Sarkisian urged to follow Nick Saban’s example handling Texas QBs Ewers, Manning in playoffs

Steve Sarkisian is being urged to follow Nick Saban’s example handling Texas QBs Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning in college football playoffs.

Quinn Ewers uneven play over the last month of the 2024 season has opened back up questions about who should start at quarterback for the Texas Longhorns. With every Ewers misstep, the calls for Arch Manning grow louder.

Now, Blake Toppmeyer of USA TODAY Sports is using a moment from the Alabama Crimson Tide dynasty as an example and a road map for Texas coach Steve Sarkisian. He suggests Sark be ready to make the same tough decision former Bama coach Nick Saban did in 2017. Remember when Saban replaced Jalen Hurts with Tua Tagovailoa in the national title game?

“Nick Saban made the best decision of his career when the stakes were highest.

Saban benched a quarterback who had a 25-2 record as his starter at halftime of the national championship game against Georgia at the end of the 2017 season.

Bold move.

Winning move.

Jalen Hurts watched from the sideline while true freshman Tua Tagovailoa rallied Alabama past a 13-point halftime deficit in that title tilt against Georgia. The Crimson Tide won 26-23 in overtime when Tagovailoa made one of the most memorable throws in Alabama history, a 41-yard touchdown strike on second-and-26.”
— Blake Toppmeyer

Sark wouldn’t join the Alabama staff until the next season, but he obviously knows the story. “The Texas coach would do well to remember it as his fifth-seeded Longhorns set off on their College Football Playoff course,” Toppmeyer says.

Hurts had done nothing but win at Alabama, but Saban recognized how the game was trending and turned to Tua. Ewers, with some help from Manning, has captained Texas to the college football playoffs. He has three full seasons and a college football playoff game of experience under his belt. But if the game against the Clemson Tigers isn’t trending his way, Toppmeyer suggests he turn to Arch. “Manning, in two seasons as a backup, has amassed more experience than Tagovailoa had before he rescued Alabama,” he says.

Of course, Sark doesn’t need anyone’s help and he doesn’t listen to outside voices. The Texas coach told Rich Eisen that’d it would be an “emotional nightmare” if he listened to everyone’s opinion. “I’m not really one to buy into the opinions of others or the criticism of others that I would never ask advice from,” Sarkisian said.

“Certainly, it’s fine – recommended, even – that Sarkisian tune out us hacks, as long as he doesn’t tune out reality, too, if Texas finds itself needing a spark the playoff.

With Ewers taking most of the snaps, Texas twice lost to Georgia, the only playoff team it faced all season. … Might the Longhorns have won that game if Sarkisian had benched Ewers in the second half in favor of Manning? Maybe, maybe not …”
— Blake Toppmeyer

Would getting replaced in the playoffs hurt Ewers’ career? It didn’t really Hurts. Hurts transferred to Oklahoma and has now been the starting QB for the first place Philadelphia Eagles for several years.

“Possessing two good quarterbacks on the same college roster should be a blessing, not a nightmare, but it only helps if a coach will trigger a quarterback change if the situation calls for it.

If Ewers struggles, Sarkisian must take inspiration from Saban.

The playoff favors the bold.”
– Black Toppmeyer.

Texas hosts Clemson at DKR Saturday afternoon at 3pm CT on TNT.

Texas Longhorns don’t deserve 5th seed in College Football Playoff

The Texas Longhorns don’t deserve to have the fifth seed in the college football playoffs if the CFP committee used the basketball model.

The Texas Longhorns don’t deserve the 5th seed in the college football playoffs. They really don’t. UT should be the 3rd seed.

The first version of the 12-team CFP has drawn a lot of criticism from around the country for its seemingly unbalanced design. The feeling is that giving the top four conference champions a first round bye is too much of a reward. Especially, for weaker conferences like the ACC, Mountain West or the Big 12.

