The San Diego Padres (23-17) go for a three-game sweep of the visiting St. Louis Cardinals (23-17) on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch at Petco Park is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
Despite missing three key position players, San Diego took the first two games of this series – 5-4 Friday and 13-3 Saturday. SS Fernando Tatis Jr., RF Wil Myers 1B Eric Hosmer and utilitymen Jurickson Profar and Jorge Mateo have been unavailable due to COVID-19 issues.
St. Louis hopes LHP Kwang Hyun Kim will salvage the series and snap the club’s 2-game slide. He is 1-0 with a 2.74 ERA (23 IP, 7 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 5 starts this season.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K at Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday – Cardinals won 6-1 in 11 innings
- Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 7.36 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 postseason start (Game 1 of 2020 NL Wild Card Series) – Cards won 7-4
LHP Ryan Weathers, who made his MLB debut in last year’s playoffs, is projected to start for the Friars. The 21-year-old rookie is 2-1 with an 0.81 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 3 starts and 5 relief appearances.
- Last outing: Win, 3 IP in relief, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K at San Francisco Giants May 9 – Padres won 11-1
- Career as starter: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 3 outings
- Career vs. Cardinals: No appearances
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Cardinals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Cardinals 4, Padres 3
Money line (ML)
ST. LOUIS (+105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Kim’s starts this season. The South Korean southpaw allowed just 1 run in each of his last four starts.
It should be tough night for a depleted Padres lineup, which is missing Tatis, Myers and Hosmer.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. While the Cardinals feature a majors-best ATS record, the -200 price on St. Louis +1.5 is too much chalk.
ATS records: Cardinals 25-15 | Padres 21-19
Over/Under (O/U)
AVOID as the projected score equals 7 runs.
The lean would be to the Over 7 (-110) the way this series has gone. Plus, the O/U is 3-0-1 in Kim’s starts this season and 2-1 in Weather’s starts.
O/U records: Cardinals 18-18-3 | Padres 18-22
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| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 39-43-2 | 10-14-1 | -8.895 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 142-128-3 | 59-55-1 | +4.655 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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