2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 3rd Overall Pick. It’s Not As Easy As You Think

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 3rd Overall Pick

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 3rd Overall Pick


The 2020 NFL Draft is still going off on April 23rd – and there’s betting on it.

BetMGM has lines, odds, and wagering on the 2020 NFL Draft, and if you’re in the right state, click here to bet on any and all of it.

Who will be the third overall pick in the NFL Draft?

2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 3rd Overall Pick

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews | @PeteFiutak

3rd Overall Pick: Detroit Lions

And now is when this gets really, REALLY funky.

Just assume LSU QB Joe Burrow is going first overall, and if not, he’s going second. If he’s not the first overall pick, then Ohio State DE Chase Young will be a mortal lock to be the main man. If it’s Burrow at the 1, it’ll be Young at the 2, unless …

Washington trades out of it.

Just how much does Washington believe in Dwayne Haskins? There are some rumblings out there – more like bored musings in the time of quarantine – that the Redskins might think about one of the top quarterbacks on the board, but that’s not going to happen.


CFN in 60: 2020 1st Overall Draft Pick Odds
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The more likely curveball at the two will come with a trade. Miami has three first round picks and desperately needs a quarterback – it might try to move up to the two just so no one else sneaks ahead with a trade up with Washington to snag Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa or Oregon’s Justin Herbert.

And then Detroit snaps up Young with the 3.

Or, this goes chalk and Cincinnati takes Burrow, Washington grabs Young, and Detroit trades out of the 3 to someone moving up to grab a quarterback.

So if you ‘re trying to bet the 3, where do you go? This is where you have to make a big call, but if you hit it … BOOM.

With all of that in mind, using a combination of likelihood and value for the bet, rank the possible 2020 NFL Draft Third Overall Picks on the BetMGM board like this …

One quick note, BetMGM doesn’t have Oregon QB Justin Herbert on the board for this pick, otherwise he’d be on the list.

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5. QB Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama

BetMGM Line: +140

The value isn’t good enough. It’s hardly a bad call putting Tagovailoa at the 3, but 1) someone has to trade up, or 2) Detroit takes him and decides it’s moving on from Matthew Stafford, and 3) everyone blows off Herbert and a slew of other great options for the slot. The odds are more likely that Detroit goes with …

4. CB Jeff Okudah, Ohio State

BetMGM Line: +125

It’s the chalk pick, but there’s not a whole lot of value considering the trade rumors and buzz are way too loud for the slot. Detroit needs defensive back help, and Okudah is about as sure-thing safe as it gets. You’re still on the plus side so there’s coin to be made, but you’re not going to be comfortable.

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3. QB Jordan Love, Utah State

BetMGM Line: +15000

It’s the value shot for the stars. Everyone is assuming it’s Burrow at the 1 – or 2, at worst – and then it’s all about where Tagovailoa and Herbert are going to fall. Not to get all weird, but you know something is up in an NFL draft when everyone is too quiet about a pick. It’s not insane to think a few teams out there really, really like Love enough move up to the 3.

2. LB Isaiah Simmons, Clemson

BetMGM Line: +800

Here’s the thing about the 3 – Simmons is one of the three best players in this year’s NFL draft. The best three in this thing are Young, Okudah and Simmons – they’re all central casting prototypes at their respective positions – and it’s possible Detroit likes this killer of a hybrid linebacker more than Okudah. The value is certainly there to take the chance.

And finally …

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1. DE Chase Young, Ohio State

BetMGM Line: +1000

This is a whole lot more possible than you might think, and why?

Burrow goes No. 1 overall, and someone falls in love with Tua or Herbert. That team gets freaked out that trading with Detroit at the 3 isn’t going to get it done, and it doesn’t want to risk someone else moving up to the 2 to steal its franchise quarterback.

It could very, very easily go quarterback 1, quarterback 2, and then YOINK … Detroit takes Young in one of the fastest picks in the history of the draft.

For the full list of 3rd overall pick odds

Photo credits: Okudah & Okuda Credit: Joe Maiorana; Young Credit: Joe Maiorana; Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

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2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 2nd Overall Pick. Here’s The Problem …

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 2nd Overall Pick

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 2nd Overall Pick


The 2020 NFL Draft is still going off on April 23rd – and there’s betting on it.

BetMGM has lines, odds, and wagering on the 2020 NFL Draft, and if you’re in the right state, click here to bet on any and all of it.

Who will be the second overall pick in the NFL Draft?

2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 2nd Overall Pick

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews | @PeteFiutak

2nd Overall Pick

Of course Joe Burrow will go with the No. 1 overall pick to Cincinnati … right?

How many trades will there be between now and draft day? How many teams are going to try moving up and around for the No. 1 overall pick, or more importantly for this, No. 2?

It seems like a mortal lock that Burrow will go with the first selection to be the possible franchise-maker for the Bengals, and then it’s supposed to be Ohio State pass rushing star Chase Young ready to go to Washington.