Fox Sports Joel Klatt is one of those calling for seeding the playoff according to the CFP Rankings as opposed to handing top seeds to conference winners. “It’s not a true meritocracy,” Klatt said, “Now it’s not a true playoff. It’s not a true bracket. You set out to do something like value the conference championship game and in doing so you devalued the conference championship game. … We don’t artificially pull the levers of power to bump teams up based on sentiment.”

Under the current format, the top four conference champions from the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, Big 12 and highest ranked Group of 5 get the top four seeds and a first round bye. The fifth team in that group makes the playoff but doesn’t get a top seed.

This differs greatly from the NCAA College Basketball Tournament. March Madness has a very successful and very popular format. Every conference champion makes the tournament, but no team gets a preferential seed based solely on that.

The hoops model is the format Texas coach Steve Sarkisian prefers. He told ESPN on Selection Sunday, “I look to the NCAA Basketball Tournament. If you win your conference tournament you get an automatic bid into the tournament. But then there’s seedings. Right? There’s one seeds, there’s two seeds, so on and so forth. And no where in there does it say that if you win your conference you get an automatic one seed. And so, I think if we can get to that model from a football perspective moving forward, that teams get seeded predicated on their ranking.”

The result of handing lower level teams high seeds is teams like the Longhorns are moved down and have to play an extra game. “The reality of it is, if we went just off of ranking, we would be the third seed in the tournament as opposed to the fifth. If we go by that (basketball) model, yes there’s automatic bids into the tournament, but that doesn’t necessarily give you, let’s call it a one seed where you get that bye in the first round,” Sark said.

Another bi-product of moving lower ranked teams up is some of the deserving top seeds get a tougher path because higher ranked teams are lower in the bracket.

Klatt points out, Oregon may have been done in most by the format. “Congratulation Dan Lanning and the Oregon Ducks,” Klatt said. “You got absolutely screwed by the playoff committee because their sentiment of trying to create artificial floors rose some of these teams to levels where they shouldn’t be. That’s the problem. The reward for 13-0 and having the best regular season in all of college football, which is supposed to be the most valuable regular season in all of sports, the reward for that is having to play the highest odds teams to win the national championship. They’re going to have to possibly go through Ohio State, Texas and Georgia to win the national championship.”

If the bracket was set the rankings, Texas would have a No. 3 seed, an extra week off and a path deserving of the consensus third ranked team in the nation.

Bracket Set! What CFB Playoff seed did Texas Football get?

The college football playoff committee has done the Texas Longhorns a favor in the seeding. What seed did UT get?

Texas’ 22-19 OT loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game cost the Horns the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. But the College Football Playoff committee didn’t punish the Longhorns too badly.

The Longhorns get the top at-large seed. UT is No. 5 and will host No. 12 seed Clemson in the first round. The winner will play Big 12 champ No. 4 seed Arizona State.

Georgia has been given the No. 2 seed and will play the winner of No. 7 Notre Dame and No. 10 Indiana.

Top seeded Oregon will face the winner of No. 8 Ohio State and No. 9 Tennessee. Boise State nabs the No. 3 seed and will play the winner of No. 6 Penn State and No. 11 SMU.

ACC champ Clemson is the lone conference champion that didn’t get a first round bye. ACC championship game loser SMU is actually seeded one higher than the Tigers.

College Football Playoff bracket: Who’s in, who’s out

  • No. 5 Texas vs No. 12 Clemson (Dec. 21 at 3 PM CT in Austin)
    – Winner will play No. 4 Arizona State (Jan. 1 at Noon CT in Peach Bowl)
  • No. 8 Ohio State vs No. 9 Tennessee (Dec. 21 at 7 PM CT in Columbus)
    – Winner will play No. 1 Oregon (Jan. 1 at 4 PM CT in Rose Bowl)
  • No. 6 Penn State vs No. 11 SMU (Dec. 21 at 11 AM CT in State College)
    – Winner will play No. 3 Boise State (Dec. 31 at 6:30 PM CT in Fiesta Bowl)
  • No. 7 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Indiana (Dec. 20 at 7 PM CT in South Bend)
    – Winner will play No. 2 Georgia (Jan. 1 at 7:45 PM CT in Sugar Bowl)

How many teams in College Football Playoff 2024?

