2023 Valspar Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Valspar Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

Following Scottie Scheffler’s win at The Players Championship on Sunday, the PGA Tour will wrap up the Florida Swing this week at the 2023 Valspar Championship. Innisbrook’s Copperhead Course will once again host this event, which has been won by Sam Burns in each of the last 2 years.

Below, we look at the 2023 Valspar Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Justin Thomas (+1000) and Jordan Spieth (+1200) headline the field this week at the Valspar Championship, along with reigning U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick and former U.S. Open champ Justin Rose. Burns (+1500) will try to go for the 3-peat at Innisbrook, but it’s a talented group chasing a PGA Tour title in Florida.

The Copperhead Course is 7,340 yards and plays as a par 71. The 3 finishing holes at Innisbrook are some of the best and toughest on tour, being dubbed the “Snake Pit.” The 16th hole is a 463-yard par 4 that bends to the right, followed by a par 3 that can play as long as 225 yards. The closing 18th is a 419-yard par 4 with bunkers along the fairway and protecting the green.

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Valspar Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:03 p.m. ET.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)

Fleetwood was right there at The Players Championship before making 2 doubles in the final 9 holes and shooting 4-over par to finish tied for 27th. He began the day in the top 5 but faltered badly down the stretch.

That’s not the way he wants to head into this week’s event, but his odds likely lengthened a bit at the Valspar after that Sunday collapse. He tied for 16th in his Valspar debut last year.

Justin Suh (+3000)

Suh is really finding a groove right now, finishing in the top 40 in each of his last 4 starts with 2 top 10s and another top 25. This will be his 1st start at the Valspar Championship, but his recent form is more important than any lack of course history.

This is another course that emphasizes accuracy over length like TPC Sawgrass so Suh could find success at Innisbrook this week like he did last week at The Players (T-6).

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Valspar Championship picks – Contenders

Joel Dahmen (+6000)

There’s no way around it: Dahmen has struggled recently. He’s missed the cut twice in his last 3 starts and hasn’t finished better than T-41 this calendar year. Now might be a good time to buy low on him, though. His odds are lengthening and he’s playing an event where in 2 starts, he’s finished T-39 and T-30.

Nick Taylor (+7000)

Taylor tied for 24th here in 2019 and although he’s missed the cut in his last 2 starts this season, he was playing well prior to that bump in the road; he came in 2nd at the WM Phoenix Open and had top-35 finishes at the Genesis Invitational and Pebble Beach.

Valspar Championship picks – Long shot

Akshay Bhatia (+7000)

In his last start at the Puerto Rico Open, which was admittedly a weaker field with most stars at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Bhatia finished solo 2nd. He’s made the cut in all 4 of his PGA Tour starts and is trending upward.

This isn’t a loaded field at Innisbrook, but it does have some bigger names. Bhatia has the talent to beat any of them, though.

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