The key to figuring out the 2 will be guessing how desperate teams are for a quarterback, and if there’s any interest in trading up for it.


CFN in 60: 2020 1st Overall Draft Pick Odds
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There’s always the crazy possibility that Washington will pull a Josh Rosen and bail on its first round quarterback pick of the previous year – Dwayne Haskins – like Arizona did to select Kyler Murray in the 2019 NFL Draft, but … nah. No chance.

Detroit almost certainly isn’t going to take a quarterback at the 3, and the New York Giants aren’t going with one at the 4 after all the hoo-ha it took selecting Danny “Dimes” Jones last year.

But Miami needs a quarterback at the 5.

This is where it’ll get scary to try betting on the 2.

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Let’s say Miami goes 2017 Chicago Bears and freaks out that someone might move up to take the quarterback it wants. The Bears traded with San Francisco to move up from the 3 to the 2 to take Mitchell Trubisky – yeeesh – and this year, maybe Miami really wants Tua Tagovailoa or Justin Herbert. With three first round picks – the 5, 18 and 26 – and two in the second round, the Dolphins can spend to ensure they get their franchise quarterback.

Jacksonville needs a quarterback, and it has the 9 and the 20 to play around with, along with the 42nd overall pick in the second round. Will it make a move to jump ahead of Miami?

Tyrod Taylor? Nah – the Los Angeles Chargers need a quarterback to build around. They only have seven picks in this draft – as opposed to the 12 of the Jaguars – and they’d have to spend big to move up from the 6 to get past Miami at the 5.

Long build-up short, a few teams out there might panic to move up into the No. 2 spot, and it won’t be to take Young.

With all of that in mind, using a combination of likelihood and value for the bet, rank the 2020 NFL Draft Second Overall Picks on the BetMGM board like this …

1. QB Justin Herbert, Oregon +3500
Don’t be shocked it some teams love him more than the scouts do. GREAT value for a franchise QB who could go No. 2

2. QB Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama +180
The only reason he’s a step below is because the value isn’t as great. A strong workout could make him a must-have to trade up for.

3. QB Jordan Love, Utah State +20,000
Value, value, value, value, value. There’s absolutely no doubt whatsoever that a few teams have him as the No. 1 QB on their boards. At +20,000, this is the shot for the stars.

4. QB Joe Burrow, LSU +2500
Value-wise, it’s not that insane to think that Cincinnati might get weird at the last possible second and like Young or even a seemingly healthy Tagovailoa. The value for Burrow to slide one spot isn’t bad.

5. DE Chase Young, Ohio State -286
Fine – he’s almost certainly the second overall pick. However, again, he’s not a great value play at -286. You’re better off projecting mild chaos and potential quarterback craziness.

For the full list of 2nd overall pick odds

Photo credits: Herbert Credit: Troy Wayrynen; Tagovailoa Credit: John David Mercer; Young Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

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2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 1st Overall Pick

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 1st Overall Pick

2020 NFL Draft: Odds, Betting Lines and Advice, and Predictions for the 1st Overall Pick


The 2020 NFL Draft is still going off on April 23rd, and with no other sports going on like normal, it might be the most watched draft ever.

And there’s betting on it.

BetMGM has lines, odds, and wagering on the 2020 NFL Draft, and if you’re in the right state, click here to bet on any and all of it.

Who will be the first overall pick in the NFL Draft, and who’ll go second?

2020 NFL Draft Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines: 1st, 2nd Overall Picks

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews | @PeteFiutak

1st Overall Pick

At the moment, the Cincinnati Bengals have the No. 1 overall pick, and they’re going to take Joe Burrow. However …

If they want to go a different direction, they can trade down.

Miami has three first round picks – the 5, 18 and 26. It has made no secret that it would love to have Burrow, and it has the picks to give the Bengals a sweet deal to jump up to the 1.

Can the Patriots figure something out, and do they want to? Bill Belichick has the 23rd overall pick, three third rounders, and a whole lot to work with in 2021.


CFN in 60: 2020 1st Overall Draft Pick Odds
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But no matter what, Burrow appears set to be the No. 1 guy up top.  That’s why there’s no value whatsoever.

So in terms of betting value, there’s little to gain from going with Burrow. If you’re going to go with a shot for the stars, it’s possible Cincinnati is in love with Justin Herbert – the Oregon quarterback has far better tools than Burrow – or even  decide that it’s not going to mess around and take Chase Young.

Would Bengal fans be that mad if an elite pass rusher goes first, and their team tries to fill the quarterback void – in a buyer’s market – through trade, free agency, or with a Jacob Eason or Jake Fromm with the 33rd overall pick?

Using a combination of likelihood and value for the bet, rank the 2020 NFL Draft First Overall Picks on the BetMGM board like this …

1. QB Joe Burrow, LSU -3334
2. DE Chase Young, Ohio State +1100
3. QB Justin Herbert, Oregon +3600
4. QB Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama +1900
5. LB Isaiah Simmons, Clemson +10,000
For the full list of 1st overall pick odds

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