For the first time, there will be 12 teams participating in the College Football Playoffs. There are five automatic bids for each of the Power Four conference champions and one to the highest-ranked Group of Five champion. The remaining seven slots are given to the seven at-large teams.

CFB Playoff bracket scenario if Texas loses to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game

Where does Texas land in the College Football Playoff if the Longhorns lose to the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game?

(This story was updated to add new information.)

Update: Texas lost the SEC Championship game to Georgia. The Longhorns will still make the college football playoffs as an at-large team. By beating the Aggies, Texas basically assured itself of a place in the 12-team playoff.

But where will the Longhorns be seeded? Will they host a home game in the first round? The answer looks to be Texas will be a No. 5 seed and host a first round game.

USA TODAY Sports has ran through five of the scenarios that could play out during championship Saturday. They detail two scenarios where Texas loses. In each, UT ends up with the No. 6 seed and would host a game. But all of those models had Texas and Oregon losing their respective conference championship games.

In the USA TODAY rundown, ‘Scenario 4’, the sixth seeded Longhorns would face Big 12 champion Arizona State, with the winner advancing to play SMU in the Peach Bowl in Atlanta.  Everything stays the same in ‘Scenario 5’, but the Texas-ASU winner plays Clemson.

Both of those scenarios have both Texas and Oregon losing. Both have Oregon as the No. 5 seed. If just Texas loses, which they did, they are likely to get the No. 5 seed in the bracket.

CBS Sportsline says Texas Longhorns 100% lock to make playoff

Whether the Longhorns win against the Texas A&M Aggies or not, CBS Sportsline says Texas is a lock to make the playoff.

There’s been a lot of speculation as to whether Texas can afford another loss and still make the college football playoff. Last week, with a possible 5-way SEC logjam, it didn’t seem like there would be a spot for the Longhorns if they lost to either Kentucky or Texas A&M. A second loss so close to the end of the season was feared to be catastrophic.

But things got a lot clearer after the conference chaos of this past Saturday. First, the Horns handled Kentucky 31-14. Now Texas can only lose one more game. The most losses UT will have is two. Add to that two of the main competitors for the playoff, Alabama and Ole Miss, each lost their third game of the year. No matter what happens, Texas is ahead of both teams.

CBS Sportsline says Texas is a lock for the College Football Playoff. The site says UT’s chances of making the playoff are 100%.

CBS Sports scribe Brad Crawford says, “The quality wins aren’t there, but coupled with Alabama’s loss to Oklahoma and Florida’s upset of Ole Miss, there are two fewer SEC teams Texas has to worry about in the final discussion. Even if the Longhorns lose at Texas A&M, they’re in based on their current ranking (No. 3). There aren’t enough spots to drop outside of the top 12.”

Obviously, Longhorns fans don’t want to put those odds to the test. Better to beat the Aggies and get to the SEC Championship Game. But it is somewhat comforting, especially if Texas QB Quinn Ewers is struggling with his sprained ankle.

ESPN’s Greg McElroy warns Longhorns fans, ‘Texas needs to win out’

The Texas Longhorns must win out, including rivalry game against Texas A&M Aggies, to guarantee a playoff spot according to ESPN’s Greg McElroy.

The Texas Longhorns schedule and resume are taking a beating by the college football national analysts. Many analysts, like CBS Sports’ Josh Pate, don’t think Texas should get into the college football playoff if they lose another game, even though Texas is No. 3 in the current playoff ranking.

You can add ESPN’s Greg McElroy to the mix of pundits that think the Longhorns are in trouble if they lose to A&M at the end of the regular season.

