The South Florida Bulls (10-14, 3-8 American) battle the Cincinnati Bearcats (16-9, 7-5) Saturday. Tip from Fifth Third Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the South Florida vs. Cincinnati odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
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The Bearcats beat the Bulls 85-69 on Jan. 18, covering as 4-point road favorites as the Over (141.5) hit.
Cincinnati has covered the spread in 3 of its last 4 games. The Bearcats are coming off a 101-94 overtime road loss to Tulane Tuesday, failing to cover as 1.5-point road underdogs. They are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games and 16-8 ATS on the season.
The Bulls are coming off a 99-81 loss to Memphis Wednesday, failing to cover as 6.5-point home underdogs. South Florida is 4-1 ATS over its last 5 outings and 15-9 ATS on the season.
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South Florida at Cincinnati odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): South Florida +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Cincinnati -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): South Florida +9.5 (-115) | Cincinnati -9.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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South Florida at Cincinnati picks and predictions
Prediction
Cincinnati 79, South Florida 72
Moneyline
AVOID.
Cincinnati has performed well in AAC play, posting a 7-5 straight-up conference record. South Florida is 3-8. However, there is no value on either moneyline wager.
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Against the spread
LEAN SOUTH FLORIDA -9.5 (-115).
South Florida is an incredible 7-0 ATS on the road this season. The Bulls are also 9-4 ATS following a loss and are 7-4 ATS in conference play.
That compares favorably to Cincinnati which is 7-5 ATS within the AAC. The Bulls’ offense has been starting to heat up as they have scored at least 70 in 5 straight games and are averaging just 72.7 on the season.
Cincinnati has been solid for bettors in this position as well, but it is just 3-2 ATS over its last 5 home games. For a partial unit, back SOUTH FLORIDA -9.5 (-115) given their ATS dominance on the road.
Over/Under
BET OVER 147.5 (-105).
Cincinnati is 2-1-1 O/U in its last 4 games and has scored at least 80 points in 2 of its last 3 contests. The Bearcats are 3-2-1 O/U in their last 6 and are 4-7-1 O/U in conference games.
South Florida is 9-2 O/U in conference games and 18-6 O/U on the season. The Bulls have gone Over in 8 of their last 9 games and have scored and given up at least 80 points in 2 of their last 3 games.
Considering the season-long trends, back the OVER 147.5 (-105).
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