College Football Win Totals 2022: Who Overperformed, Underperformed, How Did We Do?

College Football 2022 Win Totals: Looking back to see who did well, who underachieved, and how we did with all of our picks.

What college football teams overperformed, underperformed, or did what they were supposed to? Here’s where everyone came in with their win regular season win totals – and how our picks did. 


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College Football Win Totals 2022: How did everyone do?

Contact @ColFootballNews

How did every college football team do this regular season compared to expectations? How did each one do compared to our expectations?

Every year we preview every team and come up with the projected final regular season record. The realistic goal is to be + or – 1 either way as much as possible.

+ or -2, and that’s a miss, and + or -3 is painful. Anything more than that is a total whiff on our part, and/or a shocker to the general win total.

Who overperformed, who underperformed, and who came in about where we thought they would? Again, this is just for the regular season – no conference championships or bowls.

2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do? 
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform 

The number after each team is the difference – positive or negative – in how much each team overperformed or underperformed compared to the consensus win totals.

TCU +5.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Duke +5

Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

South Alabama +4.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Tulane +4

Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Ohio +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

Troy +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

UConn +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

Kansas +3.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3

New Mexico State +3

Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2

Kansas State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Oregon State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6

Florida State +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7

Illinois +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5

Michigan +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 9.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10

Tennessee +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8

Vanderbilt +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3

Washington +2.5

Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8

2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do? 
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform

NEXT: College Football Win Totals +1 to +2 Overperform

10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Season Win Totals

Which college football win totals appear to be the best bets and strongest plays going into the 2022 season?

What win totals appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the 2022 college football season?


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Ahhhhh, the win totals. They’re the most fun of all the possible investments, giving you a season-long team or five to follow and care about.

There are a whole slew of factors going into figuring out the win totals. Obviously, the schedule is almost everything, but where are the 50/50 games that could and should go one way or another? How’s the backup quarterback situation in case disaster strikes? What are the smartest calls historically?

Check out our team-by team predictions for every game to go along with our 10 Best Win Total Predictions of 2022 – remembering that this is for the regular season only. Bowl games and conference championships aren’t a part of these.

CFN Predictions of Every Game
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
AAC | C-USA | Ind | MAC | M-West | Sun Belt
CFN Preview 2021: All 131 Teams
2022 Bowl Projections | Preseason Rankings 1-131

Click on each team for the season preview

10. Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Ohio State

Win Total 10.5 or 11 or 11.5
ATS PICK It depends

The “it depends” call isn’t a cop-out. It really does depend on where you’re finding the win total for the four powerhouses coming into 2022, because if you’re getting Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, and/or Ohio State at 10.5 on Draft Kings, over is a solid call. If you’re getting those four – or any of them – at 11 elsewhere, you go under.

And if you get any of the four at 11.5, for the love of all things holy and true … UNDER, UNDER, UNDER. If a team goes 12-0 and you lose the under on 11.5, you tip your cap and move on.

It’s asking for way too much for any team to go unbeaten, so if you’re getting 11, going under will most likely come through, or at worst you should get a push. 10.5, though …

Clemson won nine regular season games last year without an offense. The D should be national title-good, the O will absolutely be better, and outside of the trip to Notre Dame, don’t expect to get this team as an underdog anywhere else.

Ohio State’s schedule isn’t a layup, but the talent level is so much stronger than everyone else in the Big Ten. Alabama losing two regular season games is always on outlier under Nick Saban, and don’t get into a twist over all of the lost talent at Georgia. The Dawgs aren’t going unbeaten, but it’ll take something big for them to lose twice.

And finally … the quarterbacks.

Forgive factoring in injuries – and how gross it is to potentially profit off the speculation of a guy getting hurt – but the backup quarterback situations aren’t as strong as they used to be at at Alabama and Ohio State in a transfer portal era. If Bryce Young or CJ Stroud go down for any stretch of time, it’s going to be a problem for the Tide or Buckeyes, respectively, to get to 11.

And then there’s the other side …

9. UConn, ULM, UMass

Win Total 2.5
ATS PICK Under on UMass and UConn, over on ULM

UConn might be better coached with Jim Mora Jr. taking over, and UMass will find a D under new head man Don Brown, but it’s going to be a major struggle for either to get to three wins.

UConn can beat Central Connecticut State, but the winnable FIU game is on the road. It’s going to be a double-digit underdog against everyone else, except at home against …

UMass should be able to beat Stony Brook, but that’s not a given. It can beat New Mexico State at home, but overall the Minuteman talent level needs to be night-and-day better to be anything less than a massive dog against everyone else.