The former Alabama QB doesn’t think Texas’ resume stacks up either. UT’s opponents have all had subpar seasons. “I think based on Texas’ resume, there is a real chance, a real chance, that Texas doesn’t have a Power Five win over a team above .500 in the event in which they lose to Texas A&M next weekend,” McElroy said on his Always College Football Podcast.

On the surface it seems like the Horns are in a good position in the third spot in the rankings. But McElroy doesn’t think that matters. “Texas is currently sitting at No. 3, but if they lose to Texas A&M, we have already seen the committee use precedent, already this year, of dropping eight-plus spots.”

If Texas drops eight or nine spots in the final week of the regular season they could be out of the playoffs all together. “I think Texas needs to win out to guarantee themselves a playoff spot,” McElroy said. “Sounds crazy to many to think a team currently ranked No. 3 is potentially in playoff mode the next two weeks, but that’s where I think the world is.”

How to watch CFP rankings for Texas football fans: Time, live stream, channel

2024’s first CFP rankings will offer an early look at the playoff bracket for Texas Longhorns football. Here’s how to watch.

The first official 12-team college football playoff rankings come out tonight. Texas Longhorns fans will officially see where UT stands with just a few weeks left in the regular season.

Texas’ strong start to the season should play a role in committee’s considerations. The Longhorns were an unbeaten No. 1 with, what was considered, a big win in Ann Arbor over Michigan. But the weaknesses of this Texas team started to show a couple weeks before the Georgia game.

The Horns were able to get by with slow starts against Mississippi State and Oklahoma because Texas is superior to each team. Then the talent level is close, like against Georgia, a slow start can spell doom. The team’s penalty problem has also been costly.

But tonight, Texas sees where they are. The upshot is, Texas will have to keep winning regardless where they are ranked. Win the next four games and they’ll be in. Lose one? Then you start getting into the realm of debates, bubbles, resumes, quality wins, conference membership and the ‘out of your control.’

How to watch College Football Playoff rankings show

TV Channel: ESPN

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College Football Playoff rankings release date:

Date: Tuesday, Nov. 5

What time is CFP rankings release?

Start Time: 7 PM ET

TEAM football CFP rankings projection

If you believe ESPN‘s own projection prognosticators, the Longhorns will be No. 5. The four teams ahead of Texas makes sense. Obviously, Georgia and Oregon will be above Texas. Ohio State just scored a win over a (then) Top 5 opponent in Penn State. Miami’s unblemished record will help the ‘Canes edge ahead. Texas slots in at 5th, then the likes of BYU, Vols, Penn State etc. fill in.

How many teams in College Football Playoff 2024?

For the first time, there will be 12 teams participating in the College Football Playoffs. There are five automatic bids for each of the Power Four conference champions and one to the highest-ranked Group of Five champion. The remaining seven slots are given to the seven at-large teams.

How does the College Football Playoff format work?

The top four seeds will be on a bye as the CFP kicks off. The next four highest-seeded teams will host on-campus playoff games as follows:

  • No. 5 vs No. 12, winner will play No. 4
  • No. 6 vs No. 11, winner will play No. 3
  • No. 7 vs No. 10, winner will play No. 2
  • No. 8 vs No. 9, winner will play No. 1

2024 College Football Playoff rankings release show dates:

  • Tuesday, November 5: The first show airs at 7 PM ET on ESPN
  • Tuesday, November 12: Airs at 9 PM ET on ESPN between games from Champions Classic Basketball Doubleheader * (Estimated start time) *
  • Tuesday, November 19: Airs at 7 PM ET on ESPN
  • Tuesday, November 26: Airs at 8 PM ET on ESPN
  • Tuesday, December 3: Airs at 7 PM ET on ESPN
  • Sunday, December 8: The final show airs at noon ET on ESPN. The final show is also known as Selection Day, when the committee announces the 12-team bracket, game locations, and sites.

Texas now No. 1 seed in USA TODAY Sports college football playoff projections

Thanks to Alabama’s stunning loss to Vanderbilt, the Texas Longhorns are new No. 1 seed in USA TODAY’s college football playoff projections.

