The St. Louis Cardinals (43-44) and San Francisco Giants (53-32) close out a three-game series Wednesday with a 9:45 p.m. ET first pitch at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Johan Oviedo is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. Oviedo has gone 0-4 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, and 4.8 BB/9 in 49 IP in 10 starts and one bullpen appearance.
Oviedo typically throws his fastball 55% of the time; the Giants rank among the best in the league in effectiveness against fastballs. The righty has compiled a 6.08 ERA through 40 IP on the road in his career.
LHP Alex Wood is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. Through 14 starts Wood is 7-3 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 in 76 1/3 IP.
The Cards’ lineup vs. lefties leans way right (93% of plate appearances), but Wood has been quite good against righty bats recording a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio and limiting them to a .665 OPS this year.
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Cardinals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cardinals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Giants -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Giants 5, Cardinals 3
Money line (ML)
The Redbirds have taken the first two games of this series while the formerly hot Giants (10-1 from June 14-26) are just 3-6 over their last nine games. The Cardinals had been just 6-11 over their previous 17 games prior to this week.
Look for the Giants to bounce back in Wednesday’s series finale, but there is no value in the juice-soaked pricing on this money line: PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Oviedo runs into a lot of bats and a fair amount of hard contact. Wood is on a roll, notching improved velocity while getting a lot of ground balls and strikeouts.
The San Francisco bullpen is in a bit better shape heading into this series finale. St. Louis is 0-6 over its last six get-away games on the road.
Peg the GIANTS -1.5 (+115) as just a slight lean.
Over/Under (O/U)
With a nod to better bullpen pitching on both sides of late, and with a healthy respect for how Alex Wood has performed: BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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