2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The PGA Tour is in Bermuda this week for the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, the 6th event on the 2022-23 schedule. Port Royal Golf Course will once again host the Bermuda Championship, which has a weaker field than last week’s CJ Cup.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Denny McCarthy is the betting favorite (+1500) this week, with Thomas Detry (+2000) and Adrian Meronk (+2000) also among the top contenders. Last year’s champion Lucas Herbert is not in the field.

Port Royal is a par 71 and is just 6,828 yards long, so it’s not a track that requires much length. Instead, players will be required to navigate high winds and hit accurate approaches into these greens.

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Bermuda Butterfield Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:06  p.m. ET.

Russell Knox (+650)

Knox has 3 top-20 finishes in 3 starts in this event, but he’s never cracked the top 10. This is the year I think he does that and also finishes in the top 5. He’s very comfortable playing in windy conditions, which is critical in this tournament.

Justin Lower (+600)

Lower started his year with a T-4 at the Fortinet Championship and was T-20 in the Shriners Children’s Open, so he’s playing well right now and comes to a tournament where he tied for 17th a year ago.

Patrick Rodgers (+650)

Rodgers finished alone in 4th place last year and has made the cut in 3 starts already this season, including a T-16 at the ZOZO Championship.

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Bermuda Butterfield Championship – Top-10 picks

Brice Garnett (+700)

Garnett has teed it up here once before, tying for 21st in 2020. He’s made the cut in each of his first 2 starts this season and ranks 11th on tour in strokes gained: putting.

Peter Malnati (+600)

Malnati has 2 top-25 finishes in this event, including a T-7 last year. He has 2 top-25s so far this season, too, and he’s someone I like to contend on Sunday.

Bermuda Butterfield Championship – Top-20 picks

Hank Lebioda (+380)

In 3 starts in Bermuda, Lebioda has 2 a T-16 and T-3. He missed the cut in his only start so far this season, but should get back on track at a course he’s had success on before.

Aaron Rai (+140)

Rai’s best finish this season was a T-20 at Shriners. He’s only played the Bermuda Championship once before and he tied for 62nd in that start, but this is a course that should suit his game; he ranks 34th in strokes gained: approach.

Bermuda Butterfield Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

  • Nick Hardy (+105) vs. Mark Hubbard (-125)
  • Russell Knox (+100) vs. Alex Smalley (-120)
  • Justin Lower (-125) vs. Robby Shelton (+105)

Hardy is surprisingly the underdog in this matchup, but I’ll gladly take him to beat Hubbard despite his lack of experience and success on this course.

Knox is a player I really like this week so getting him at even money is a bargain against Smalley.

Lower is a bigger favorite in terms of head-to-head matchups, but he’s worth it against Shelton, who missed the cut in his only start in this tournament 3 years ago.

Bermuda Butterfield Championship – Top European

Russell Knox (+750)

Knox will be competing with Detry (+480), Seamus Power (+600), Meronk (+600) and Rai (+650) as the top Europeans in the field. Knox’s past success on this course makes him a good pick in my mind, especially at +750.

Bermuda Butterfield Championship – 1st-round leader

Thomas Detry (+4000)

Detry is tied for the 2nd-best 1st-round scoring average on tour early in the season. Pair that with his previous T-22 finish here and he’s worth a small wager to lead after Round 1 this week.

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