The Texas Longhorns have been No. 1 in either the AP Top 25 or the US LBM Coaches Poll since the Michigan game. This is the first week Texas is No. 1 in both.

Now, in its weekly college football playoff projections, USA TODAY Sports has Texas as the No. 1 seed. The Horns replace the Alabama Crimson Tide, who were upset by Vanderbilt on Saturday. Bama is still in the playoff bracket according to the projections.

The Georgia Bulldogs are the only other SEC team in the playoff bracket forecast. After losing at Arkansas, the Tennessee Volunteers have dropped out. Notre Dame also jumps back into the projected bracket, recovering from an Week 2 loss to NIU.

There is still a lot of football left in the season. Texas heads to Dallas this weekend for its annual matchup with Oklahoma. Georgia visits Austin the next week.

What’s obvious through one week of October is that the SEC is going to cannibalize playoff contenders and leave multiple teams in the two-loss range by the end of the regular season. Even with conference play barely underway, there are only three SEC teams still unbeaten in league play – Texas, Texas A&M and LSU – and the Longhorns are the only one of the three without a non-conference loss.

In the end, Alabama is projected to rebound from this past weekend and finish the regular season with the record and resume to reach the playoff. — Paul Myerberg, USA TODAY Sports

 

CBS College Football Playoff Projections tabs Texas Longhorns to be 5th seed

With the college football playoff expanding to 12 teams, it seems almost a lock that the Texas Longhorns will be included. But where?

With the college football playoff expanding to 12 teams, it seems almost a lock that the Texas Longhorns will be included. But where?

In a (very) early college playoff projections, CBS Sports has listed Texas as the fifth seed in the expanded playoffs. According to CBS writer Jerry Palm, Texas would host a first round game against Boise State. 

Palm explains, “Because the byes will be handed to conference champions, it’s possible the teams that earn byes will not actually be the four highest-rated teams in the final CFP Rankings. In our CBS Sports preseason projection, only two of the top four teams, No. 1 Georgia and No. 2 Ohio State, receive byes to the quarterfinals.”

Texas will have to win the SEC to be a top four seed and receive a first round bye. “That means No. 3 Texas and No. 4 Oregon would host first-round games as the respective fifth and sixth seeds,” Palm says.

CBS has four SEC teams in the top six of the final College Football Playoff rankings. Thus, the conference would have the top seed, plus seeds five, seven and eight. 

Projected 2024 College Football Playoff Seeds: 

1. Georgia Bulldogs (Bye)

2. Ohio State Buckeyes (Bye)

3. Utah Utes (Bye)

4. Florida State Seminoles (Bye)

5. Texas Longhorns vs. 12. Boise State (Winner faces 4. Florida State)

6. Oregon Ducks vs. 11. Kansas State Wildcats (Winner faces 3. Utah)

7. Alabama Crimson Tide vs. 10. Miami (FL) Hurricanes (Winner faces 2. Ohio State)

8. Texas A&M Aggies vs. 9. Penn State Nittany Lions (Winner faces 1. Georgia)

Contact/Follow us @LonghornsWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Texas news, notes and opinion. You can also follow Trey Luerssen on Twitter @TreyLuerssen.

Where Texas is projected for the 2024 College Football Playoffs

Texas Longhorns are projected to make the College Football Playoffs again.

Almost every major national publication has Texas going back to the Colleg Football Playoffs this year.

Before we discuss where the Texas Longhorns are projected for the 2024 College Football Playoff, there were significant changes from previous years with the expansion to a 12-team format, and here is a look at what it will look like.

