College Football Win Totals 2022: Who Overperformed, Underperformed, How Did We Do?

College Football 2022 Win Totals: Looking back to see who did well, who underachieved, and how we did with all of our picks.

What college football teams overperformed, underperformed, or did what they were supposed to? Here’s where everyone came in with their win regular season win totals – and how our picks did. 


[mm-video type=playlist id=01f1343a1wt7q817p7 player_id=none image=https://collegefootballnews.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

College Football Win Totals 2022: How did everyone do?

Contact @ColFootballNews

How did every college football team do this regular season compared to expectations? How did each one do compared to our expectations?

Every year we preview every team and come up with the projected final regular season record. The realistic goal is to be + or – 1 either way as much as possible.

+ or -2, and that’s a miss, and + or -3 is painful. Anything more than that is a total whiff on our part, and/or a shocker to the general win total.

Who overperformed, who underperformed, and who came in about where we thought they would? Again, this is just for the regular season – no conference championships or bowls.

2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do? 
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform 

The number after each team is the difference – positive or negative – in how much each team overperformed or underperformed compared to the consensus win totals.

TCU +5.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Duke +5

Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

South Alabama +4.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Tulane +4

Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Ohio +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

Troy +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

UConn +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

Kansas +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3

New Mexico State +3

Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

Kansas State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Oregon State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Florida State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7

Illinois +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

Michigan +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 9.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10

Tennessee +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8

Vanderbilt +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3

Washington +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8

2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do? 
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform

NEXT: College Football Win Totals +1 to +2 Overperform

College Football Win Totals 2021: Who Overperformed, Underperformed, How Did We Do?

College Football 2021 Win Totals: Looking back to see who did well, who underachieved, and how we did with all of our picks.

Before the 2021 season started, we did all the previews and made all the predictions. How did the teams do compared to their projected win totals? How were our picks?


[mm-video type=playlist id=01f1343a1wt7q817p7 player_id=none image=https://collegefootballnews.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Contact @ColFootballNews

2021 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
CFN Preseason Projections. Who Finished …
+3 to +5 | +2+1, 0, -1 | -2 | -3 to -6
2021 Preseason Betting Lines. Who Finished …
Over +5.5 to +2.5 | +2 to +1.5+ 1 to +0.5 | Even
Under -0.5 to -1 | -1.5 to -2 | -2.5 to -6

It’s our drill we do every offseason.

We do all the previews, all of the research, and then we try to get the picks and the projected win totals as close to the pin as possible.

Sometimes we’re dead-on right, sometime we miss by 20 miles, but as long as there’s some logic and reason behind everything, it all tends to work out fine.

How did every college football team do compared to their 2021 projected win totals? Here were our win total predictions, along with the general consensus win total betting lines for each team and the regular season wins.

The goal is always to be +/-1 one way or another with our predictions, but more importantly to the investment world, did we get the over/under totals right?

To cut to the chase, last year we were on the right side of the consensus betting world preseason win total for 57 teams, were on the wrong side for 46 of them, were even/push on 26, and Rutgers didn’t have an official win total.

And the betting lines? The Over came through for 61 teams, the under for 59,  and 9 pushed.

Who overperformed, who underperformed, and who came in about where we thought they did. Again, this is just the regular season – no conference championships or bowls.

College Football Win Totals 2021: How did everyone do?

The number after each team is the difference – positive or negative – in how much each team overperformed or underperformed compared to the CFN 2021 preseason projections.

Win Totals: We Missed BIG. “No one respects us.”

Michigan State 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Regular Season Wins: 10

Utah State 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 9

UTSA 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 11

Baylor 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 10

Northern Illinois 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 8

Old Dominion 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
Regular Season Wins: 6

UTEP 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Regular Season Wins: 7

Wake Forest 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 10

Arkansas 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Regular Season Wins: 8

BYU 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Regular Season Wins: 10

Fresno State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 9

Houston 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

Louisiana 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

North Texas 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Regular Season Wins: 6

Oklahoma State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

Oregon State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 7

Pitt 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Regular Season Wins: 10

San Diego State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

ULM 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 1
Regular Season Wins: 4

2021 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
CFN Preseason Projections. Who Finished …
+3 to +5 | +2+1, 0, -1 | -2 | -3 to -6
2021 Preseason Betting Lines. Who Finished …
Over +5.5 to +2.5 | +2 to +1.5+ 1 to +0.5 | Even
Under -0.5 to -1 | -1.5 to -2 | -2.5 to -6

NEXT: Win Totals: We Missed A Bit. Good For These Teams