Tag: 2024 MLB Playoffs 2024 World Series round

World Series Game 5: LA Dodgers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s LA Dodgers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Yankees meet in Game 5 of the best-of-7 World Series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Dodgers lead 3-1

The Yankees staved off elimination in Game 4 with an emphatic 11-4 victory. New York fell into a 2-0 hole, as Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman launched a 2-run HR in the top of the 1st inning off of RHP Luis Gil, quieting the crowd for a while.

Freeman set a MLB record with a HR in each of his past 6 World Series games dating back to 2021 when he was with the Atlanta Braves. He is the first player in Major League history to homer in the first 4 games of a single World Series, too.

However, the crowd came alive in the bottom of the 3rd, as SS Anthony Volpe delivered a go-ahead grand slam to make it 5-2. L.A. was able to close it 5-4 in the top of the 5th, but the Yankees went wild with 5 in the bottom of the 8th to secure the victory and avoid the embarrassing sweep. Now, New York tries to force the series back to Southern California.

Volpe ended up with 4 RBI, and he was joined in the homer club by C Austin Wells, who launched a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 6th off of RHP Landon Knack. 2B Gleyber Torres got in on the fun with a 3-run HR in the bottom of the 8th.

Dodgers at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 IP with the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home win in 10 innings in Game 1 vs. Yankees
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 8-3, 2.94 ERA (88 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 22 BB, 108 K, .210 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees (including ’24 World Series): 1-0, 1.59 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 1 regular-season start and 1 postseason start
  • 2024 postseason record: 1-2, 6.10 ERA, 20 2/3 IP, 14 K, 1.35 WHIP, 14 K in 4 starts
  • Career postseason record: 2-5, 4.73 ERA, 45 2/3 IP, 45 K, 1.36 WHIP in 9 appearances (8 starts)

Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) made 17 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 95 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 road loss in 10 innings in Game 1 vs. Dodgers
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 3-2, 4.31 ERA (48 IP, 23 ER), 1.27 WHIP, .240 OBA in 9 starts
  • 2024 postseason record: 1-0, 2.82 ERA, 22 1/3 IP, 16 K, 1.30 WHIP in 4 starts
  • Career postseason record: 11-6, 2.91 ERA, 126 2/3 IP, 150 K, 1.01 WHIP in 21 starts

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Dodgers at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-150) are a good play behind Cole, as New York tries to force this series back to Southern California, extending its season.

The Yankees were finally able to get some decent late-inning pitching work, while using the long ball to get their first victory in this series.

This is exactly why the Yankees added Cole to the pitching rotation a few years back. The California kid will try and force this thing back to his native Golden State.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, consider YANKEES -1.5 (+140) to get the job done.

This isn’t likely to be like Game 4, where there were a lot of runs scored in the later innings. It’s always tough to win that championship-clinching last game, so the Dodgers +1.5 (-165) aren’t the play. New York has a little confidence back after Game 4, and it should build on that and add a little more swagger in Game 5.

Over/Under

Over/Under 8 should be avoided, as I expect the total to come down right on the number.

If anything, the slight lean would be to the Under. After a pair of 4-2 decisions in Games 2 and 3, we had an Over in Game 4. We should get back to the solid pitching and some tightness at the plate, as the intensity ratchets up the deeper we go into the series.

The best move is to PASS, and just focus on the moneyline or run line.

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World Series Game 4: LA Dodgers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s LA Dodgers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Yankees meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 World Series Tuesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Dodgers lead 3-0

The Dodgers pushed the Yankees to the brink of elimination with a 4-2 victory in Game 3 Monday night in the Bronx. It was a well-pitched game, with each team collecting 5 hits apiece. The Dodgers were +131 underdogs and the Under (8) cashed.

Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman came up with the big blow, smacking a 2-run HR in the top of the 1st inning as he zeroes in on World Series MVP honors. It was enough to back SP Walker Buehler, who twirled 5 scoreless innings before turning it over to the bullpen.

Yankees LF Alex Verdugo made things interesting with a 2-run, 2-out HR in the bottom of the 9th inning off of RP Michael Kopech, but that’s as close as the Bronx Bombers could get. Yankees CF Aaron Judge did not rise as he was hitless again with a walk and a strikeout, slipping to .140 (6-for-43) in the postseason, including 1-for-12 in the Series.

