The Air Force Falcons (12-11, 3-7 MWC) and Nevada Wolf Pack (17-6, 7-3) meet Friday in Reno. The Mountain West Conference game at the Lawlor Events Center tips off at 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Nevada odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Air Force is a middle-of-the-pack team in many statistical respects, but the Falcons have struggled in 2 specific areas while losing their last 4 games, going 2-2 against the spread (ATS). USAFA was out-rebounded in all 4 of those games, and they shot just 25.5% from 3-point range.
Nevada — winner of a 75-69 game as a 3.5-point favorite at Air Force Dec. 31 — is coming off an impressive Tuesday win over then-MWC leader San Diego State. The +2.5-underdog Wolf Pack defeated SDSU 75-66. The triumph kept alive a home-floor win streak: UN is 10-0 in Reno this season.
Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Air Force at Nevada odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Air Force +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Nevada -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +11.5 (-115) | Nevada -11.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Air Force at Nevada picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 70, Air Force 61
Moneyline
PASS.
Nevada should win, but is simply unplayable at this line.
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Against the spread
Air Force has been solid ATS in recent underdog games of similar magnitude. The Falcons launch a lot of 3s. Against this average-on-the-perimeter Nevada defense, look for a rebound after recent missteps from beyond the arc
For the Wolf Pack, this game is sandwiched between a couple likely getting much more of its attention.
TAKE AIR FORCE +11.5 (-115).
Over/Under
Peg this match-up to be slow of pace and not ripe for a lot of 2nd-chance or turnover/transition points. A line watch is in order: if the total gets to 133.5 (which it is at now), you can consider a partial-unit play on the Under. Otherwise, PASS.
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