SP+ predicts landslide win for Florida over Vanderbilt

Florida may have stumbled last week, but the SP+ predictions have the Gators bouncing back in a big way in Week 6.

Florida had a chance to force overtime against Kentucky last Saturday, but the Gators couldn’t get it done with 10 red zone snaps in the game’s final minutes. Dreams of repeating an SEC Championship appearance all but vanished with the loss, but head coach Dan Mullen says “there’s a lot of football left to play.”

The big game against Georgia isn’t the golden ticket it would’ve been had the Gators beaten Kentucky, but it still is the most important game left on Florida’s schedule. After beating Tennessee, the Gators looked capable of at least testing Georgia, but Mullen’s crew will need to prove themselves once again after a sloppy Week 5.

Thankfully, Florida has a favorable matchup against Vanderbilt this week, to say the least. This week’s SP+ projection has the Gators crushing the Commodores by about 42 points. The analytics system created by ESPN college football writer Bill Connelly gives Florida a 99% chance to beat Vanderbilt on Saturday.

The projected margin of victory is great enough to cover an already gaudy 38.5 spread currently listed by Tipico Sportsbook. An average projected score of 49-7 means that the 60.5 over/under listed on Tipico wouldn’t hit, though.

It seems that Connelly’s system isn’t punishing Florida too badly for the loss against Kentucky, but it could be that Vanderbilt is that bad as well. SP+ is “predictive and forward-facing,” according to ESPN’s description, and things look okay for Florida at No. 5 despite last week’s slipup.

All Betting Lines are Courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook

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