The South Florida Bulls (1-5, 0-4 AAC) and Memphis Tigers (3-2, 2-2) meet at the Liberty Bowl in Memphis for a 12 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday. Below, we analyze the South Florida-Memphis college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
South Florida at Memphis: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: South Florida +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Memphis -834 (bet $834 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: South Florida +18 (-110) | Memphis -18 (-110)
- Over/Under: 64.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
South Florida at Memphis: Three things to know
- South Florida opened the season with a 27-6 win over The Citadel, but they’re 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS across the past five outings. Defense has been the biggest issue for the Bulls, as they’re coughing up 41.0 PPG in five games against FBS opponents.
- Memphis took it on the chin in Cincinnati last time out on Halloween, falling 49-10. They’re now just 1-4 ATS in their five games so far, so something’s gotta give in this one. Despite last week’s offensive slowdown, the Tigers are still averaging 33.0 PPG while allowing 36.2 PPG in five outings. Memphis is allowing 556.8 total yards per game and 406.4 passing yards per game.
- Tigers QB Brady White has been rolling up big numbers, completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 1,691 yards, 18 touchdowns and just four interceptions while also running for a score. He has thrown for at least three TDs in four of his five outings.
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South Florida at Memphis: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Memphis 51, South Florida 24
Money line (ML)
Memphis (-834) should get back on track here, as South Florida (+550) has been the elixir to cure all ills this season. However, you cannot risk more than eight times your potential return, so look to the spread. AVOID.
Against the spread (ATS)
MEMPHIS (-18, -110) is going to turn White loose, and South Florida (+18, -110) will offer very little in the way of resistance. The Bulls are just 8-17 ATS in the past 25 inside the league, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight against teams with a winning record. The Tigers have cashed in eight of the previous 11 following a straight-up loss, and they’re certain to be rather ornery after getting embarrassed last time out.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 64.5 (-110) is a strong play, as the Bulls are yielding 35.2 PPG to rank 85th in the nation. The Tigers will find plenty of open spaces for big plays in the offense, and they should put up plenty of points. The Over is 21-8-1 in the past 30 at home for Memphis, and 10-4-1 in the past 15 AAC games.
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