Be a little more leery of ULM at 2.5. It should beat Nicholls State, and it can beat Texas State, but it’s going to take a big upset to get to three wins. There’s going to be one somewhere, but you’ll have to sweat it out.

So … the call is still under on both UMass and UConn, and like the over on ULM.

On to the 2.5 Power Five teams …

8. Arizona, Kansas, Vanderbilt

Win Total 2.5
ATS PICK Over

Just like it’s really, really hard for a superpower to go over on 11, it’s really, really hard for one of the also-ran Power Five programs to go under on 3.

I BEGGED my friends last year to go crazy on Kansas over on 1.5. It barely got by South Dakota, couldn’t get another win into mid-November, and then came the Texas Miracle – a 57-56 overtime victory.

Is Kansas going to be favored this year against any Big 12 team? No. Is it going to pull off an upset somewhere? Almost certainly. It’ll probably beat Tennessee Tech, and the home game against Duke is more 50/50 than you might think.

Is Vanderbilt going to win an SEC game? It didn’t last year, and it didn’t in 2020. However, it’ll beat Elon, it should at least split the road games against Hawaii and Northern Illinois – but it could win both and you’re cashing out in mid-September. You’re an SEC team, Vanderbilt – act like it.

Arizona is the one to really like at 2.5. It was in a total rebuild last year, but it played better than the 1-11 record would suggest – it couldn’t close. Yes, the lone win came over a Cal team decimated by COVID, but there’s talent help from the transfer portal, the overall play should be better, and …

Okay, there’s not a sure-thing win considering the opener is at San Diego State, Mississippi State is coming to Tucson, and you’re crazy to assume a win over North Dakota State. Go over anyway.

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7. North Carolina State

Win Total 8.5
ATS PICK Over

There’s a solid chance NC State is the second-best team in the ACC this season behind Clemson.

If everyone is healthy, the linebacking corps might be the best in the country, Devin Leary is a terrific veteran quarterback, and the schedule isn’t all that bad.

Factor in a loss at Clemson, and there will be at least one other defeat in the ACC, but the non-conference slate isn’t all that bad – even if you’re right to be scared of the opener at East Carolina and home date against Texas Tech.

Last year’s team got to nine wins, and this version is more talented and should be even better.

6. Louisiana Tech

Win Total 4.5
ATS PICK Over

The 2021 rebuilding year was blip for a program that hadn’t suffered a losing season since 2013. It went 3-9 last year – that’s about to change.

In comes new head coach Sonny Cumbie – who could’ve easily have been the head man at Texas Tech – and here comes the upgrade in offensive firepower.

The other key aspect is the loss of Marshall, Old Dominion, and Southern Miss from Conference USA to the Sun Belt. All of a sudden, the conference slate looks a whole lot easier, and the team is a whole lot better.

Think of it like this, there are three likely losses – at Missouri, at Clemson, at UTSA – and nine 50/50 games. The Bulldogs will win at least five of them.

Stephen F. Austin should be a win, but that’s not a total given. UTEP, Rice, at FIU, Middle Tennessee, at Charlotte, at North Texas, at Charlotte, UAB – any or all of those could be wins.

NEXT: No. 5 2022 Win Total Prediction

College Football Win Totals Released: Spring Version. Where Are The Values?

College football win totals released. Where are the possible values months before fall camp starts?

The early college football regular season win totals were released. Where are the potential values before the summer and a few months before fall camp?


 Pete Fiutak @PeteFiutak

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And here we go.

BetOnline.ag released its early regular season win totals for 64 Power Five teams. We released our Spring Version of the CFN regular season win total calls several weeks ago – and we’ll do it again just before the season.

Where are the potential values? Where are the lines compared to our first thoughts on the teams and the schedules? Remember, bowls and conference championships aren’t a part of this – regular season games only. 

2022 College Football Schedules: All 131 Teams

College Football Win Total Projections For All 131 Teams: Spring Version

College football win totals – the projection of what they should be after spring football and before what should be a wild summer.

What are the college football win total projections – the spring version – for all 131 teams? Where should the lines be set?


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CFN College Football Win Total Projections: Spring 2022

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews

Where should the college football win totals be set?

It’s just after spring football and before what should be a wild summer – this can all change fast. And why? The transfer portal, injuries, and all the other quirky things that happen during a college football offseason.

How are all the quarterback situations finally going to shake out? How do all the schedules look? This isn’t necessarily about how good all the teams are – some have easier slates than others.

These college football win totals are just for the regular season. They’re also based on where the lines should probably be set – it’s why there are several win totals with a .5. They don’t include any potential conference championships or bowl projections.

