Tag: 2025 NFL Draft order

With assist from old pal, Raiders now have no one-win teams ahead of them in draft order

A slew of two-win teams now battle for the top of the draft order now with both one-win teams win Sunday.

The Raiders badly need a win. They didn’t get one on their own on Sunday against the Bengals, losing their fifth straight game to fall to 2-7 on the season. But they got a win of sorts in another way. And they got it with a little help from an old friend.

Coming into today, there were two one-win teams in the league — the Panthers and Titans. Both teams won, which means every team in the NFL has at least two wins.

The Titans outlasted the Patriots in OT while Derek Carr and the Saints gave the Panthers their second win.

The former Raiders QB made some history in the process. A couple bits of history, in fact. Neither of which were the good kind.

Carr went 18 for 31 for 236 yards and a touchdown. He got 155 yards on the ground from Alvin Kamara, a rushing TD from Tayson Hill, and the defense had a takeaway. And he somehow couldn’t parlay into a win.

So, the Raiders — and several other two-win teams across the league — thank you for your service and sacrifice, Derek, in removing the Panthers from the ranks of the one-win teams and opening it up for the slew of two-win teams to control their own destiny for the top pick. Which, as it happens, also includes the 2-7 Saints.

Where ESPN projects Raiders will pick in 2025 NFL Draft ahead of Week 8

ESPN gives the Raiders an 80% chance of picking in the top ten and an almost even chance at the top five.

Hard to believe, but we are approaching the midway mark on the 2024 season. By this point most teams have a fairly good idea of whether they are headed for the playoff chase or the offseason. The Raiders appear headed for the latter.

When you’re in the position of ‘maybe next year’, the focus tends to shift to the draft. With that in mind, ESPN has put out their early draft projections by using the Football Power Index which simulates the remainder of the season. Those projections have the Raiders picking at sixth overall.

If they were to pick at sixth overall, would that be high enough to get one of the draft’s top quarterbacks? It’s not a deep class, so you’d have to they would need to trade up to get their guy, especially with several other QB needy teams ahead of them like the Panthers, Titans, and Browns.

Here’s the top of that draft projection:

1. New England Patriots (1-6)
Average draft position: 2.6
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 42.6%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 89.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 98.6%

2. Carolina Panthers (1-6)
Average draft position: 3.3
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 27.5%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 83.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 97.5%

3. Tennessee Titans (1-5)
Average draft position: 6.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 7.0%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 48.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 82.5%

4. Miami Dolphins (2-4)
Average draft position: 6.9
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 6.0%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 47.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 82.1%

5. Cleveland Browns (1-6)
Average draft position: 7.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 4.9%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 44.0%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 81.2%

6. Las Vegas Raiders (2-5)
Average draft position: 7.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 3.8%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 43.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 80.7%

7. New York Giants (2-5)
Average draft position: 7.3
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 3.4%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 39.5%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 78.7%

8. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5)
Average draft position: 8.3
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 2.6%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 34.2%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 73.9%

9. New Orleans Saints (2-5)
Average draft position: 10.9
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 0.7%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 15.7%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 51.1%

10. Los Angeles Rams (2-4)
Average draft position: 12.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 0.6%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 12.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 42.4%

See the rest of the first round here.