Alabama Crimson Tide football betting odds spread lines picks predictions

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-4 overall, 3-4 SEC) and Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0, 6-0) meet in Tuscaloosa, Ala., for a 4 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday. Below, we analyze the Kentucky-Alabama college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Alabama is ranked No. 1 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kentucky at Alabama: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:28 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kentucky +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Alabama -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Kentucky +30 (-110) | Alabama -30 (-110)
Over/Under: 57.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Kentucky at Alabama: Three things to know

The Wildcats limp into this one, barely escaping a poor Vanderbilt side last week by a 38-35 score. The good news is that they’re underdogs, and they have covered their past two when not favored. In addition, Kentucky is 4-0 ATS in its past four as a double-digit dog.
The last time these cross-division SEC rivals met was Oct. 1, 2016, a 34-6 victory by the Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Wildcats covered the 37-point number, however.
Alabama dusted Mississippi State 41-0 as a 29-point favorite on Halloween, the Crimson Tide’s last game. Alabama is 2-0 ATS in the past three as a favorite of three or more touchdowns after failing to cover in the first two such situations earlier in the season – against Ole Miss and Mizzou.

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Kentucky at Alabama: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Alabama 47, Kentucky 20

Money line (ML)

Alabama (-5000) is not losing to Kentucky. However, you cannot risk $100 for every $2 won. That’s just bad gambling over the long haul. AVOID.

Against the spread (ATS)

KENTUCKY +30 (-110) is worth a small-unit play, although it’s easy to see this one getting away from the Wildcats if the Crimson Tide defense continues to show improvement. Alabama allowed 28.8 points per game over the first four games, but just 8.5 PPG across the past two. The Wildcats should still be able to get into the teens, and keep this within a four-touchdown game.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 57.5 (-115) is also worth playing lightly, as the Alabama offense can go bonkers and score at the drop of the hat. It has posted 38 or more points in every game this season, and 41 or more in each of the past five. ‘Bama will hit the 40’s again here, so that’s not a problem. As long as Kentucky can grab an early score or two, this won’t be a sweat shop.

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If you ever wondered how much impact Alabama football head coach Nick Saban has on his football team’s success, we got an answer Wednesday afternoon.

According to sportsbooks, it’s about two points.

The betting line on nearly every sportsbook swung toward the Georgia Bulldogs after Wednesday afternoon’s news that Saban and Alabama Director of Athletics Greg Byrne both tested positive for COVID-19.

BetMGM actually took the step of removing the game from its sportsbook.

The No. 2-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide are scheduled to face the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs at 7 p.m. CT on Saturday.

Before BetMGM removed the game, it moved the line from Alabama as a six-point favorite to being a 4.5-point favorite. And the odds of Alabama winning outright went from -220 to -185.

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Caesars/Harrah’s line had a bigger move, according to VegasInsider. It went from Alabama as a six-point favorite entering the day to Alabama as a five-point favorite at 4:53 p.m. CT shortly after the news of Saban’s positive test. Eight minutes later, the line moved to Alabama as a four-point favorite.

Saban is in his 14th season as the Alabama football head coach.

Erik Hall is the lead digital producer for sports with the USA Today Network. You can find him on Twitter @HallErik.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship, and there is no influence on news coverage.