2022 College Football Win Total Projections: Spring Version
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA | Independents
MAC | Mountain West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt | All 131 Teams


ACC College Football Win Total Projections: Spring 2022

ACC Atlantic

Boston College Eagles

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection: 7
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 7
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 6
2022 Schedule

Clemson Tigers

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection: 10.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 11
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 11.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 9
2022 Schedule

Florida State Seminoles

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 6.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 5.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 5
2022 Schedule

Louisville Cardinals

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection: 6.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 6
2022 Schedule

NC State Wolfpack

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection: 9.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 7.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 9
2022 Schedule

Syracuse Orange

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 5.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 3
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 5
2022 Schedule

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 7.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 7
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 10
2022 Schedule

ACC Coastal

Duke Blue Devils

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 3.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 3.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 3
2022 Schedule

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 4.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 4
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 3
2022 Schedule

Miami Hurricanes

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 7.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 9.5
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 7
2022 Schedule

North Carolina Tar Heels

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 7.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 9.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 10
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 6
2022 Schedule

Pitt Panthers

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 8
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 7
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 10
2022 Schedule

Virginia Cavaliers

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 7
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: NA
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 6
2022 Schedule

Virginia Tech Hokies

CFN 2022 Win Total Projection, Spring: 7.5
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: NA
2021 Final Regular Season Win Total: 6
2022 Schedule

2022 College Football Win Total Projections: Spring Version
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA | Independents
MAC | Mountain West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt | All 131 Teams

NEXT: American Athletic Conference 2022 Win Total Projections

College Football Win Totals 2021: Who Overperformed, Underperformed, How Did We Do?

College Football 2021 Win Totals: Looking back to see who did well, who underachieved, and how we did with all of our picks.

Before the 2021 season started, we did all the previews and made all the predictions. How did the teams do compared to their projected win totals? How were our picks?


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Contact @ColFootballNews

2021 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
CFN Preseason Projections. Who Finished …
+3 to +5 | +2+1, 0, -1 | -2 | -3 to -6
2021 Preseason Betting Lines. Who Finished …
Over +5.5 to +2.5 | +2 to +1.5+ 1 to +0.5 | Even
Under -0.5 to -1 | -1.5 to -2 | -2.5 to -6

It’s our drill we do every offseason.

We do all the previews, all of the research, and then we try to get the picks and the projected win totals as close to the pin as possible.

Sometimes we’re dead-on right, sometime we miss by 20 miles, but as long as there’s some logic and reason behind everything, it all tends to work out fine.

How did every college football team do compared to their 2021 projected win totals? Here were our win total predictions, along with the general consensus win total betting lines for each team and the regular season wins.

The goal is always to be +/-1 one way or another with our predictions, but more importantly to the investment world, did we get the over/under totals right?

To cut to the chase, last year we were on the right side of the consensus betting world preseason win total for 57 teams, were on the wrong side for 46 of them, were even/push on 26, and Rutgers didn’t have an official win total.

And the betting lines? The Over came through for 61 teams, the under for 59,  and 9 pushed.

Who overperformed, who underperformed, and who came in about where we thought they did. Again, this is just the regular season – no conference championships or bowls.

College Football Win Totals 2021: How did everyone do?

The number after each team is the difference – positive or negative – in how much each team overperformed or underperformed compared to the CFN 2021 preseason projections.

Win Totals: We Missed BIG. “No one respects us.”

Michigan State 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Regular Season Wins: 10

Utah State 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 9

UTSA 5

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 11

Baylor 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 10

Northern Illinois 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 8

Old Dominion 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
Regular Season Wins: 6

UTEP 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Regular Season Wins: 7

Wake Forest 4

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 10

Arkansas 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Regular Season Wins: 8

BYU 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Regular Season Wins: 10

Fresno State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Regular Season Wins: 9

Houston 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

Louisiana 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

North Texas 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Regular Season Wins: 6

Oklahoma State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

Oregon State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Regular Season Wins: 7

Pitt 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Regular Season Wins: 10

San Diego State 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Regular Season Wins: 11

ULM 3

CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 1
Regular Season Wins: 4

2021 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
CFN Preseason Projections. Who Finished …
+3 to +5 | +2+1, 0, -1 | -2 | -3 to -6
2021 Preseason Betting Lines. Who Finished …
Over +5.5 to +2.5 | +2 to +1.5+ 1 to +0.5 | Even
Under -0.5 to -1 | -1.5 to -2 | -2.5 to -6

NEXT: Win Totals: We Missed A Bit. Good For These Teams

College Football News Preseason Win Total Projections For All 130 Teams: Preview 2021

What are the College Football News preseason win total projections for all 130 teams? Where are the potential values?

What are the College Football News preseason win total projections for all 130 teams? Where are the potential values?


