St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (44-36) are center stage against the Philadelphia Phillies (41-38) for Sunday Night Baseball at Citizens Bank Park in the finale of a 3-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The series is tied 1-1.

St. Louis held off the Phillies 6-5 Saturday after blowing a 5-0 lead fueled by 4 first-inning home runs. They jumped out to a 3-run lead Friday, and their bullpen couldn’t hold that lead, either, as they lost 5-3. The Cards are 5-5, 10-10 and 15-15 over the last 5, 10 and 30 games, respectively.

The Phils are staying afloat without star OF Bryce Harper, who is expected to miss another 3-5 weeks with a broken thumb. Philadelphia is 21-20 at home this season. First baseman Rhys Hoskins continues to mash as he’s hitting .350 with a .480 OBP, 3 HR and 4 RBI over the last 7 days.

Cardinals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Adam Wainwright vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Wainwright (6-5, 3.07 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 91 IP.

  • He threw a complete-game loss against the Phillies last season, allowing 2 R on 6 H with 8 K in 9 IP.
  • His WHIP is way up from 1.06 last season, and he has allowed 50 hits in 46 IP in his last 7 starts.
  • Current Phillies are hitting .305 with a .359 weighted on-base average in 90 plate appearances against him.

Wheeler (6-4, 2.89 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 81 IP.

  • Has given up 5 ER in 10 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts
  • Has 8 or more strikeouts in 6 of last 8 starts
  • Current Cardinals are hitting .194 with a .240 weighted on-base average in 35 plate appearances against him.

Cardinals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cardinals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Cardinals 4

Money line

The Cards nearly emptied its bullpen Saturday after LHP Matthew Liberatore was only able to go 2 2/3 innings. That’s when Wainwright steps up and delivers 6 or 7 innings. The Cards have scored at least 3 runs in 7 straight games. These teams are so evenly matched, I’m willing to LEAN CARDINALS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+160). I can’t go with them for the full game because their best reliever, Ryan Helsley, threw 37 pitches Saturday and is likely off limits Sunday.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cardinals +1.5 (-160) is right at my limit for a run line. The Cards are 24-16 on the run line on the road. I would consider that, or you can go with a special BOOSTED prop bet for WHEELER WITH 8 K’s & THE PHILLIES WIN (+340). The Cards don’t strike out a lot, but Wheeler fanned them 9 times in his April 2021 start, and he has hit 8 K in 6 of his last 8 starts overall.

Over/Under

These 2 have hit this number in both games, and it’s expected to be a warm 88 degrees at game time. So the ball could travel, and both pitchers have given up hard contact of late. We’ll take the OVER 7.5 (-120) for a HALF UNIT.

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