2023 Super Bowl: A.J. Brown prop bet odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown’s Super Bowl prop bets odds, with predictions and picks for the best prop bets to make.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) battle the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) in Super Bowl LVII Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for A.J. Brown’s Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Brown set the Eagles’ single-season receiving record with 1,496 yards, which was 4th in the NFL this season.

With 88 receptions and 11 TDs, he and QB Jalen Hurts were the connection the Eagles were hoping for when they traded for Brown on draft day. Now, he’ll need to prove himself once again during the Super Bowl after a lackluster playoff run so far.

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A.J. Brown 2023 Super Bowl prop bets

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:07 p.m. ET.

Receiving yards: OVER 71.5 (-115)

This is the tougher of the 2 wagers on Brown in this one. While he is all but assured to get Over the 4.5 receptions being offered (mentioned below), yards have been difficult for him to come by in the playoffs.

He had 4 catches for 28 yards against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game and 3 receptions for 22 yards vs. the New York Giants in the Divisional Round.

These numbers will increase in the Super Bowl as the Chiefs are the worst team in the NFL when it comes to opponents’ TD passes. They allowed a league-worst 33 during the season.

Hurts will look to throw and, going against a young secondary, he will find his talented duo of receivers for plenty of yards. Both Brown and WR DeVonta Smith could go for Over 100 receiving yards.

TAKE OVER 71.5 YARDS (-115).

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Receptions: OVER 4.5 (-150)

Brown will get to 4.5 receptions. This is why the odds are tilted sharply in this manner. (Under 4.5 is +120)

Despite his lack of yardage in the playoffs, 5 is an easy number for Brown to catch in this Super Bowl, especially against a Kansas City defense which is going to be starting 3 and possibly 4 rookies.

Expect Hurts to look for Brown early and often. This could go Over by halftime.

TAKE OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS (-150) or get an alternate number at better odds.

Touchdown(s)

  • ANYTIME (+120) | 2+: (+700) | 3+: (+4000)

Make a play on ANYTIME (+120).

A small play on 2+ (+700) is also an option, and while he had 3 in one game this season, I don’t see it … even at +4000.

Receiving yards

  • 50+: (-295) | 75+: (-110) | 100+: (+245)
  • 125+ (+550) | 150+ (+1200)

If you want to climb the ladder with wagers, you could. Decide on the number you think he will get and wager all numbers up to that point. If he gets to 150 and you bet all numbers below, it will win you some good money. If he fails to make is, you could still win some money with the lower levels cashing in.

I don’t see Brown getting to 150+, but taking the ladder to 125+ is a good option.

Big game countdown

A.J. Brown to record 8+ receptions: +475

(Max bet: $50)

This was offered Tuesday by Tipico Sportsbook, but it’s since been removed. If it returns, it’s worth considering.

While Brown doesn’t normally get 8 receptions in a game, this wager is worth a few dollars as the Chiefs could be playing 4 rookies in the secondary. As mentioned, the Chiefs gave up the most passing TDs in the league this season (33). They are prone to giving up stats in the passing game, so I would put a little bit on this “big game” play.

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The 5 best NFL player prop bets for Week 1

The five smartest player prop wagers of Week 1.

You never really know what you’re going to see making Week 1 prop bets. Teams are as healthy as they’re going to be all season and expectations are high for every fanbase.

It gets easier to make prop bets during the season when injuries create defensive vacuums that are exploited. We will see similar to what Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp did last year – the numbers had to keep getting higher to the point where if you wanted to take the Over. Kupp would need nine catches for 105 yards, and I cashed on him consistently.

For Week 1, we take four players who have never played a down for their current team and one mainstay. Get the popcorn ready.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 17

Five NFL prop bets to exploit in Week 17.

As we turn the calendar into a new year, there is still a lot to be decided for those teams looking to get in the playoffs. For this week, we chose five players who are in the thick of the race to get to the postseason in hopes that their performances (good or bad) will take you to the pay window.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Dec. 31, at 6:45 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Remember the Titans

Tennessee is trying to hold off the Indianapolis Colts and won last week due in large part to wide receiver A.J. Brown. He had a monster games and, at times, looked uncoverable. The Miami Dolphins have a good defense, which could explain why Brown’s number is low (71.5 receiving yards at -114 for both Over and Under). Xavien Howard will likely be chasing him, but Ryan Tannehill is probable to lock in Brown downfield. If he catches five passes, he should hit this number. Take the Over (-114).

Keeping Up with the Joneses

With the injury to Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones once again finds himself in the center of the offense. He’s been a forgotten man in Bruce Arians’ system for the last year-and-a-half. His Over/Under is modest (67.5 rushing yards at -116 Over, -111 Under). Last week, he had 20 carries and gained just 65 yards, but that was against a good run defense in Carolina. This week, he’s facing the hapless New York Jets. The Bucs are massive favorites and should have a comfortable lead by halftime. If that expectation happens, Jones will get get pounded time and again and should hit close to 20 carries once more. Against the Jets defense, that could mean 100 rushing yards. Take the Over (-116).

It Takes Tua

Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is being given a pretty respectable Over/Under against Tennessee (240.5 passing yards at -114 for both). Often times, quarterbacks produce higher yardage numbers in games in which they’re getting beaten and have to pass. That hasn’t been true of Tua. His best yardage days have come against the hounds of the league. In 11 games, he has topped this Over/Under number only four times – three of those against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Jets and New York Giants. When he faces good teams, they tend to keep him in check, and the Titans qualify as a good team. Take the Under (-114).

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Cut to the Chase

Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase has had an outstanding rookie season and has been the big-play threat in the Bengals offense, averaging more than 17 yards per reception. He goes up against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that plays a lot of man coverage and takes chances. In what looks to be a back-and-forth, up-tempo battle, his Over/Under isn’t outrageous (67.5 receiving yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). There is plenty of competition for receptions from teammates Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, but if Chase catches four passes, his numbers tell you he will hit the point. Take the Over (-115).

Freaks and Zekes

It has been an up-and-down season for Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott. His Over/Under this week is likely the lowest of his stellar career to this point (53.5 rushing yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). The reason is obvious – he hasn’t hit 54 rushing yards in any of his last nine games. However, in a game against the Arizona Cardinals with a lot on the line for both teams, look for Dallas to try to remained balanced on offense, which should mean a healthy dose of Elliott and Tony Pollard. I wouldn’t blame anyone for taking the Under, because he hasn’t hit his current number in nine straight games, but all streaks come to an end, and the hunch is that it ends Sunday. Take the Over (-115).

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