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What’s going to happen for all 130 teams this 2021 college football season? The goal here is to get it close to the pin with the win total projections for every team, hoping to be +/-1 after it’s all over.

This isn’t necessarily about how good the teams are – it’s about the schedules, the timing of the games, and how many sure wins, almost certain losses, and 50/50 battles there appear to be.

First, we list all of our win total projections based on the 130 posted team previews, and then come the totals from BetMGM to see where there might be any potential discrepancies one way or the other. You’ll get the idea.

Remember, this is for the regular season only. No College Football Playoff, bowl, or conference championship games are a part of this.

2021 Win Total Projections 
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12
C-USA | IND | MAC | MW
Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
All 130 Team Win Total Projections


ACC 2021 Win Total Projections

ACC Atlantic

Boston College Eagles
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 7
Preview | Schedule

Clemson Tigers
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 11
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 11.5
Preview | Schedule

Florida State Seminoles
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 5.5
Preview | Schedule

Louisville Cardinals
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
Preview | Schedule

NC State Wolfpack
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 7.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
Preview | Schedule

Syracuse Orange
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 5.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 3
Preview | Schedule

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 7
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 6.5
Preview | Schedule

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ACC Coastal

Duke Blue Devils
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 3.5
Preview | Schedule

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 4
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 5
Preview | Schedule

Miami Hurricanes
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 9.5
Preview | Schedule

North Carolina Tar Heels
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 9.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 10
Preview | Schedule

Pitt Panthers
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: 7
Preview | Schedule

Virginia Cavaliers
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 6.5
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: NA
Preview | Schedule

Virginia Tech Hokies
CFN 2021 Win Total Projection: 8
BetMGM 2021 Win Total Line: NA
Preview | Schedule

2021 Win Total Projections 
AAC | Big Ten | Big 12
C-USA | IND | MAC | MW
Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
All 130 Team Win Total Projections

NEXT: American Athletic Conference 2021 Win Total Projections

2021 College Football Predictions For All 130 Teams: Spring

College football schedules and spring predictions for all 130 teams with the realistic best and worst case records and quick analysis.

College football schedules and spring predictions for all 130 teams with the realistic best and worst case records and quick analysis.


Contact @ColFootballNews

2021 Early College Football Predictions, Schedules
American Athletic | Big Ten
Big 12 | C-USA | Independents
MAC | Mountain West | Pac-12
SEC | Sun Belt

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ACC Atlantic

– ACC Weekly Schedule, Top Games To Watch
ACC 2021 Pre-Spring Rankings & Breakdown

Boston College Eagles

There’s a lot to like in Year Two under Jeff Hafley, the pass-heavy team should be stronger, and there’s a nice three game tune-up to get ready for the start of the real season that should under with one big thud. The Eagles will win one they shouldn’t lose one they shouldn’t, and go bowling with at least six wins.

2018: 7-5 2019: 6-7 2020: 6-5
Realistic Best Case Record: 8-4
Realistic Worst Case Record: 4-8
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 6-6

Sept. 4 Colgate
Sept. 11 at UMass
Sept. 18 at Temple
Sept. 25 Missouri
Oct. 2 at Clemson
Oct. 9 OPEN DATE
Oct. 16 NC State
Oct. 23 at Louisville
Oct. 30 at Syracuse
Nov. 5 Virginia Tech
Nov. 13 at Georgia Tech
Nov. 20 Florida State
Nov. 27 Wake Forest
Full Schedule Analysis

Clemson Tigers

It’s all up to the opener against Georgia. That’s the one realistic shot at a loss with a relatively easy-looking ACC slate with no North Carolina or Miami. With a polite nod to Alabama, this should be the best team in college football with nothing more than the annual way-too-close-call brain cramp – maybe at Louisville or Pitt – to worry about.

2018: 15-0 2019: 14-1 2020: 10-2
Realistic Best Case Record: 12-0
Realistic Worst Case Record: 9-3
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 12-0

Sept. 4 Georgia (in Charlotte)
Sept. 11 South Carolina State
Sept. 18 Georgia Tech
Sept. 25 at NC State
Oct. 2 Boston College
Oct. 9 OPEN DATE
Oct. 15 at Syracuse
Oct. 23 at Pitt
Oct. 30 Florida State
Nov. 6 at Louisville
Nov. 13 UConn
Nov. 20 Wake Forest
Nov. 27 at South Carolina
Full Schedule Analysis

Florida State Seminoles

It’s Florida State – at some point it has to be good again. It’s not like the ACC is anything killer this year – the Noles will drop the road games to the strong Clemson and North Carolina teams – and there won’t be a win over Florida or Notre Dame. Start with those four losses and hope to push for six wins with few home blips and a win in one of the 50/50 road dates against Wake Forest or Boston College.

