MWC Tournament: Air Force vs. UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Air Force vs. UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 10th-seeded Air Force Falcons (14-17) and No. 7 UNLV Rebels (18-12) meet Wednesday in Mountain West Conference Tournament quarterfinal. Tip-off at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force arrives at the MWC Tournament having lost its last 3 games. The Falcons finished 5-13 and in 10th place in the regular-season and they have won just twice since Jan. 21.

UNLV defeated Air Force 54-53 on Feb. 24 as part of a 7-11 record in MWC play. A solid offense for much of the season, the Rebels have scuffled their way to a mere 37.5% mark from the field in their last 7 games.

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Air Force vs. UNLV odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +6.5 (-110) | UNLV -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Air Force vs. UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

UNLV 70,  Air Force 63

Moneyline

Not available.

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Against the spread

UNLV will be susceptible to the Falcons’ distance game, but the Rebels defense should be able to create enough turnovers to frequently short-circuit the Air Force attack. The Rebels-by-a-touchdown is a fair line. PASS.

Over/Under

These 2 played a 107-point game Feb. 24, and the Under has hit in back-to-back series meetings.

Air Force plays at a snail’s pace. UNLV plays rabbit ball, but the Rebels’ tempo has been on the decline of late. The Under is 3-1 in their last 4.

UNLV just does not shoot the ball well enough to spiral the score like it spirals possessions.

TAKE THE UNDER 134.5 (-110).

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Air Force at UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (14-15, 5-11 MWC) go up against the UNLV Rebels (16-11, 5-10) on Friday at Thomas & Mack Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons lost as 2.5-point home favorites to Fresno State 74-69 on Tuesday. Air Force has won only 2 of its last 10 games.

The Rebels were defeated 73-69 by Boise State despite covering as 7.5-point road underdogs on Sunday. UNLV has gone 4-6 in its last 10 contests.

This is the only meeting this season between Air Force and UNLV. The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings.

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Air Force at UNLV odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | UNLV -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +8.5 (-110) | UNLV -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Air Force at UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

UNLV 71, Air Force 64

Moneyline

AVOID.

Taking the moneyline in this game isn’t advised unless you believe Air Force can pull off the road upset.

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Against the spread

Even though the Falcons have struggled recently, AIR FORCE +8.5 (-110) is the pick here. The Falcons are 7-4 ATS on the road, which is the 2nd-best mark in the Mountain West conference.

The underdog is also 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these programs.

Over/Under

UNDER 136.5 (-105) is how I’d bet the total with how these teams have performed recently. These teams allow a combined 136.7 points per game and Air Force averages only 65.2 possessions per game (10th fewest in the nation).

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Air Force at UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Air Force Falcons at UNLV Rebels odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (4-2, 1-2 Mountain West) will face the UNLV Rebels (4-2, 2-1) Saturday at Allegiant Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Air Force lost straight up as an 11-point favorite last Saturday, 34-27 at the Utah State Aggies. Falcons QB Haaziq Daniels finished with 95 yards passing, 1 TD, 1 INT and rushed for a score as Air Force failed to cover the spread as a double-digit favorite for the 2nd consecutive game.

UNLV failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog in a 40-7 loss at the San Jose State Spartans on Oct. 7. Rebels QB Cameron Friel threw for 143 yards and 1 TD on 14-of-19 passing as UNLV failed to cover the spread for the second consecutive game after starting the season 4-0 against the spread (ATS).

In their last meeting, Air Force covered as an 18-point favorite in a 48-14 home win vs. UNLV on Nov. 26, 2021.

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Air Force at UNLV odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force -380 (bet $380 to win $100) | UNLV +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force -9.5 (-115) | UNLV +9.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Air Force at UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 38, UNLV 14

Moneyline

PASS.

Air Force (-380) ML is too expensive to bet. Look to the spread and total for better opportunities.

Against the spread

BET AIR FORCE -9.5 (-115).

Air Force will come out extra focused after getting embarrassed as a double-digit favorite last Saturday. The Falcons have the No. 1 rushing offense in the nation (359.8 yards per game) and should dominate time of possession vs. UNLV. Lay the points with the extra motivated, superior team.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 49.5 (-115).

This number has been bet down too far to take the Under. I would lean toward the Over at this point considering how low the number is and some trends that support a higher-scoring game. The Over is 8-2 in Air Force’s last 10 games and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at UNLV.

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