How it Works:

  • Selection of the 12 teams:

    • The top five ranked conference champions are selected. More than likely being the champions of the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, Big 12, and Mountain West will earn a top-five seed.
    • The next seven highest-ranked teams (regardless of conference) are also selected. For example, Notre Dame and other highly ranked teams from the Power Four conferences will likely be selected.
  • Seeding for this season’s playoffs:

    • The top four conference champions are seeded 1-4 and receive a first-round bye. The conference winners of the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, and Big 12 will be rewarded a first-round bye in the first year of the new 12-team college football playoffs.
    • The fifth conference champion is seeded based on their overall ranking. Likely, the conference champions from the Mountain West or American Athletic Conference will be selected for the playoffs.
    • The remaining seven teams are seeded 5-12 based on their overall ranking. Even if Texas does not win the SEC this season, they can still have a home playoff game for the first round if ranked five through eight.
  • Bracket format for the playoffs:

    • Teams seeded 5 through 8 will host first-round games against teams seeded 9-12 in the playoffs. For example, if Texas were to receive the 7th seed they would host the 10th seed in the first round.
    • Winners of the first-round games advance to play the top four seeds in the quarterfinals of the playoffs.
  • College Football 2024 Semifinals and Championship Game:

    • The four remaining teams compete in the semifinals and championship game similar to last season’s format when it was a four-team playoff.

Key Changes from last season to this season:

  • Expanded Field: The most obvious change is the increase from four to twelve teams, which allows more teams to participate in this season’s playoffs. Even though Texas was in last season’s playoffs, the Longhorns could lose up to two games and still make this year’s playoffs.
  • First-Round Games: The introduction of first-round games adds an extra layer of excitement and competition and will make watching college football in mid to late December a must-watch for college football fans.
  • Bye Weeks for the top-seeded teams: The top four seeds now have a bye in the first round which is an award for the conference champions of the power four conferences.

Now let’s take a look at where Texas is projected to be in this upcoming college football playoffs in various college football preseason predictions.

Athlon Sports has Texas earning the 6th spot in the 2024 College Football Playoffs. They are projecting that the Longhorns will host No. 11 Notre Dame. Then they have Texas after defeating the Fighting Irish, play No. 3 seeded Florida State in the quarterfinals on Jan. 1 in the Peach Bowl. Finally, they have Texas advancing to the semifinals to face off against No. 2 Ohio State on Jan. 10 in the Cotton Bowl. Unfortunately for Texas fans, they are not forecasting the Longhorns defeating the Buckeyes and advancing to the title game.

College Football News has the Longhorns hosting Penn State in the first round of the playoffs on Dec. 21 with the game being on TNT. They then have Texas playing Ohio State in the quarterfinals on Jan. 1 in the Rose Bowl. However, unlike Athlon Sports projections, they do not have the Longhorns advancing to the semifinals.

Sporting News has Texas ranked higher than the two other previous publications that have been mentioned already as they have the Longhorns as the No. 5 seed hosting No. 12 seed Memphis. They have Texas advancing to the quarterfinals to face off against No. 4 seed Florida State in the Allstate Sugar Bowl. Then they have the Longhorns going to the semifinals after defeating the Seminoles to play No. 1 seed Georgia on Jan. 9 in the Capital One Orange Bowl. However, as high as Sporting News is on the Longhorns, they have them losing to the Bulldogs in the semifinals.

The New York Times via the Athletic has similar to Sporting News has Texas as the No. 5 seed hosting Memphis in the first round of the playoffs. They don’t give a full project of the playoffs as other publications have but they are quoted as saying,

“The Longhorns came within one play of making the title game last year. Don’t be surprised if they get there this season.”

247 Sports has Texas as the No. 5 seed hosting Liberty in the first round of the playoffs. In the quarterfinals, they have the Longhorns going up against the No. 4 seed Kansas State in the Fiesta Bowl. They have Texas advancing to the semifinals to play No. 2 seed Georgia in the Cotton Bowl. 247 Sports though does not have the Longhorns advancing to the title game.

Overall, all publications listed have Texas making the college football playoffs. Most have them making it to the semifinals but none of them have them advancing to the championship game. However, the games being played on the actual field this Fall and early Winter will determine how far the Longhorns advance in post season play.