2018: 5-7 2019: 6-7 2020: 3-6
Realistic Best Case Record: 7-5
Realistic Worst Case Record: 4-8
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 6-6

Sept. 5 Notre Dame
Sept. 11 Jacksonville State
Sept. 18 at Wake Forest
Sept. 25 Louisville
Oct. 2 Syracuse
Oct. 9 at North Carolina
Oct. 16 OPEN DATE
Oct. 23 UMass
Oct. 30 at Clemson
Nov. 6 NC State
Nov. 13 Miami
Nov. 20 at Boston College
Nov. 27 at Florida
Full Schedule Analysis

Louisville Cardinals

Considering Clemson is a home date, there isn’t a game on the slate the Cardinals can’t win. However, there are more than enough tough battles that could go either way to be concerned. There has to be a win over UCF, Virginia or Kentucky at home, or against Ole Miss in Atlanta to kick things off.

2018: 2-10 2019: 8-5 2020: 4-7
Realistic Best Case Record: 8-4
Realistic Worst Case Record: 5-7
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 6-6

Sept. 6 Ole Miss (in Atlanta)
Sept. 11 Eastern Kentucky
Sept. 17 UCF
Sept. 25 at Florida State
Oct. 2 at Wake Forest
Oct. 9 Virginia
Oct. 16 OPEN DATE
Oct. 23 Boston College
Oct. 30 at NC State
Nov. 6 Clemson
Nov. 13 Syracuse
Nov. 18 at Duke
Nov. 27 Kentucky
Full Schedule Analysis

NC State Wolfpack

There are enough winnable games to assume a bowl season, but can the Pack beat Mississippi State? Can they come off of their off week to beat Boston College on the road? It’ll take a big run late to go bowling, but they’ll get there.

2018: 9-4 2019: 4-8 2020: 8-4
Realistic Best Case Record: 8-4
Realistic Worst Case Record: 5-7
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 7-5

Sept. 2 USF
Sept. 11 at Mississippi State
Sept. 18 Furman
Sept. 25 Clemson
Oct. 2 Louisiana Tech
Oct. 9 OPEN DATE
Oct. 16 at Boston College
Oct. 23 at Miami
Oct. 30 Louisville
Nov. 6 at Florida State
Nov. 13 at Wake Forest
Nov. 20 Syracuse
Nov. 26 North Carolina
Full Schedule Analysis

Syracuse Orange

Can the Orange block anyone? The O line has to come together fast. The season should come down to two home games – Rutgers and Liberty. There will be a few ACC wins, but the difference between a solid season or another dud will come down to the early September games. Go at least 3-1 to start, or there’s going to be a problem even with a relatively okay slate.

2018: 10-3 2019: 5-7 2020: 1-10
Realistic Best Case Record: 7-5
Realistic Worst Case Record: 3-9
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 5-7

Sept. 4 at Ohio
Sept. 11 Rutgers
Sept. 18 Albany
Sept. 24 Liberty
Oct. 2 at Florida State
Oct. 9 Wake Forest
Oct. 15 Clemson
Oct. 23 at Virginia Tech
Oct. 30 Boston College
Nov. 6 OPEN DATE
Nov. 13 at Louisville
Nov. 20 at NC State
Nov. 27 Pitt
Full Schedule Analysis

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

You know exactly how this works under Dave Clawson. The Demon Deacons will overachieve and win a few ACC games in fun shootouts, they won’t have enough in a few of the bigger road games, and they’ll somehow work their way to six-to-eight wins on the way to a bowl game. However, there’s one big concern – North Carolina. It’s technically a non-conference game instead of playing some cream-puff to boost up the record.

2018: 7-6 2019: 8-4 2020: 4-5
Realistic Best Case Record: 8-4
Realistic Worst Case Record: 4-8
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 6-6

Sept. 3 Old Dominion
Sept. 11 Norfolk State
Sept. 18 Florida State
Sept. 24 at Virginia
Oct. 2 Louisville
Oct. 9 at Syracuse
Oct. 16 OPEN DATE
Oct. 23 at Army
Oct. 30 Duke
Nov. 6 at North Carolina*
Nov. 13 NC State
Nov. 20 at Clemson
Nov. 27 at Boston College
*Not considered an ACC game
Full Schedule Analysis


ACC Coastal

– ACC Weekly Schedule, Top Games To Watch
ACC 2021 Pre-Spring Rankings & Breakdown

Duke Blue Devils

There’s a base of three wins built into the cake – Charlotte, North Carolina A&T and Kansas – but where else are the Blue Devils going to make any noise without a massive overall improvement? There will be one win somewhere – like against Georgia Tech – and there will probably be an upset or two along the way, but they’ll be double-digit dogs for most of the ACC season.

