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The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-0) and the Florida State Seminoles (1-0) meet Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Southern Miss vs. Florida State game odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Southern Miss pounded Alcorn State of the FCS last Saturday in Hattiesburg, 40-14. The Golden Eagles totaled 441 yards of offense, while passing for 296 yards. It held Alcorn State to just 44 passing yards and 3.1 yards per pass, and USM won the turnover battle with a plus-1 ratio. The Golden Eagles also had 25 first downs to just 8 for the Braves.
Florida State opened with a 45-24 thrashing of LSU in a battle of top-10 teams in Orlando last Sunday. QB Jordan Travis registered 5 total TDs, while WR Keon Coleman hauled in 3 of the scores in his team debut. Coleman tied for the record for the most receiving TDs in a single game by an FSU player in the past 25 years.
Florida State is No. 5 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.
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Southern Miss at Florida State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Southern Miss +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | Florida State -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Southern Miss +31 (-110) | Florida State -31 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Southern Miss at Florida State picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida State 48, Southern Miss 14
Moneyline
Florida State (-10000) will cost you $100 for every $1 won, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. No one needs a buck that badly.
PASS.
Against the spread
FLORIDA STATE -31 (-110) is worth a look laying the points in its home opener.
FSU won 5 of its 7 games at home, building momentum heading into 2023. The Seminoles split 3-3 ATS in 6 games at home against FBS teams, and it has won the past 6 regular-season games, while going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) during the span.
This bet comes with some risk, however, as Southern Miss +31 (-110) covered 5 of 6 games on the road last season, including an outright win at Tulane, a team which ended up in the Cotton Bowl.
Over/Under
OVER 53 (-110) might be the best play on the board, and Florida State might be able to take care of it on its own with its high-octane offense.
Southern Miss cashed the Over last weekend against Alcorn State, and the Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall dating back to Oct. 27, 2022.
Florida State also hit the Over against LSU last weekend, and the Over has hit in 4 straight dating back to last season, while going 6-2 in the past 8 games overall.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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