The St. Louis Cardinals (6-6) and Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) open a three-game series Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Carlos Martinez is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 through 10 IP over 2 starts. Martinez has an 8.70 ERA over 7 starts across the last two seasons (2020-21); he clocked a 3.22 ERA in 175 games from 2015-19.
RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starter for the Phillies. He is 0-0 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 through 13 IP over 2 starts. Eflin was ticketed for a Thursday start against the New York Mets, but that game was rained out. He faced Atlanta twice thus far; he ran into a lot of bats in the second of those two turns and allowed 4 earned runs over 6 innings.
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Cardinals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Cardinals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Phillies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Phillies 4, Cardinals 3
Money line (ML)
Philadelphia is coming off a rough road trip after a solid start to the season. The Phillies went 1-5 over six games against the Braves and Mets. They head into this series on a three-game losing skid.
The Redbirds are nearly in the opposite boat. St. Louis has lost four of its last five and was playing better on the road early in the season.
This series in Philly features a Cardinals offense scoring 5.0 runs per game to rank seventh in MLB against a Phillies pitching staff doing a credible job of keeping runs off the board with a 12th-ranked 4.09 team ERA.
Both sides seem a tad fade-able heading into the back half of April. PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
On just a sliver of a lean, TAKE THE CARDINALS +1.5 (-155) in a game with an Under feel.
Over/Under (O/U)
Philadelphia’s Thursday rainout helps the Under here. Neither bullpen is anything special, but at least the Phillies come in with a rested relief corps. Eflin is a solid home pitcher, and with the rainout avoids a left-leaning Mets lineup in favor of more righty bats in the St. Louis order.
The weather forecast calls for a chance of wet weather, a cool-ish evening, and a double-digit breeze in from left field. Peg the Cardinals offense as being over its head at the 5.0 RPG level.
TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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