2018: 8-5 2019: 5-7 2020: 2-9
Realistic Best Case Record: 7-5
Realistic Worst Case Record: 3-9
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 4-8

Sept. 4 at Charlotte
Sept. 11 North Carolina A&T
Sept. 18 Northwestern
Sept. 25 Kansas
Oct. 2 at North Carolina
Oct. 9 Georgia Tech
Oct. 16 at Virginia
Oct. 23 OPEN DATE
Oct. 30 at Wake Forest
Nov. 6 Pitt
Nov. 13 at Virginia Tech
Nov. 18 Louisville
Nov. 27 Miami
Full Schedule Analysis

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Have things started to turn under Geoff Collins? The Yellow Jackets should have more pieces in place, but it’s going to take a few upsets to push for a winning season. Playing Clemson, Notre Dame and Georgia are three losses and going to Miami and Virginia doesn’t help. At least North Carolina and Virginia Tech are at home.

2018: 7-6 2019: 3-9 2020: 3-7
Realistic Best Case Record: 7-5
Realistic Worst Case Record: 3-9
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 4-8

Sept. 4 Northern Illinois
Sept. 11 Kennesaw State
Sept. 18 at Clemson
Sept. 25 North Carolina
Oct. 2 Pitt
Oct. 9 at Duke
Oct. 16 OPEN DATE
Oct. 23 at Virginia
Oct. 30 Virginia Tech
Nov. 6 at Miami
Nov. 13 Boston College
Nov. 20 at Notre Dame
Nov. 27 Georgia
Full Schedule Analysis

Miami Hurricanes

Start with a loss to Alabama to kick things off, and be afraid of Appalachian State and Michigan State to follow. However, if this is going to be a great season, the Canes need to beat the Mountaineers and Spartans in Hard Rock. There’s no Clemson on the slate, going to Florida State shouldn’t be too tough, and there’s a week off before dealing with North Carolina.

2018: 7-6 2019: 6-7 2020: 8-3
Realistic Best Case Record: 10-2
Realistic Worst Case Record: 7-5
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 9-3

Sept. 4 Alabama (in Atlanta)
Sept. 11 Appalachian State
Sept. 18 Michigan State
Sept. 25 Central Connecticut
Sept. 30 Virginia
Oct. 9 OPEN DATE
Oct. 16 at North Carolina
Oct. 23 NC State
Oct. 30 at Pitt
Nov. 6 Georgia Tech
Nov. 13 at Florida State
Nov. 20 Virginia Tech
Nov. 27 at Duke
Full Schedule Analysis

North Carolina Tar Heels

It’s a weird-tough slate for the loaded Tar Heels. There isn’t anyone on the schedule they can’t beat – they don’t have to play Clemson – but Georgia State is the only non-ACCish non-conference game with the date at Notre Dame and home game against Wake Forest both not counting in the ACC standings.

2018: 2-9 2019: 7-6 2020: 8-4
Realistic Best Case Record: 11-1
Realistic Worst Case Record: 7-5
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 9-3

Sept. 2 at Virginia Tech
Sept. 11 Georgia State
Sept. 18 Virginia
Sept. 25 at Georgia Tech
Oct. 2 Duke
Oct. 9 Florida State
Oct. 16 Miami
Oct. 23 OPEN DATE
Oct. 30 at Notre Dame
Nov. 6 Wake Forest*
Nov. 11 at Pitt
Nov. 20 Wofford
Nov. 26 at NC State
*Not considered an ACC game
Full Schedule Analysis

Pitt Panthers

It’s going to be another dangerous Pitt team that will be just good enough to shock someone along the way, and just off enough to not be 100% certain of anything special. It should come down to road games at Tennessee and Virginia Tech and home dates with Clemson, Miami, and North Carolina. The Panthers have to win at least two of those.

2018: 7-7 2019: 8-5 2020: 6-5
Realistic Best Case Record: 9-3
Realistic Worst Case Record: 5-7
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 7-5

Sept. 4 UMass
Sept. 11 at Tennessee
Sept. 18 Western Michigan
Sept. 25 New Hampshire
Oct. 2 at Georgia Tech
Oct. 9 OPEN DATE
Oct. 16 at Virginia Tech
Oct. 23 Clemson
Oct. 30 Miami
Nov. 6 at Duke
Nov. 11 North Carolina
Nov. 20 Virginia
Nov. 27 at Syracuse
Full Schedule Analysis

Virginia Cavaliers

It’s a dangerous schedule for a good team that’s going to have a hard time pushing for anything special. Win at home against William & Mary, Illinois, Wake Forest, Duke and Georgia Tech, and it’ll easily be a winning season. However, going to BYU won’t be a breeze, but there are only two road games after October 9th.

