St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (67-67) and New York Yankees (78-56) open a 3-game series Friday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cards won 2-1 last year

The Cards won 2 straight to split a 4-game set with the San Diego Padres. They won 4-1 Thursday as SS Masyn Winn hit his 12th homer of the season. He doesn’t get enough recognition nationally because of how blah the Cards have been, but the 22-year-old is hitting .287 with 12 homers, 47 RBIs, 10 steals and a 4.8 WAR.

The Yanks dropped 2 of 3 in the nation’s capital against the Washington Nationals. They scored 2 runs Tuesday and Wednesday and fell 4-2 and 5-2. OF Juan Soto went 0-for-12 in the series against his former squad. The Yanks remain 1½ games in front of the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.

Cardinals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Fedde (8-7, 3.31 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 149 1/3 IP with the Cardinals and Chicago White Sox.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-2 victory Sunday at Minnesota Twins
  • 1-3, 4.23 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 5 GS with Cards
  • 0-1, 5.02 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 10 K in 14 1/3 IP over 3 career GS vs. Yankees

Stroman (9-6, 3.88 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory Sunday against Colorado Rockies
  • Last 5 starts vs. St. Louis: 0-4, 5.04 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 18 K in 25 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Cards and Yankees have squared off 6 times over the last 2 years, and the Cards won 5 of those meetings. That’s a little misleading because they were all at Busch Stadium. The Cards went to Yankee Stadium in 2017 and got swept.

The silver lining for me, though, is Stroman faced the Cards 3 times last year and went 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA. That team was one of the worst in baseball, and this offense isn’t much better, but some of the pieces that have haunted him remain. 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 11-for-27 (.407) with 3 homers lifetime against Stroman. OF Tommy Pham is 4-for-9 (.556) and 2B Brendan Donovan is 5-for-14 (.357).

If Fedde can limit the walks and keep the ball in the park, the CARDINALS +155 is a solid underdog play Friday.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going to take a chance on ERICK FEDDE OVER 4.5 K’S (-110). He had 7 K’s in his last outing, and OF Aaron Judge is 1-for-6 with 4 K’s against Fedde lifetime. And that was before Fedde went overseas and became a much better pitcher.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 71 degrees with a 7-mph breeze blowing in from right-center. The Cards are 3-7 O/U in their last 10, and the Yankees are 4-6. With both offenses kind of missing gears, I’m going with the UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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