Straight-Up NFL Picks, Week 11: A weekend of tempting underdogs gives us agita

Lots of interesting underdog picks this week. The Bears and Falcons stage a battle of untrustables. The Rams, uh, keeping doing Ram stuff.

Well, that was brutal.

Week 10’s slate of upsets handed For The Win’s expert pickers our worst week of prognostications yet. Only Robert Zeglinski was able to tread water with a non-losing record thanks to surprising victories from the Minnesota Vikings, Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders.

Week 11 brings the promise of more discombobulation. Can Jeff Saturday ride what’s sure to be a hero’s welcome back home in Indiana to a win over the Philadelphia Eagles as a full touchdown underdog? Will the Detroit Lions trip up another mobile quarterback by dashing Daniel Jones’ hopes of an 8-2 start?

This weekend’s games aren’t all stat line mismatches, however. The New York Jets and New England Patriots meet to see who will stay afloat in the ulta-competitive AFC East. The Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings will joust in a game that could decide the NFC’s top seed. The Los Angeles Chargers will try to avoid fading into oblivion when they host the Kansas City Chiefs.

Here’s Week 11’s full slate of games, along with our picks.

Game Christian Robert Charles
Titans at Packers Titans Titans Packers
Panthers at Ravens Ravens Ravens Ravens
Bears at Falcons Bears Bears Bears
Browns at Bills Bills Bills Bills
Lions at Giants Giants Giants Giants
Jets at Patriots Patriots Jets Patriots
Eagles at Colts Eagles Eagles Eagles
Rams at Saints Rams* Saints Saints
Commanders at Texans Texans Commanders Commanders
Raiders at Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Cowboys at Vikings Vikings Cowboys Vikings
Chiefs at Chargers Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Bengals at Steelers Bengals Bengals Bengals
49ers at Cardinals 49ers 49ers 49ers
Last week: 6-8 7-7 4-10
Year to date: 93-56-1 89-60-1 80-69-1

The asterisk next to the Rams is to denote this pick is dependent on Matthew Stafford making the start in Week 11. And even then, I don’t feel great about it.

Here those pics are in a better-formatted screenshot of our actual picks sheet, which unfortunately struggles to translate to our editing software.