UFC Fight Night 211: Ilir Latifi vs. Aleksei Oleinik odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 211 odds and lines between Ilir Latifi vs. Aleksei Oleinik, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout in the prelims, Ilir Latifi and Aleksei Oleinik meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 211 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 211: Latifi vs. Oleinik odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.

It’s rather surprising this veteran battle is on the prelims portion of the card, especially since it’s a rather weak card overall. Some of the main card fights should be blowouts, but this has Fight of the Night potential.

Latifi, a.k.a. “The Sledgehammer”, takes the walk with a split-decision win over Tanner Boser in his most recent showing in June 2021, stopping a 3-bout losing skid. However, losses to Corey Anderson, Volkan Oezdemir and Derrick Lewis are certainly nothing to be ashamed of. He looks to work his way back up the ladder with a win over the veteran Oleinik.

The 45-year-old Oleinik, a.k.a. “The Boa Constrictor”, is still a formidable force despite being a little long in the tooth. Just ask Jared Vanderaa, who was submitted by the craft veteran in Round 1 at UFC 273 in April.

Oleinik’s calling card is his work on the mat, posting a 47-2 record via submission in his 77 career professional bouts. Can he do it one more time?

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UFC Fight Night 211 Latifi vs. Oleinik odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Latifi -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Oleinik +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +102)

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UFC Fight Night 211 Latifi vs. Oleinik picks and predictions

Records: Latifi (16-8-0) | Oleinik (60-16-1)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

It’s actually quite surprising these 2 veteran fighters haven’t fought each other yet, either at the UFC level or in any other organization. Latifi doesn’t have as long of a history as OLEINIK (+145), and the Swedish fighter is going to be in for a war.

Look for Oleinik to keep Latifi at bay with his 7-inch reach advantage, picking and choosing his spots to go in for the takedown. The Boa Constrictor will want to get this fight to the mat, which is where he does his best work, and always has. Latifi is no slouch on the canvas, but he hasn’t faced a grappler like the veteran Oleinik.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-140) is a good play, as Oleinik will bide his time looking for the right time to get this one to the mat. It won’t be a quick fight, by any means, although it isn’t going the distance, either.

However, No (-320): Fight to go the distance is just too expensive, so AVOID that. It is worth taking a flyer on OLEINIK BY SUBMISSION (+225) for the chance to multiply your initial wager by more than 2 times. In addition, going lightly on a 2-round block of OLEINIK IN ROUND 2 (+720) and OLEINIK IN ROUND 3 (+1700) is worth a shot. If he wins in Rounds 2-3, you will lose on one end, but you’ll still be well ahead.

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UFC 246: Aleksei Oleinik vs. Maurice Greene odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 246 lightweight bout between Aleksei Oleinik and Maurice Greene, with UFC betting odds, picks and best bets.

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Aleksei Oleinik and Maurice Greene will battle at UFC 246 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas Saturday night in a heavyweight bout on the pay-per-view card (To watch, sign up for ESPN+ now).

Oleinik (57-13-1) is battle tested with a lengthy history in mixed martial arts. He is 42 years old after all. Since joining the UFC June 28, 2014, he has fought some of the best in his division with mixed results. He owns wins over Anthony Hamilton, Mark Hunt and Jared Rosholt, while suffering losses to Curtis Blaydes, Walt Harris and Alistair Overeem. Oleinik’s last two bouts have ended up knockouts, including just 12 seconds against Harris at UFC Fight Night July 20. He is nicknamed ‘The Boa Constrictor’ – he wants to get fighters on the ground and win by submission. Five of his six wins in UFC have been by submission, and that’s how he has made a name for himself over the years.

Greene (8-4) heads into this one with a five-inch height advantage, a slight reach advantage and he lands many more significant strikes per minute. He’ll be trying to blast Oleinik and knock him out early, looking to avoid tiring out and becoming susceptible to the takedown and the alligator-jaw like legs of Oleinik. Greene isn’t much for the ground and pound, and he has just a 0.65 submission average and no takedown average or takedown accuracy to speak of. He’ll need to do whatever he can to avoid going to the mat, or Moe Greene will be out of the Tropicana … err, T-Mobile Arena. That’s for you, Irwin Fletcher!


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Per BetMGM, Greene (-134) is considered the favorite by an ever so slight margin over Oleinik (+100). The oddsmakers also show a heavy lean to the match not going the distance (three rounds), with odds there being set at -715 for no, while odds to go a full three rounds is at +400.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Greene is even money, returning a $10 profit if he wins. A $10 bet on Oleinik to win returns a profit of $7.46 with a victory.

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With the distance wager odds, you can tell Vegas fully expects that the judges will not be involved. This one is either ending in a knockout by Greene, or a submission win by Oleinik. But that’s where it gets tricky, and when will the victory occur? I like Greene to punch himself out early, trying to tire the 42-year-old Russian with an early flurry. If Oleinik can withstand those early blows, it will be good news for his backers. OLEINIK to win by SUBMISSION (+170) is a tremendous value, while Greene to win by KO/TKO or DQ is (+100) even money. My suggestion is taking the better value, going with Oleinik to win by submission, and taking him to win in ROUND 2 (+500), which will make for a tidy little payday. If Greene wins, it is going to be by punches and in Round 1, paying (+210). I can see either scenario, but for my money, I like OLEINIK to snap his two-bout skid and get a win.

If you want some action on this mixed martial arts bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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