2018: 8-5 2019: 9-5 2020: 5-5
Realistic Best Case Record: 9-3
Realistic Worst Case Record: 4-8
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 7-5

Sept. 4 William & Mary
Sept. 11 Illinois
Sept. 18 at North Carolina
Sept. 24 Wake Forest
Sept. 30 at Miami
Oct. 9 at Louisville
Oct. 16 Duke
Oct. 23 Georgia Tech
Oct. 30 at BYU
Nov. 6 OPEN DATE
Nov. 13 Notre Dame
Nov. 20 at Pitt
Nov. 27 Virginia Tech
Full Schedule Analysis

Virginia Tech Hokies

It’s the Xiest of X factor teams with so many new parts and so much uncertainty. Starting the season with North Carolina doesn’t help and going to West Virginia is a problem, but it’s not that bad an ACC slate even with four of the last five games on the road.

2018: 6-7 2019: 8-5 2020: 5-6
Realistic Best Case Record: 9-3
Realistic Worst Case Record: 5-7
2021 Prediction, Spring Football Version: 6-6

Sept. 2 North Carolina
Sept. 11 Middle Tennessee
Sept. 18 at West Virginia
Sept. 25 Richmond
Oct. 2 OPEN DATE
Oct. 9 Notre Dame
Oct. 16 Pitt
Oct. 23 Syracuse
Oct. 30 at Georgia Tech
Nov. 5 at Boston College
Nov. 13 Duke
Nov. 20 at Miami
Nov. 27 at Virginia
Full Schedule Analysis

2021 Early College Football Predictions, Schedules
American Athletic | Big Ten
Big 12 | C-USA | Independents
MAC | Mountain West | Pac-12
SEC | Sun Belt

Next: American Athletic

10 Best College Football Win Total Predictions: Spring Best Bets

What ten college football teams should be better than the current win total projections? Here are the – potentially – ten best value bets.

What ten college football teams should be better than the current win total projections? Here are the – potentially – ten best value bets.


Contact @PeteFiutak

Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM have released every college football team’s win total, line, and odds to win the conference.

There are several early win totals that appear to be a bit off – check out all of them here, compared to the CFN initial prediction for what the win total lines would be – but ten really seem to be really askew.

One quick note: win totals are for the regular season only, so no bowls or conference championships. Just in case you dabble …

10. West Virginia

Caesars Win Total: 5.5
Win Total Should Be Set At: 7
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Neal Brown was able to keep his team fighting through a rough first season. The program had to undergo an overhaul after losing a slew of key parts – including head coach Dana Holgorsen – but it kept on battling and won two of its last three games to finish 5-7.

All you’re asking for is one more win.

The team is going to be better. The offensive parts should be in place to do far more after sputtering and coughing throughout 2019, and the schedule should help.

Eastern Kentucky, Maryland, and a home game against Kansas all enough to bring a base of three wins. The Big 12 overall isn’t appreciably better, but Brown’s Mountaineers will be.
West Virginia Schedule Analysis


CFN in 60: College Football Key Team Win Totals
[jwplayer gIH8KaRy]


9. Colorado

Caesars Win Total: 3
Win Total Should Be Set At: 5
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Apparently, Vegas really, really, really doesn’t seem to think much of the hiring of Karl Dorrell.

It’s going to take some work with the passing game after losing QB Steven Montez and top targets Laviska Shenault and Tony Brown, but the running game should be okay and eight of the top 11 tacklers are expected to return.

The Buffs won’t be world-beaters, but four of their first six games are against teams that didn’t go bowling last year. Be warned, though, getting by Colorado State and Fresno State early on will be vital to get to four wins.

There will be an upset or two along the way, especially with UCLA, Arizona State and Washington State all coming to Boulder.
Colorado Schedule Analysis

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8. Louisiana Tech

Caesars Win Total: 7.5
Win Total Should Be Set At: 9
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

There’s a whole lot to like about a team that won nine regular season games last season, and would’ve been at least ten if it wasn’t for a few key late season suspensions.

This year’s version should be almost as strong.

Replacing QB J’Mar Smith will be Job One, and a few of the top tacklers are done, but almost all of the top targets return, the pass rush should be great, and the schedule is more than manageable.

Seven games are against teams that didn’t go bowling, and other than road dates at Baylor and Vanderbilt – both are winnable – there isn’t a whole lot to worry about away from Ruston.