Dodgers at Yankees projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Luis Gil

The Dodgers are expected to go with a bullpen game and they haven’t named a starter as of this publishing. Possibilities include LHP Anthony Banda (1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3 games of this World Series) and RHP Ryan Brasier (1 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in 1 game of this WS).

Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 151 1/3 innings.

  • Last start (only career postseason appearance): No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-6 win at Cleveland Guardians in Game 4 of ALCS Oct. 18
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 6-4, 3.57 ERA (75 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 .184 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1 start in 2024, no-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home win June 9

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Dodgers at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (+165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-145) have to have a little bit of pride, right?

New York heads into this game with its backs against the wall. It’s a tall order trying to dig out of an 3-0 hole. It sounds cliche, but the team will need to take it one game at a time.

We saw the Edmonton Oilers in a similar spot in this past year’s Stanley Cup Final vs. the Florida Panthers. Down 3-0 in the best-of-7 series, the Oilers fought back to force a Game 7 before losing 2-1 in the deciding game on the road.

The home crowd at Yankee Stadium should spur on the Bronx Bombers Tuesday night, and Gil pitches them to see another day.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

I’m not going to bother in hoping the Yankees -1.5 (+140) win by at least 2 runs.

BetMGM Sportsbook is offering an alternate line of Yankees +1.5 (-250), but that is way too pricey. You can’t risk 2½ times the potential return as that’s not smart sports gambling.

If you like the Yankees, just bet them straight up.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The last win is the hardest to get in a championship series. You can expect both teams to be a little tight. We saw some signs of that in Game 3 as the total went Under despite a pair of 2-run homers in the game.

We also had a 4-2 score in Game 2 as the Under cashed. Let’s go UNDER again, even though it’s a little disconcerting finalizing that pick before the Dodgers announce their starter.

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World Series Game 2: New York Yankees at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and LA Dodgers meet in Game 2 of the best-of-7 World Series Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Dodgers lead 1-0

L.A. won a wild one in Game 1 Friday 6-3 as -113 home favorites with the Over (8.5) hitting thanks to 1B Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam in the 10th inning.

The Yankees did everything they could to steal Game 1 on the road, but they didn’t have the pitching to keep the Dodgers’ mighty bats muzzled long enough. DH Giancarlo Stanton hit a 2-run homer 412 feet into the night to give the Yanks a 2-1 lead in the 6th inning. They’d relinquish it and ultimately fold in extras.

Freeman is being heralded alongside Kirk Gibson, who hit a game-winning homer in the 1988 World Series while battling 2 hamstring injuries. Freeman, hobbled by a sprained ankle, hit the first pitch he saw in the 10th inning into the same vicinity as Gibson’s for the first walk-off grand slam in World Series history.

Yankees at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Rodon went 16-9 with a 3.96 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 175 innings over 32 regular-season starts. He’s 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 0.6 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 in 14 1/3 postseason innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-2 win in 10 innings at Cleveland Guardians in Game 5 of ALCS Oct. 19
  • 3 starts vs. LA in 2022: 1-1, 3.71 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 18 K in 17 IP

Yamamoto went 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 90 innings over 18 regular-season starts. He’s 1-0 with a 5.11 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 12 1/3 postseason innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 10-2 win at New York Mets in Game 4 of NLCS Oct. 17
  • 1 career start vs. Yankees: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-1 win in 11 innings June 7 at Yankee Stadium

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Yankees at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (+120).

Yankees OF Aaron Judge has to get it going, and there are no excuses. He’s hitting between possibly the best hitter in baseball in OF Juan Soto and the ALCS MVP in Stanton. Judge is hitting .167 with 2 homers and 6 RBIs over 36 postseason ABs.

What tilts the pendulum for me, though, is Rodon. Dodgers OF Mookie Betts is just 1-for-19 (.053) against him lifetime. Freeman is just 1-for-7 (.143), OF Teoscar Hernandez is 1-for-9 (.111), and DH Shohei Ohtani and INF Max Muncy are just 1-for-7 combined (.143)

Rodon was great in his last 2 postseason starts with 15 K’s over 10 2/3 innings. The YANKEES (+120) respond.

