The NASCAR Cup Series is at Talladega Superspeedway Sunday for the 2022 Yellawood 500. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 2 p.m. ET (NBC) with Christopher Bell on the poll. Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the 2022 Yellawood 500 odds, with NASCAR picks and predictions.
2022 Yellawood 500: What you need to know
- Ross Chastain picked up the victory at the GEICO 500 in the spring stop at Talladega, his first top-5 or top-10 finish in 5 career Cup starts at the track
- Ryan Blaney leads all active drivers with an 11.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with a minimum 3 Cup starts at Talladega since 2019, posting 2 wins with 146 laps led
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 104 laps led with a 15.0 AFP in 18 career Cup starts at ‘Dega
- William Byron failed pre-qualifying inspection twice Friday, and his car chief Tyler Jones was ejected for the remainder of the weekend, while also losing pit-stall selection
- Kaulig Racing’s Justin Haley and Daniel Hemric, a pair of non-playoff entrants, also failed pre-qualifying inspection and lose their car chiefs
- Brad Keselowski leads all drivers with 6 career Talladega Cup wins while posting a 15.4 AFP in 27 career Cup starts
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2022 Yellawood 500 – Expert picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 a.m. ET.
CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) is a value play at this price. He is 3rd among all drivers with at least 2 Cup starts at Talladega, posting a win and 4 top-5 finishes with 173 laps led in 13 runs at the track while posting a 15.2 AFP. He’ll start Sunday from the 16th position.
JOEY LOGANO (+1200) is always a strong play on superspeedways, too. He has 3 career wins at ‘Dega, 2nd only to former teammate Keselowski as far as active drivers are concerned.
Logano, who starts Sunday in the 11th position, also has 9 top-5 finishes with 417 laps led, so he knows how to bide his time, pick and choose his spots to move, etc. However, he does have 9 DNFs, too, so he has had a penchant of being mixed up in ‘The Big One’ when it does happen.
2022 Yellawood 500 – Long shots
RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+4000) is always a strong long-shot play at Talladega, or any superspeedway. The Olive Branch, Miss., native just brings it on the tracks he can go super fast. He has a win at Talladega, 6 top-5 finishes and a 15.0 AFP while leading 104 laps. He starts 25th Sunday.
TY DILLON (+10000) is worth playing lightly. Heck, we’ve had a record number of race winners this season, so what’s 1 more? The ‘other’ Dillon, who starts Sunday in 30th position, has a top-5, 2 top-10 finishes and 10 laps led with a 14.3 AFP in his 9 career Cup starts at Talladega.
2022 Yellawood 500 prop picks
RICKY STENHOUSE JR. TOP-10 FINISH (-110)
Stenhouse Jr. is a strong value at this price point, which is basically even-money. Again, he has a win at this track and he has finished half of his 18 career Cup starts at 10th or better, so he has a habit of being near the top of the leaderboard when the dust settles at this Alabama superspeedway.
TY DILLON TOP-10 FINISH (+275)
Dillon is tremendous on the superspeedways, particularly Talladega. Most weekends he doesn’t have a prayer to finish in the top 10, but the field is leveled somewhat between the power teams and lower teams. Dillon has a chance to help you nearly triple up if he can grab his 3rd top-10 finish in 10 career Cup starts at ‘Dega. It’s worth a roll of the dice.
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