They can afford to lose to the Power Five teams, drop the game at Southern Miss, and have room to spare for another loss – like to Marshall – to get to eight wins.
Louisiana Tech Schedule Analysis

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7. Stanford

Caesars Win Total: 5.5
Win Total Should Be Set At: 7
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

For this, you’re banking on the idea that 2019 was a strange anomaly under David Shaw.

Stanford was a consistent wrecking ball for the previous ten seasons – winning eight games or more in each one – but last year started out strange and never got going. There were too many early injuries, the offensive line was decimated, and the team couldn’t get the O going with now-Mississippi State QB KJ Costello hurting.

There’s no way Shaw suffers two losing seasons in a row.

The team is loaded with veterans, the lines should be far stronger, and a schedule with William & Mary, Arizona, and UCLA in the first month should provide a nice base of wins.

You only need six wins to get this right. and with Washington State, Oregon State, Colorado and BYU at home, there’s a chance you’ll get it with plenty of room to spare.
Stanford Schedule Analysis

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6. Kansas State

Caesars Win Total: 6
Win Total Should Be Set At: 8.5
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

The win total is just six for a team that pulled off eight win in Chris Klieman’s first season.

A few new running backs have to emerge, but QB Skylar Thompson is back along with most of his receivers, five of the top seven tacklers return, and …

Okay, the lines need an overhaul. That’s why you play Buffalo, North Dakota, and Vanderbilt in the first three games. Even better, the Wildcats go on a run of five games in six – and six in eight – against teams that didn’t go bowling.

Assume a good early run of wins, throw in the home dates against Kansas and Texas Tech, and get a road victory somewhere over West Virginia or TCU.

Six wins is a lock. Seven … no problem.
Kansas State Schedule Analysis

NEXT: The Top Five College Football Win Totals Best Bets

College Football Future Win Totals: Early Betting Lines Released. Where’s The Value?

The early college football win totals are starting to be released. Where’s the value? Where are the best bets?

The early college football win totals are starting to be released. Where’s the value? Where are the best bets?


Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

The college football win totals are starting to be released – at least the early versions. Where are the values for each team? Which ones appear to be off?

Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM have released every college football team’s win total, line, and odds to win the conference.

It seems like five years ago, but back in early March we put together our annual piece trying to predict what the early lines would be.

One key note, below are NOT our predictions for each team. Those will come this summer when we make a call. These are the projections of where we thought the win total lines were going to be set, followed by the Caesars line, and followed by the BetMGM conference championship odds.

Also, this is all based on the regular season only – bowl games and conference championships don’t count.

Future Win Totals, Projection
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt


CFN in 60: College Football Key Team Win Totals
[jwplayer gIH8KaRy]


ACC Future Win Total Projections

ATLANTIC

Boston College

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +15000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
Schedule Analysis

Clemson

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 11
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 11.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: -625
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 10.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 12
Schedule Analysis

Florida State

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +2500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
Schedule Analysis

Louisville

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +3500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
Schedule Analysis

NC State

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 4.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 4
Schedule Analysis

Syracuse

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
Schedule Analysis

Wake Forest

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +5000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
Schedule Analysis

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COASTAL

Duke

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
Schedule Analysis

Georgia Tech

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 4
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 3
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +25000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 3
Schedule Analysis

Miami

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 9
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +800
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 9
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
Schedule Analysis

North Carolina

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 8.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +1400
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
Schedule Analysis

Pitt

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 6.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +5000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
Schedule Analysis

Virginia

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 8
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 6.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +2500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 9
Schedule Analysis

Virginia Tech

2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 8
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 8
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +3000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
Schedule Analysis

Future Win Totals, Projection
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt

NEXT: American Athletic Conference Future Win Totals

Caeser’s sets Michigan State football win total over/under at 4.5 wins

One of the biggest sports books in the United States doesn’t see Michigan State winning many games in 2020.

College football may or may not be played this fall, but that doesn’t mean you can’t bet on it right now.

Caesers Entertainment has released its season win totals for the 2020 college football season and they think Michigan State could be in for a long season. The Spartans over/under win total is set at 4.5 wins for Mel Tucker’s first year. That means an over bet would require five wins or more to cash, while and under bet would need four or fewer wins.

You may be thinking to yourself, “Hey, that seems low. Maybe they are accounting for the chance that games aren’t played this fall!”

Nope. A stipulation of the bet is that all 12 games must be played in order for the bets to count. Also, postseason games do no count. So, Caesers thinks Tucker’s first season is going to be a long one with few wins to come by. Given what Michigan State lost from its 2019 team and the fact that they’re breaking in an almost entirely new coaching staff during a pandemic, I’d say the low number isn’t much of a surprise.

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