Run line/Against the spread

Yamamoto made 1 great start at Yankee Stadium this season, and he allowed just 2 hits over 7 shutout frames. Who got him, you ask? Judge hit a double. Again, he has to surface in this game.

Take AARON JUDGE OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-135).

Over/Under

The wind was blowing out pretty fairly in Game 1, and it took a heroic moment for that Over to hit. Believe me, I was among the Over bettors sweating it out. The wind is blowing out at a milder, 6-mph pace Saturday. The bats were quiet early, possibly settling in to the big stage.

Keeping in mind, I bet the Over in Game 1, I think that cash was a fluke. Both pitchers have good history against each team, and they’ve performed well in the playoffs.

Take the UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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World Series Game 1: New York Yankees at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and LA Dodgers meet in Game 1 of the best-of-7 World Series Friday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Dodgers won 2-1

These teams met in a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium June 7-9. The Dodgers won June 7 as a moderate favorite (-160) by a 2-1 score. On June 8, the Dodgers routed the Yankees 11-3 as a slight ‘dog (-102) as the Over (8.5) hit, and New York salvaged the series finale with a 6-4 victory as an underdog (+120) as the Over (7) again connected.

The Yankees won in 4 games in the ALDS against the Kansas City Royals, although 2 of the games were decided by a single run, and the other 2 games were decided by 2 runs. The Under cashed in 3 of those 4 games.

In the ALCS, New York topped Cleveland in 5 games, although each of the 5 games were decided by 3 or fewer runs. The Over went 3-1-1 in the ALCS.

For the Dodgers, they were able to shake off the San Diego Padres in the NLDS, erasing a 2-1 series deficit. The Over went 3-1-1 in those games.

In the NLCS, LA topped the other New York team, the Mets, with 2 shutout victories, while winning in 6 games. LA managed 8 or more runs in 4 of those games, including 10 runs in both Games 4 and 6. The Over cashed in all 6 of the outings.

Yankees at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) made 17 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 95 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Guardians in Game 2 of ALCS Oct. 15
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 5-3, 2.49 ERA (47 IP, 13 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 12 BB, 51 K, .198 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 4-2, 5.01 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Didn’t face LA in 2024 regular season
  • 2024 postseason: 1-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP), 1.53 WHIP, 12 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 11-6, 2.98 ERA (120 2/3 IP), 1.03 WHIP, 146 K in 20 starts

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 innings with the Tigers and Dodgers.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 0 K in 12-6 loss at Mets in Game 5 of NLCS Oct. 18
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 5-4, 3.44 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 16 BB, 86 K, .238 OBA in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees (regular season): Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, an 11-4 home win July 1, 2023, with St. Louis Cardinals
  • Didn’t face Yankees in 2024 regular season
  • 2024 postseason: 1-2, 7.04 ERA (15 1/3 IP), 1.43 WHIP, 8 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 2-5, 4.91 ERA (40 1/3 IP), 1.39 WHIP, 39 K in 7 starts (8 appearances)

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Yankees at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Dodgers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (+105) are worth a look in the series opener on the road as they look to seize home-field advantage.

The pitching scales are tipped in favor of New York, as Cole is much more consistent than Flaherty. The latter has a dismal 7.04 ERA in 3 starts during the postseason so far.

The Dodgers (-125) won 2 of 3 games at Yankee Stadium back in June, but Cole didn’t appear in that series.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re on the conservative side, backing Yankees +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return. That’s a little too expensive, although if you were to fold it into a multi-leg parlay it is perfectly acceptable then.

However, as a standalone wager, backing New York on the run line is too much risk and not enough reward.

AVOID, and look to the moneyline instead.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is a solid play in Game 1, but go with a half-unit play at most.

There is some risk with the consistent Cole on the bump for the Yankees. However, the Dodgers cashed the Over in all 6 games with the Mets in the NLCS, while the total has gone high at a 9-1-1 clip in the postseason so far.

For the Yankees, the Over went 3-1-1 in the series with Cleveland, while splitting 4-4-1 in the 2024 postseason.

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