyn Chookagian Nov. 21 at UFC 255. Each of her last four fights has ended up going the distance.
UFC 266 Andrade vs. Calvillo: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Andrade -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Calvillo +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -190 | Under +135)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -127 | No -107)
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UFC 266 Andrade vs. Calvillo: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Andrade (21-9-0) | Calvillo (9-2-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
I think Andrade (-240) wins this fight, but I’m not willing to bet nearly two and a half times my potential return, and you shouldn’t be either.
Instead, look to ANDRADE BY POINTS (+145) in the method of victory section, as Calvillo usually manages to hang around and let the judges decide her fate. It’s not going to go Calvillo’s way, but she is going to make Andrade work for it.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-127): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the play. In 12 career professional bouts, Calvillo has ended up with just five stoppages. While 21 of Andrade’s 30 career bouts have ended via KO/TKO or submission, I think Calvillo will hang around until the triple zeroes.
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